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Refined ambient PM2.5 exposure surrogates and the risk of myocardial infarction.

ABSTRACT: Using a case-crossover study design and conditional logistic regression, we compared the relative odds of transmural (full-wall) myocardial infarction (MI) calculated using exposure surrogates that account for human activity patterns and the indoor transport of ambient PM(2.5) with those calculated using central-site PM(2.5) concentrations to estimate exposure to PM(2.5) of outdoor origin (exposure to ambient PM(2.5)). Because variability in human activity and indoor PM(2.5) transport contributes exposure error in epidemiologic analyses when central-site concentrations are used as exposure surrogates, we refer to surrogates that account for this variability as "refined" surrogates. As an alternative analysis, we evaluated whether the relative odds of transmural MI associated with increases in ambient PM(2.5) is modified by residential air exchange rate (AER), a variable that influences the fraction of ambient PM(2.5) that penetrates and persists indoors. Use of refined exposure surrogates did not result in larger health effect estimates (ORs=1.10-1.11 with each interquartile range (IQR) increase), narrower confidence intervals, or better model fits compared with the analysis that used central-site PM(2.5). We did observe evidence for heterogeneity in the relative odds of transmural MI with residential AER (effect-modification), with residents of homes with higher AERs having larger ORs than homes in lower AER tertiles. For the level of exposure-estimate refinement considered here, our findings add support to the use of central-site PM(2.5) concentrations for epidemiological studies that use similar case-crossover study designs. In such designs, each subject serves as his or her own matched control. Thus, exposure error related to factors that vary spatially or across subjects should only minimally impact effect estimates. These findings also illustrate that variability in factors that influence the fraction of ambient PM(2.5) in indoor air (e.g., AER) could possibly bias health effect estimates in study designs for which a spatiotemporal comparison of exposure effects across subjects is conducted.

SUBMITTER: Hodas N

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4084717 | biostudies-literature | 2013 Nov-Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Refined ambient PM2.5 exposure surrogates and the risk of myocardial infarction.

Hodas Natasha N Turpin Barbara J BJ Lunden Melissa M MM Baxter Lisa K LK Özkaynak Halûk H Burke Janet J Ohman-Strickland Pamela P Thevenet-Morrison Kelly K Kostis John B JB Rich David Q DQ

Journal of exposure science & environmental epidemiology 20130529 6

Using a case-crossover study design and conditional logistic regression, we compared the relative odds of transmural (full-wall) myocardial infarction (MI) calculated using exposure surrogates that account for human activity patterns and the indoor transport of ambient PM(2.5) with those calculated using central-site PM(2.5) concentrations to estimate exposure to PM(2.5) of outdoor origin (exposure to ambient PM(2.5)). Because variability in human activity and indoor PM(2.5) transport contribute ...[more]

PMID: 23715082

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Project description:Background & aimsExisting evidence suggests that long-term exposure to ambient fine particulate pollution (PM2.5) may increase metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) risk. However, there is still limited evidence on the association of PM2.5 constituents with MAFLD. Therefore, this study explores the associations between the five main chemical constituents of PM2.5 and MAFLD to provide more explicit information on the liver exposome.MethodsA total of 76,727 participants derived from the China Multi-Ethnic Cohort, a large-scale epidemic survey in southwest China, were included in this study. Multiple linear regression models were used to estimate the pollutant-specific association with MAFLD. Weighted quantile sum regression was used to evaluate the joint effect of the pollutant-mixture on MAFLD and identify which constituents contribute most to it.ResultsThree-year exposure to PM2.5 constituents was associated with a higher MAFLD risk and more severe liver fibrosis. Odds ratios for MAFLD were 1.480, 1.426, 1.294, 1.561, 1.618, and 1.368 per standard deviation increase in PM2.5, black carbon, organic matter, ammonium, sulfate, and nitrate, respectively. Joint exposure to the five major chemical constituents was also positively associated with MAFLD (odds ratio 1.490, 95% CI 1.360-1.632). Nitrate contributed most to the joint effect of the pollutant-mixture. Further stratified analyses indicate that males, current smokers, and individuals with a high-fat diet might be more susceptible to ambient PM2.5 exposure than others.ConclusionsLong-term exposure to PM2.5 and its five major chemical constituents may increase the risk of MAFLD. Nitrate might contribute most to MAFLD, which may provide new clues for liver health. Males, current smokers, and participants with high-fat diets were more susceptible to these associations.Impact and implicationsThis large-scale epidemiologic study explored the associations between constituents of fine particulate pollution (PM2.5) and metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD), and further revealed which constituents play a more important role in increasing the risk of MAFLD. In contrast to previous studies that examined the effects of PM2.5 as a whole substance, this study carefully explored the health effects of the individual constituents of PM2.5. These findings could (1) help researchers to identify the specific particles responsible for hepatotoxicity, and (2) indicate possible directions for policymakers to efficiently control ambient air pollution, such as targeting the sources of nitrate pollution.

Dataset Information

Refined ambient PM2.5 exposure surrogates and the risk of myocardial infarction.

Publications

Refined ambient PM2.5 exposure surrogates and the risk of myocardial infarction.

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