Dataset Information

Revisiting the stopping rule for hepatitis C genotype 1 patients treated with peginterferon plus ribavirin.

ABSTRACT:

Background

The current stopping rule for peginterferon/ribavirin therapy in hepatitis C virus genotype-1 (HCV-1) patients is based on an early virological response (EVR, defined as >2 log(10) viral reduction at treatment week 12). We aimed to explore rapid stopping rules at week 4.

Methods

We randomly allocated 528 HCV-1 patients into training and validation sets (at a 1?2 ratio). The interleukin-28B rs8099917 genotypes and on-treatment virological responses were evaluated to determine the negative predictive value (NPV) for achieving a sustained virological response (SVR, defined as undetectable HCV RNA 24 weeks after end-of-treatment). The study was approved by the ethics committees of the participating hospitals. All of the patients gave written informed consent before enrollment.

Results

A poor week 4 response (W4R), defined as a HCV RNA reduction of <1 log(10) IU/mL at week 4 or a week 4 HCV RNA>10,000 IU/mL with interleukin-28B non-TT genotype, had the highest NPV (95%). In the complete sample, poor W4R could identify 43.4% (59/136) of the non-responders, with an NPV of 95% and a false negative rate of only 0.8% (3/396). The multivariate analysis revealed that a poor W4R was the most important negative predictor (odds ratio/95% confidence intervals: 49.01/13.70-175.37), followed by the lack of an EVR. In addition to HCV RNA<1 log(10) IU/mL reduction, using the criteria of HCV RNA>10,000 IU/mL/non-TT genotype helped identifying an additional one-third of non-SVR patients at W4.Using the strategy of sequential rapid stopping rule strategy could identify 53.7% (73/136) of the non-responders (43.4% at week 4 and an addition 11.3% at week 12), as compared to 40.4% for the classical week-12 early stopping rule.

Conclusions

Sequential rapid stopping rules using on-treatment virological responses and interleukin-28B genotype can rapidly identify additional peginterferon/ribavirin non-responders.

SUBMITTER: Yu ML

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3528729 | biostudies-literature | 2012

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Revisiting the stopping rule for hepatitis C genotype 1 patients treated with peginterferon plus ribavirin.

Yu Ming-Lung ML Liu Chen-Hua CH Huang Chung-Feng CF Tseng Tai-Chung TC Huang Jee-Fu JF Dai Chia-Yen CY Lin Zu-Yau ZY Chen Shinn-Cherng SC Wang Liang-Yen LY Juo Suh-Hang Hank SH Chuang Wan-Long WL Kao Jia-Horng JH

PloS one 20121221 12

<h4>Background</h4>The current stopping rule for peginterferon/ribavirin therapy in hepatitis C virus genotype-1 (HCV-1) patients is based on an early virological response (EVR, defined as >2 log(10) viral reduction at treatment week 12). We aimed to explore rapid stopping rules at week 4.<h4>Methods</h4>We randomly allocated 528 HCV-1 patients into training and validation sets (at a 1∶2 ratio). The interleukin-28B rs8099917 genotypes and on-treatment virological responses were evaluated to dete ...[more]

PMID: 23284866

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Project description:BackgroundRandomized clinical trials (RCTs) of interventions for the hepatitis C virus have historically used sustained virological response (SVR) at 24 weeks after treatment (SVR24) as the key effect measure. However, recent RCTs investigating the efficacy of new direct acting agents (DAAs) have used SVR at 12 weeks after treatment (SVR12). While there is evidence to suggest SVR24 and SVR12 are similar in patients receiving new DAAs, this is unlikely to be true for patients receiving backbone peginterferon-ribavirin control treatment. Establishing the difference between SVR12 and SVR24 for patients receiving peginterferon-ribavirin treatment is therefore necessary to avoid biased interpretations of the benefits of newer DAAs.MethodsWe searched the MEDLINE®, Embase™, and Cochrane CENTRAL for RCTs with a peginterferon-ribavirin arm that used SVR24 and/or SVR12. As no RCTs reported on both, we pooled SVR12 and SVR24 proportions using conventional meta-analysis. Proportions were pooled separately for peginterferon alpha-2a and alpha-2b. Further, a Bayesian meta-regression model was employed to estimate the difference between SVR12 and SVR24.ResultsThirty-five RCTs including a peginterferon arm were identified. Twenty-four trials included a peginterferon alpha-2a plus ribavirin arms, of which 20 reported SVR24 and five reported SVR12. Seventeen trials included a peginterferon alpha-2b plus ribavirin arm, of which 16 reported SVR24 and one reported SVR12. Using Bayesian meta-regression, the pooled SVR12 was 6% higher than SVR24 with peginterferon alpha-2a (53% versus 47%) and 5% higher with peginterferon alpha-2b (45% versus 40%) and 95% credible intervals (CrIs) were only marginally overlapping. The meta-regression also demonstrated a marginally significant relative risk of 1.13 (95% CrI 0.99-1.26) of SVR12 versus SVR24. The conventional pairwise meta-analyses were consistent with these findings.ConclusionConsidering the relatively large difference observed between SVR12 and SVR24, it seems reasonable to insist that future clinical trials report both to allow for complete transparency and clarity in their interpretation.

Dataset Information

Revisiting the stopping rule for hepatitis C genotype 1 patients treated with peginterferon plus ribavirin.

Background

Methods

Results

Conclusions

Publications

Revisiting the stopping rule for hepatitis C genotype 1 patients treated with peginterferon plus ribavirin.

Similar Datasets

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