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Time-varying, serotype-specific force of infection of dengue virus.

ABSTRACT: Infectious disease models play a key role in public health planning. These models rely on accurate estimates of key transmission parameters such as the force of infection (FoI), which is the per-capita risk of a susceptible person being infected. The FoI captures the fundamental dynamics of transmission and is crucial for gauging control efforts, such as identifying vaccination targets. Dengue virus (DENV) is a mosquito-borne, multiserotype pathogen that currently infects ?390 million people a year. Existing estimates of the DENV FoI are inaccurate because they rely on the unrealistic assumption that risk is constant over time. Dengue models are thus unreliable for designing vaccine deployment strategies. Here, we present to our knowledge the first time-varying (daily), serotype-specific estimates of DENV FoIs using a spline-based fitting procedure designed to examine a 12-y, longitudinal DENV serological dataset from Iquitos, Peru (11,703 individuals, 38,416 samples, and 22,301 serotype-specific DENV infections from 1999 to 2010). The yearly DENV FoI varied markedly across time and serotypes (0-0.33), as did daily basic reproductive numbers (0.49-4.72). During specific time periods, the FoI fluctuations correlated across serotypes, indicating that different DENV serotypes shared common transmission drivers. The marked variation in transmission intensity that we detected indicates that intervention targets based on one-time estimates of the FoI could underestimate the level of effort needed to prevent disease. Our description of dengue virus transmission dynamics is unprecedented in detail, providing a basis for understanding the persistence of this rapidly emerging pathogen and improving disease prevention programs.

SUBMITTER: Reiner RC

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4084484 | biostudies-literature | 2014 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Time-varying, serotype-specific force of infection of dengue virus.

Reiner Robert C RC Stoddard Steven T ST Forshey Brett M BM King Aaron A AA Ellis Alicia M AM Lloyd Alun L AL Long Kanya C KC Rocha Claudio C Vilcarromero Stalin S Astete Helvio H Bazan Isabel I Lenhart Audrey A Vazquez-Prokopec Gonzalo M GM Paz-Soldan Valerie A VA McCall Philip J PJ Kitron Uriel U Elder John P JP Halsey Eric S ES Morrison Amy C AC Kochel Tadeusz J TJ Scott Thomas W TW

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 20140520 26

Infectious disease models play a key role in public health planning. These models rely on accurate estimates of key transmission parameters such as the force of infection (FoI), which is the per-capita risk of a susceptible person being infected. The FoI captures the fundamental dynamics of transmission and is crucial for gauging control efforts, such as identifying vaccination targets. Dengue virus (DENV) is a mosquito-borne, multiserotype pathogen that currently infects ∼390 million people a y ...[more]

PMID: 24847073

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Project description:The DENV envelope (E) and pre-membrane (prM) glycoproteins are primary targets of serologic immunity after infection and vaccination. Of these, serotype-specific (TS) antibodies typically target E domains, while serotype cross-reactive (CR) antibodies typically the target prM protein and conserved E regions. To identify and quantify E-domain TS neutralizing antibody responses in polyclonal sera, we developed a panel of chimeric DENV4/2 viruses that incorporate DENV2 envelope domain I, II, and III (DENV4/2-EDI, EDII, EDIII) into the DENV4 E glycoprotein. Chimeric DENV4/2 viruses were recovered, replicated efficiently, and displayed similar maturation states as parental viruses. The recovery of viable DENV4/2-EDII recombinants required the inclusion of chimeric DENV4/2 prM that maintained critical interactions with chimeric E. To assess structural integrity and epitope display of chimeric viruses, we examined neutralization of mature virions by monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) and heterotypic polyclonal sera. The ED-chimeric virions preserved epitopes of TS and envelope-dimer-epitope CR mAbs and had similar sensitivity to CR polyclonal responses as parental strains. Primary sera from natural infection and human challenge target a region centered on EDIII and secondarily target EDII and EDI. Sera from natural infection had a unique neutralization pattern compared to sera from human challenge, which included greater frequency and higher titer of responses against DENV EDII. In summary, DENV4/2 E recombinant viruses delineate the subdomain targets of TS antibodies after vaccination and primary infection, which may provide new correlates of protection or identify epitopes of neutralizing monoclonal antibodies.IMPORTANCEThe four dengue virus (DENV) serotypes infect several hundred million people each year. Although primary infection is generally mild, subsequent infection by differing serotypes increases the risk for symptomatic disease ranging from fever to life-threatening shock. Despite the availability of licensed vaccines, a comprehensive understanding of antibodies that target the viral envelope protein and protect from infection remains incomplete. In this manuscript, we develop a panel of recombinant viruses that graft each envelope domain of DENV2 onto the DENV4 envelope glycoprotein, revealing protein interactions important for virus viability. Furthermore, we map neutralizing antibody responses after primary DENV2 natural infection and a human challenge model to distinct domains on the viral envelope protein. The panel of recombinant viruses provides a new tool for dissecting the E domain-specific targeting of protective antibody responses, informing future DENV vaccine design.

Dataset Information

Time-varying, serotype-specific force of infection of dengue virus.

Publications

Time-varying, serotype-specific force of infection of dengue virus.

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