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Breast cancer incidence and mortality in a transitioning Chinese population: current and future trends.


ABSTRACT:

Background

Projections of future trends in cancer incidence and mortality are important for public health planning.

Methods

By using 1976-2010 data in Hong Kong, we fitted Poisson age-period-cohort models and made projections for future breast cancer incidence and mortality to 2025.

Results

Age-standardised breast cancer incidence (/mortality) is projected to increase (/decline) from 56.7 (/9.3) in 2011-2015 to 62.5 (/8.6) per 100,000 women in 2021-2025.

Conclusions

The incidence pattern may relate to Hong Kong's socio-economic developmental history, while falling mortality trends are, most likely, due to improvements in survival from treatment advancement and improved health service delivery.

SUBMITTER: Wong IO 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4453599 | biostudies-literature | 2015 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Breast cancer incidence and mortality in a transitioning Chinese population: current and future trends.

Wong I O L IO   Schooling C M CM   Cowling B J BJ   Leung G M GM  

British journal of cancer 20141007 1


<h4>Background</h4>Projections of future trends in cancer incidence and mortality are important for public health planning.<h4>Methods</h4>By using 1976-2010 data in Hong Kong, we fitted Poisson age-period-cohort models and made projections for future breast cancer incidence and mortality to 2025.<h4>Results</h4>Age-standardised breast cancer incidence (/mortality) is projected to increase (/decline) from 56.7 (/9.3) in 2011-2015 to 62.5 (/8.6) per 100,000 women in 2021-2025.<h4>Conclusions</h4>  ...[more]

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