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Prognostic factors in the acute respiratory distress syndrome.

ABSTRACT: Despite improvements in critical care, acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) remains a devastating clinical problem with high rates of morbidity and mortality. A better understanding of the prognostic factors associated with ARDS is crucial for facilitating risk stratification and developing new therapeutic interventions that aim to improve clinical outcomes. In this article, we present an up-to-date summary of factors that predict mortality in ARDS in four categories: (1) clinical characteristics; (2) physiological parameters and oxygenation; (3) genetic polymorphisms and biomarkers; and (4) scoring systems. In addition, we discuss how a better understanding of clinical and basic pathogenic mechanisms can help to inform prognostication, decision-making, risk stratification, treatment selection, and improve study design for clinical trials.

SUBMITTER: Chen W

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4534483 | biostudies-literature | 2015 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Prognostic factors in the acute respiratory distress syndrome.

Chen Wei W Ware Lorraine B LB

Clinical and translational medicine 20150702 1

Despite improvements in critical care, acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) remains a devastating clinical problem with high rates of morbidity and mortality. A better understanding of the prognostic factors associated with ARDS is crucial for facilitating risk stratification and developing new therapeutic interventions that aim to improve clinical outcomes. In this article, we present an up-to-date summary of factors that predict mortality in ARDS in four categories: (1) clinical characte ...[more]

PMID: 26162279

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Project description:BACKGROUND:Acute kidney injury (AKI) is the most frequent extra-pulmonary organ failure in acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). The objective of this study was to assess the factors associated with the development and severity of AKI in patients with ARDS. METHODS:This is a retrospective cohort study of ARDS patients without acute or chronic kidney disease prior to the onset of ARDS over a 7-year period (2010-2017). AKI and severity of AKI were defined according to the Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes 2012 guidelines. RESULTS:Of the 634 ARDS patients, 357 patients met study criteria. A total of 244 (68.3%) patients developed AKI after ARDS onset: 60 (24.6%) had stage I AKI, 66 (27%) had stage II AKI, and 118 (48.4%) had stage III AKI. The median time of AKI onset for stage I AKI was 2 days (interquartile range, 1.5-5.5) while stage II and III AKI was 4 days. On multivariable analysis, factors associated with development of AKI were age [subdistribution hazard ratio (SHR) 1.01, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.00-1.02], SOFA score (SHR 1.16, 95%CI 1.12-1.21), a history of diabetes mellitus (DM) (SHR 1.42, 95%CI 1.07-1.89), and arterial pH on day 1 of ARDS (SHR per 0.1 units decrease was 1.18, 95%CI 1.05-1.32). In severity of AKI, stage I AKI was associated with age (SHR 1.03, 95%CI 1.01-1.05) and serum bicarbonate on day 1 of ARDS (SHR 1.07, 95%CI 1.02-1.13). Stage II AKI was associated with age (SHR 1.03, 95%CI 1.01-1.05), serum bicarbonate on day 1 (SHR 1.12, 95%CI 1.06-1.18), SOFA score (SHR 1.19, 95%CI 1.10-1.30), history of heart failure (SHR 3.71, 95%CI 1.63-8.46), and peak airway pressure (SHR 1.04, 95%CI 1.00-1.07). Stage III AKI was associated with a higher BMI (SHR 1.02, 95%CI 1.00-1.03), a history of DM (SHR 1.79, 95%CI 1.18-2.72), SOFA score (SHR 1.29, 95%CI 1.22-1.36), and arterial pH on day 1 (SHR per 0.1 units decrease was 1.25, 95%CI 1.05-1.49). CONCLUSIONS:Age, a higher severity of illness, a history of diabetes, and acidosis were associated with development of AKI in ARDS patients. Severity of AKI was further associated with BMI, history of heart failure, and peak airway pressure.

Project description:BackgroundAcute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) is heterogeneous. As an indication of the heterogeneity of ARDS, there are patients whose syndrome improves rapidly (i.e., within 24 hours), others whose hypoxemia improves gradually and still others whose severe hypoxemia persists for several days. The latter group of patients with persistent severe ARDS poses challenges to clinicians. We attempted to assess the baseline characteristics and outcomes of persistent severe ARDS and to identify which variables are useful to predict it.MethodsA secondary analysis of patient-level data from the ALTA, EDEN and SAILS ARDSNet clinical trials was conducted. We defined persistent severe ARDS as a partial pressure of arterial oxygen to fraction of inspired oxygen ratio (PaO2:FiO2) of equal to or less than 100 mmHg on the second study day following enrollment. Regularized logistic regression with an L1 penalty [Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO)] techniques were used to identify predictive variables of persistent severe ARDS.ResultsOf the 1531 individuals with ARDS alive on the second study day after enrollment, 232 (15%) had persistent severe ARDS. Of the latter, 100 (43%) individuals had mild or moderate hypoxemia at baseline. Usage of vasopressors was greater [144/232 (62%) versus 623/1299 (48%); p<0.001] and baseline severity of illness was higher in patients with versus without persistent severe ARDS. Mortality at 60 days [95/232 (41%) versus 233/1299 (18%); p<0.001] was higher, and ventilator-free (p<0.001), intensive care unit-free [0 (0-14) versus 19 (7-23); p<0.001] and non-pulmonary organ failure-free [3 (0-21) versus 20 (1-26); p<0.001] days were fewer in patients with versus without persistent severe ARDS. PaO2:FiO2, FiO2, hepatic failure and positive end-expiratory pressure at enrollment were useful predictive variables.ConclusionsPatients with persistent severe ARDS have distinct baseline characteristics and poor prognosis. Identifying such patients at enrollment may be useful for the prognostic enrichment of trials.

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Prognostic factors in the acute respiratory distress syndrome.

Publications

Prognostic factors in the acute respiratory distress syndrome.

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