Dataset Information

Comorbidities, injury severity and complications predict mortality in thoracic trauma.

ABSTRACT:

Purpose

Thoracic trauma accounts for 25-50% of posttraumatic mortality. Data on epidemiology of thoracic trauma in Scandinavia and risk factors for mortality are scarce. This study aims to provide an overview of epidemiology, clinical events and risk factors for mortality of patients with severe thoracic injuries.

Methods

A retrospective study including adult thoracic trauma patients with abbreviated injury scale ≥ 3, between 2009 and 2018 at Haukeland University Hospital was performed. Subgroup analyses were performed for specific patient groups: (1) isolated thoracic trauma, (2) polytrauma without Traumatic Brain Injury (TBI) and (3) polytrauma with TBI. Logistic regression analyses were applied to find risk factors for 30-days mortality. Age, sex, comorbidity polypharmacy score (CPS), trauma and injury severity score (TRISS) and comprehensive complication index (CI) were included in the final model.

Results

Data of 514 patients were analyzed, of which 60 (12%) patients died. Median (IQR) injury severity score (ISS) was 17 (13-27). Data of 463 patients, of which 39 patients died (8%), were included in multivariate analyses. Female sex odds ratio (OR) (2.7, p = 0.04), CPS > 9 (OR 4.8; p = 0.01), TRISS ≤ 50% (OR 44; p < 0.001) and CI ≥ 30 (OR 12.5, p < 0.001) were significant risk factors for mortality. Subgroup analyses did not demonstrate other risk factors.

Conclusion

Comorbidities and associated pharmacotherapies, TRISS, female sex, and complications during admission predict in-hospital mortality after thoracic trauma. Current findings might help to recognize patients at risk of an adverse outcome, and thereby prevent complications.

Trial registration

RETROSPECTIVELY REGISTERED: The regional committees for medical and health research ethics file number is 2017/293.

SUBMITTER: Fokkema AT

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10175434 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Comorbidities, injury severity and complications predict mortality in thoracic trauma.

Fokkema Anne T AT Johannesdottir Bergros K BK Wendt Klaus K Haaverstad Rune R Reininga Inge H F IHF Geisner Thomas T

European journal of trauma and emergency surgery : official publication of the European Trauma Society 20221217 2

<h4>Purpose</h4>Thoracic trauma accounts for 25-50% of posttraumatic mortality. Data on epidemiology of thoracic trauma in Scandinavia and risk factors for mortality are scarce. This study aims to provide an overview of epidemiology, clinical events and risk factors for mortality of patients with severe thoracic injuries.<h4>Methods</h4>A retrospective study including adult thoracic trauma patients with abbreviated injury scale ≥ 3, between 2009 and 2018 at Haukeland University Hospital was perf ...[more]

PMID: 36527498

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Project description:Objective: Older adults make up a rapidly increasing proportion of motor vehicle occupants and previous studies have demonstrated that this population is more susceptible to traumatic injuries. The CDC recommends that patients anticipated to have severe injuries (Injury Severity Score [ISS] ≥ 16) be transported to a trauma center. The recommended target rate for undertriage is ≤ 5% and for overtriage is ≤ 50%. Several regression-based algorithms for injury prediction have been developed in order to predict severe injury in occupants involved in a motor vehicle collision (MVC). The objective of this study to was to determine if the accuracy of regression-based injury severity prediction algorithms decreases for older adults.Methods: Data were obtained from the National Automotive Sampling System - Crashworthiness Data System (NASS-CDS) from the years 2000-2015. Adult occupants involved in non-rollover MVCs were included. Regression-based injury risk models to predict severe injury (ISS ≥ 16) were developed using random split-samples with the following variables: age, delta-V, direction of impact, belt status, and number of impacts. Separate models were trained using data from the following age groups: (1) all adults, (2) 15-54 years, (3) ≥45 years, (4) ≥55 years, and (5) ≥65 years. The models were compared using the mean receiver operating characteristic area under curve (ROC-AUC) after 1,000 iterations of training and testing. The predicted rates of overtriage were then determined for each group in order to achieve an undertriage rate of 5%.Results: There were 24,577 occupants (6,863,306 weighted) included in this analysis. The injury prediction model trained using data from all adults did not perform as well when tested on older adults (ROC-AUC: 15-54 years: 0.874 [95% CI: [0.851-0.895]; 45+ years: 0.837 [95% CI: 0.802-869]; 55+ years: 0.821 [95% CI: 0.775-0.864]; and 65+ years: 0.813 [95% CI: 0.754-0.866]). The accuracy of this model decreased in each decade of life. The performance did not change significantly when age-specific data were used to train the prediction models (ROC-AUC: 18-54 years: 0.874 [95% CI: 0.851-0.896]; 45+ years: 0.836 [95% CI: 0.798-0.871]; 55+ years: 0.822 [95% CI: 0.779-0.864]; and 65+ years: 0.808 [95% CI: 0.748-0.868]). In order to achieve an undertriage rate of 5%, the predicted overtriage rate by these models were 50% for occupants 15-54 years, 61% for occupants ≥ 55 years, 70% for occupants ≥ 55 years, and 71% for occupants ≥ 65 years.Conclusion: The results of this study indicate that it is more difficult to accurately predict severe injury in older adults involved in MVCs, which has the potential to result in significant overtriage. This decreased accuracy is likely due to variations in fragility in older adults. These findings indicate that special care should be taken when using regression-based prediction models to determine the appropriate hospital destination for older occupants.

Project description:Patients that suffer from severe multiple trauma are highly vulnerable to the development of complications that influence their outcomes. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the risk factors that can facilitate an early recognition of adult patients at risk. The inclusion criteria were as follows: admission to a level 1 trauma center, injury severity score (ISS) ≥ 16 (severe injury was defined by an abbreviated injury score (AIS) ≥ 3) and ≥18 years of age. Injury- and patient-associated factors were correlated with the development of four complication clusters (surgery-related, infection, thromboembolic events and organ failure) and three mortality time points (immediate (6 h after admission), early (>6 h-72 h) and late (>72 h) mortality). Statistical analysis was performed using a Chi-square, Mann-Whitney U test, Cox hazard regression analysis and binominal logistic regression analysis. In total, 383 patients with a median ISS of 24 (interquartile range (IQR) 17-27) were included. The overall mortality rate (27.4%) peaked in the early mortality group. Lactate on admission significantly correlated with immediate and early mortality. Late mortality was significantly influenced by severe head injuries in patients with a moderate ISS (ISS 16-24). In patients with a high ISS (≥25), late mortality was influenced by a higher ISS, older age and higher rates of organ failure. Complications were observed in 47.5% of all patients, with infections being seen most often. The development of complications was significantly influenced by severe extremity injuries, the duration of mechanical ventilation and length of ICU stay. Infection remains the predominant posttraumatic complication. While immediate and early mortality is mainly influenced by the severity of the initial trauma, the rates of severe head injuries influence late mortality in moderate trauma severity, while organ failure remains a relevant factor in patients with a high injury severity.

Project description:BACKGROUND:An accurate injury severity measurement is essential for the evaluation of pediatric trauma care and outcome research. The traditional Injury Severity Score (ISS) does not consider the differential risks of the Abbreviated Injury Scale (AIS) from different body regions nor is it pediatric specific. The objective of this study was to develop a weighted ISS (wISS) system for pediatric blunt trauma patients with better predictive power than ISS. METHODS:Based on the association between mortality and AIS from each of the six ISS body regions, we generated different weights for the component AIS scores used in the calculation of ISS. The weights and wISS were generated using the National Trauma Data Bank. The Nationwide Emergency Department Sample (NEDS) was used to validate our main results. Pediatric blunt trauma patients younger than 16 years were included, and mortality was the outcome. Discrimination (areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, concordance) and calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow statistic) were compared between the wISS and ISS. RESULTS:The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves from the wISS and ISS are 0.88 versus 0.86 in ISS of 1 to 74 and 0.77 versus 0.64 in ISS of 25 to 74 (p < 0.0001). The wISS showed higher specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and concordance when they were compared at similar levels of sensitivity. The wISS had better calibration (smaller Hosmer-Lemeshow statistic) than the ISS (11.6 vs. 19.7 for ISS = 1-74 and 10.9 vs. 12.6 for ISS = 25-74). The wISS showed even better discrimination with the Nationwide Emergency Department Sample. CONCLUSION:By weighting the AIS from different body regions, the wISS had significantly better predictive power for mortality than the ISS, especially in critically injured children. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE AND STUDY TYPE:Prognostic/epidemiological, level IV.

Project description:BackgroundChildren suffering nonaccidental trauma (NAT) are at high risk of death. It is unclear whether markers of injury severity for trauma center/system benchmarking such as Injury Severity Score (ISS) adequately characterize this. Our objective was to evaluate mortality prediction of ISS in children with NAT compared with accidental trauma (AT).MethodsPediatric patients younger than 16 years from the Pennsylvania state trauma registry 2000 to 2013 were included. Logistic regression predicted mortality from ISS for NAT and AT patients. Multilevel logistic regression determined the association between mortality and ISS while adjusting for age, vital signs, and injury pattern in NAT and AT patients. Similar models were performed for head Abbreviated Injury Scale (AIS). Sensitivity analysis examined impaired functional independence at discharge as an alternate outcome.ResultsFifty thousand five hundred seventy-nine patients were included with 1,866 (3.7%) NAT patients. Nonaccidental trauma patients had a similar rate of mortality at an ISS of 13 as an ISS of 25 for AT patients. Nonaccidental trauma patients also have higher mortality for a given head AIS level (range, 1.2-fold to 5.9-fold higher). Injury Severity Score was a significantly greater predictor of mortality in AT patients (adjusted odds rations [AOR], 1.14; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.13-1.15; p < 0.01) than NAT patients (AOR, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.07-1.12; p < 0.01) per 1-point ISS increase, while head injury was a significantly greater predictor of mortality in NAT patients (AOR, 3.48; 95% CI, 1.54-8.32; p < 0.01) than AT patients (AOR, 1.21; 95% CI, 0.95-1.45; p = 0.12). Nonaccidental trauma patients had a higher rate of impaired functional independence at any given ISS or head AIS level than AT patients.ConclusionNonaccidental trauma patients have higher mortality and impaired function at a given ISS/head AIS than AT patients. Conventional ISS thresholds may underestimate risk and head injury is a more important predictor of mortality in the NAT population. These findings should be considered in system performance improvement and benchmarking efforts that rely on ISS for injury characterization.Level of evidenceEpidemiologic study, level III.

Project description:BackgroundThoracic trauma is a major cause of death in trauma patients and road traffic accident (RTA)-related thoracic injuries have different characteristics than those with non-RTA related thoracic traumas, but this have been poorly described. The main objective was to investigate the epidemiology, injury pattern and outcome of patients suffering a significant RTA-related thoracic injury. Secondary objective was to investigate the influence of serious thoracic injuries on mortality, compared to other serious injuries.MethodsWe performed a multicenter observational study including patients of the Rhône RTA registry between 1997 and 2016 sustaining a moderate to lethal (Abbreviated Injury Scale, AIS≥2) injury in any body region. A subgroup (AISThorax≥2 group) included those with one or more AIS≥2 thoracic injury. Descriptive statistics were performed for the main outcome and a multivariate logistic regression was computed for our secondary outcome.ResultsA total of 176,346 patients were included in the registry and 6,382 (3.6%) sustained a thoracic injury. Among those, median age [IQR] was 41 [25-58] years, and 68.9% were male. The highest incidence of thoracic injuries in female patients was in the 70-79 years age group, while this was observed in the 20-29 years age group among males. Most patients were car occupants (52.3%). Chest wall injuries were the most frequent thoracic injuries (62.1%), 52.4% of which were multiple rib fractures. Trauma brain injuries (TBI) were the most frequent concomitant injuries (29.1%). The frequency of MAISThorax = 2 injuries increased with age while that of MAISThorax = 3 injuries decreased. A total of 16.2% patients died. Serious (AIS≥3) thoracic injuries (OR = 12.4, 95%CI [8.6;18.0]) were strongly associated with mortality but less than were TBI (OR = 27.9, 95%CI [21.3;36.7]).ConclusionModerate to lethal RTA-related thoracic injuries were rare. Multiple ribs fractures, pulmonary contusions, and sternal fractures were the most frequent anatomical injuries. The incidence, injury pattern and mechanisms greatly vary across age groups.

Dataset Information

Comorbidities, injury severity and complications predict mortality in thoracic trauma.

Purpose

Methods

Results

Conclusion

Trial registration

Publications

Comorbidities, injury severity and complications predict mortality in thoracic trauma.

Similar Datasets

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