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Mendelian randomization: potential use of genetics to enable causal inferences regarding HIV-associated biomarkers and outcomes.

ABSTRACT: It is unknown whether biomarkers simply correlate with or are causal for HIV-associated outcomes. Mendelian randomization is a genetic epidemiologic approach used to disentangle causation from association. Here, we discuss the potential use of Mendelian randomization for differentiating whether biomarkers are correlating with or causal for HIV-associated outcomes.Mendelian randomization refers to the random allocation of alleles at the time of gamete formation. In observational epidemiology, this refers to the use of genetic variants to estimate a causal effect between a modifiable risk factor and an outcome of interest. A formal Mendelian randomization study using a genetic marker as a proxy for the biomarker has not been conducted in the HIV field. However, in the postgenomic era, this approach is being used increasingly. Examples are evidence for the causal role of BMI in blood pressure and noncausal role of C-reactive protein in coronary heart disease. We discuss the conceptual framework, uses, and limitations of Mendelian randomization in the context of HIV infection as well as specific biomarkers (IL-6, C-reactive protein) and genetic determinants (e.g., in CCR5, chemokine, and DARC genes) that associate with HIV-related outcomes.Making the distinction between correlation and causality has particular relevance when a biomarker (e.g., IL-6) is potentially modifiable, in which case a biomarker-guided targeted treatment strategy may be feasible. Although the tenets of Mendelian randomization rest on strong assumptions, and conducting a Mendelian randomization study in HIV infection presents many challenges, it may offer the potential to identify causal biomarkers for HIV-associated outcomes.

SUBMITTER: He W

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3823240 | biostudies-literature | 2010 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Mendelian randomization: potential use of genetics to enable causal inferences regarding HIV-associated biomarkers and outcomes.

He Weijing W Castiblanco John J Walter Elizabeth A EA Okulicz Jason F JF Ahuja Sunil K SK

Current opinion in HIV and AIDS 20101101 6

<h4>Purpose of review</h4>It is unknown whether biomarkers simply correlate with or are causal for HIV-associated outcomes. Mendelian randomization is a genetic epidemiologic approach used to disentangle causation from association. Here, we discuss the potential use of Mendelian randomization for differentiating whether biomarkers are correlating with or causal for HIV-associated outcomes.<h4>Recent findings</h4>Mendelian randomization refers to the random allocation of alleles at the time of ga ...[more]

PMID: 20978399

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Project description:An understanding of whether homocysteine is a cause or a marker of increased blood pressure is relevant because blood homocysteine can be effectively lowered by safe and inexpensive interventions (e.g., vitamin B-6, B-9, and B-12 supplementation).The aim was to assess the causal influence of homocysteine on systolic and diastolic blood pressure (SBP and DBP, respectively) in adults with the use of Mendelian randomization (MR).Data from the 1982 Pelotas Birth Cohort (Brazil) were used. A total of 4297 subjects were evaluated in 2004-2005 (mean age: 22.8 y). The association of homocysteine concentration with SBP and DBP was assessed by conventional ordinary least-squares (OLS) linear regression and 2-stage least-squares (2SLS) regression (MR analysis). The single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase (MTHFR) C677T (rs1801133) was used as proxy for homocysteine concentration. We also applied MR to data from the International Consortium for Blood Pressure (ICBP) genomewide association studies (>69,000 participants) using rs1801133 and additional homocysteine-associated SNPs as instruments.In OLS regression, a 1-SD unit increase in log homocysteine concentration was associated with an increase of 0.9 (95% CI: 0.4, 1.4) mm Hg in SBP and of 1.0 (95% CI: 0.6, 1.4) mm Hg in DBP. In 2SLS regression, for the same increase in homocysteine, the coefficients were -1.8 mm Hg for SBP (95% CI: -3.9, 0.4 mm Hg; P = 0.01) and 0.1 mm Hg for DBP (95% CI: -1.5, 1.7 mm Hg; P = 0.24). In the MR analysis of ICBP data, homocysteine concentration was not associated with SBP (? = 0.6 mm Hg for each 1-SD unit increase in log homocysteine; 95% CI: -0.8, 1.9 mm Hg) but was positively associated with DBP (? = 1.1 mm Hg; 95% CI: 0.2, 1.9 mm Hg). The association of genetically increased homocysteine with DBP was not consistent across different SNPs.Overall, the present findings do not corroborate the hypothesis that homocysteine has a causal role in blood pressure, especially in SBP.

Dataset Information

Mendelian randomization: potential use of genetics to enable causal inferences regarding HIV-associated biomarkers and outcomes.

Publications

Mendelian randomization: potential use of genetics to enable causal inferences regarding HIV-associated biomarkers and outcomes.

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