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Secular reduction of excess mortality in hip fracture patients >85 years.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND: More than 20% of the hip fracture patients die within the first year after the incident. Few data are available on the trends in mortality following a hip fracture. The present aim was to study changes in excess mortality after hip fracture from 1978/79 up to 1996/97. METHODS: Data on 5180 hip fracture patients aged ? 50 years, identified in three earlier, well validated, incidence studies from Oslo were used. The studies took place in the two years periods 1978-79 and 1989-89 and in a one year period from 1st of May 1996 to 30th of April 1997. The study was designed as a historic cohort study. Exposure was sustaining a hip fracture in the registration periods. Outcome was death of all causes. Age- and sex-specific one year-mortality rates were provided by Statistics Norway. Standardized mortality ratios (SMR) were calculated for the three cohorts for each sex and age-group, for the 0-6 months, 6-12 months, 0-1 year, 1-5 years and 5-10 years intervals after fracture. To assess the duration of the excess mortality in hip fracture patients, time-framed Kaplan-Meier curves for consecutive 5-years intervals were conducted for the hip fracture patients and the corresponding background population. Only patients still alive at the start of the time interval were included. One sample log rank tests were used to test for statistical significance. RESULTS: The one-year SMR ranged from 3.64 (2.82 - 4.61) to 4.53 (3.67 - 5.54) in men and from 2.78 (2.39 - 3.19) to 3.60 (3.19 - 4.05) in women. In the 0-6 months interval a reduction in SMR from 1978/79 to 1996/97 was observed in women aged ?85 years. The duration of excess mortality ranged from two years in men ?85 years to more than ten years in men and women aged 65-84 years. CONCLUSION: Excess mortality among hip fracture patients remains high. Over the decades, a reduced excess mortality was mainly seen in the oldest patients, suggesting that specific efforts intending to improve prevention and treatment of osteoporosis and osteoporotic fractures in the youngest elderly are required.

SUBMITTER: Finnes TE

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3610125 | biostudies-literature | 2013

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Secular reduction of excess mortality in hip fracture patients >85 years.

Finnes Trine E TE Meyer Haakon E HE Falch Jan A JA Medhus Asle W AW Wentzel-Larsen Tore T Lofthus Cathrine M CM

BMC geriatrics 20130313

<h4>Background</h4>More than 20% of the hip fracture patients die within the first year after the incident. Few data are available on the trends in mortality following a hip fracture. The present aim was to study changes in excess mortality after hip fracture from 1978/79 up to 1996/97.<h4>Methods</h4>Data on 5180 hip fracture patients aged ≥ 50 years, identified in three earlier, well validated, incidence studies from Oslo were used. The studies took place in the two years periods 1978-79 and 1 ...[more]

PMID: 23496953

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Project description:The AHFS90 was developed for the prediction of early mortality in patients ≥ 90 years undergoing hip fracture surgery. The AHFS90 has a good accuracy and in most risk categories a good calibration. In our study population, the AHFS90 yielded a maximum prediction of early mortality of 64.5%.PurposeIdentifying hip fracture patients with a high risk of early mortality after surgery could help make treatment decisions and information about the prognosis. This study aims to develop and validate a risk score for predicting early mortality in patients ≥ 90 years undergoing hip fracture surgery (AHFS90).MethodsPatients ≥ 90 years, surgically treated for a hip fracture, were included. A selection of possible predictors for mortality was made. Missing data were subjected to multiple imputations using chained equations. Logistic regression was performed to develop the AHFS90, which was internally and externally validated. Calibration was assessed using a calibration plot and comparing observed and predicted risks.ResultsOne hundred and two of the 922 patients (11.1%) died ≤ 30 days following hip fracture surgery. The AHFS90 includes age, gender, dementia, living in a nursing home, ASA score, and hemoglobin level as predictors for early mortality. The AHFS90 had good accuracy (area under the curve 0.72 for geographic cross validation). Predicted risks correspond with observed risks of early mortality in four risk categories. In two risk categories, the AHFS90 overestimates the risk. In one risk category, no mortality was observed; therefore, no analysis was possible. The AHFS90 had a maximal prediction of early mortality of 64.5% in this study population.ConclusionThe AHFS90 accurately predicts early mortality after hip fracture surgery in patients ≥ 90 years of age. Predicted risks correspond to observed risks in most risk categories. In our study population, the AHFS90 yielded a maximum prediction of early mortality of 64.5%.

Project description:PurposeHip fracture surgery is associated with a risk of morbidity and mortality, with admission hemoglobin levels being a significant predictor of mortality risk. The aim of this study is to evaluate the relationship between the preoperative hemoglobin (Hb) levels and mortality in patients who underwent hip fracture surgeries, with the goal of enhancing prognosis prediction and reducing complications within this patient subset. In addition, to assess the characteristics of patients at a higher risk of postoperative mortality.MethodsThis retrospective study was conducted at Jordan University Hospital, a single tertiary care and educational center. It included patients with hip fractures who underwent surgical repair at the Department of Orthopedic Surgery and were recruited between December 2019 and February 2022. We examined the relationships between preoperative hemoglobin status and variables such as age at admission, gender, fracture type, surgery type, comorbidities, duration of hospital stay, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and survival outcomes.ResultsWe included 626 patients; the mean age was 76.27 ± 9.57 years. 3-month and 6-month mortality rates were 11.2% and 14.1%, respectively. The highest mortality was observed in patients aged over 80 years (n = 53/245, 21.6%), and in male patients (n = 53/300, 17.7%). The Hb level upon admission was lower in individuals who died within 6 months compared to those who survived (10.97 ± 2.02 vs. 11.99 ± 2.39, p < 0.001). In multivariate analysis, the independent factors that were statistically significant in the model included gender (OR = 1.867; 95% CI 1.122-3.107, p = 0.016), age (OR = 1.060; 95% CI 1.029-1.092; p < 0.001), hemoglobin level upon admission (OR = 0.827; 95% CI 0.721-0.949; p = 0.007), history of renal disease (OR = 1.958; 95% CI 1.014-3.784; p = 0.045), length of hospital stay (OR = 1.080; 95% CI 1.036-1.126; p < 0.001), and ICU admission (OR = 1.848; 95% CI 1.049-3.257; p = 0.034).ConclusionOur study illustrates that low hemoglobin levels, history of renal disease, along with male gender, advanced age, extended hospital stays, and ICU admission were significantly associated with 6-month mortality. Future investigations should consider assessing varying degrees of anemia based on hemoglobin concentrations to provide a more comprehensive understanding of anemia's impact on mortality. This study investigated the relationship between preoperative hemoglobin levels, patient characteristics, and mortality in patients who underwent hip fracture surgeries. The results showed that lower hemoglobin levels, history of renal disease, male gender, advanced age, extended hospital stays, and ICU admission were significant predictors for mortality.

Project description:ObjectiveIntertrochanteric fracture is one type of hip fracture, which is the most serious consequence of osteoporosis. Along with the growing elderly population, intertrochanteric fracture is expected to rise increasingly. The aim of this study was to assess excess mortality after intertrochanteric fractures and to identify the predictors of long-term mortality by therapy among patients aged 50 years and older in Tianjin.MethodsThis is a retrospective cohort study on mortality for 3029 patients aged 50 years and older in Tianjin experiencing an intertrochanteric fracture between December 26, 2014 and December 31, 2018. Data were from Tianjin Hospital Hip Fracture (THHF) cohort. Follow-up period was until March 31, 2022. Mortality, excess mortality, and comorbidities were analyzed and stratified by therapy and gender. Time dependent Cox models were performed to estimate the effects of the variables.ResultsAbsolute mortality for all the patients was 5.90% at 3 months, 12.55% at 12 months, 19.92% at 24 months and 27.28% at 36 months. Absolute mortality for surgical group was 1.57% at 3 months, 4.77% at 12 months, 8.49% at 24 months and 12.07% at 36 months, significantly lower than conservative group: 10.50% at 3 months, 20.73% at 12 months, 31.96% at 24 months and 43.04% at 36 months. We found a substantially lower mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 0.34, 95% confidence internal, [CI]: 0.23-0.52, p = 0.000) among patients undergoing surgical therapy than those undergoing conservative therapy, even when controlled for gender, age, the length of hospital stay, and all the comorbidities. Female patients (HR 0.68, 95% CI: 0.58-0.79, p = 0.000) were less likely to die than male patients after an intertrochanteric fracture. Patients treated by the two methods were both found to have excess mortality rates compared to the general population, although in different levels. The excess mortality rates for patients in the conservative therapy group were 14.46% in males and 17.93% in females, while in the surgical therapy group, 2.78% in females and 4.37% in males. The comorbidities moderate or severe renal disease (HR 2.19, 95% CI: 1.61-2.98, p = 0.000), metastatic solid tumor (HR 6.35, 95% CI: 1.56-25.85, p = 0.010), hypoproteinemia (HR 1.22, 95% CI: 1.01-1.47, p = 0.034), and older age (HR 1.89, 95% CI: 1.73-2.08, p = 0.000) were also risk factors on mortality. A worse-case analysis for the primary outcome were performed as sensitivity analysis and it was consistent with the original conclusion.ConclusionIntertrochanteric factures for people aged 50 years older were found to have excess mortality compared to the general population in Tianjin city, and preventing the fractures in the hip for elderly people was imperative. After controlling tfor comorbidities and age, female gender and surgical therapy were protective factors for the death after fractures, which could provide strong evidence for patients and surgeons to make decisions.

Dataset Information

Secular reduction of excess mortality in hip fracture patients >85 years.

Publications

Secular reduction of excess mortality in hip fracture patients >85 years.

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