Dataset Information

Nomogram to predict pathologic complete response in HER2-positive breast cancer treated with neoadjuvant systemic therapy.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Pathologic complete response (pCR) is associated with improved survival outcomes in patients with HER2-positive primary breast cancer. We developed a nomogram to predict the probability of pCR rates by using oestrogen receptor (ER) expression, progesterone receptor (PR) expression and HER2/CEP17 ratio as continuous variables.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed patients with stages I-III HER2-positive invasive breast cancer who had definitive surgery in 1999-2015 and received neoadjuvant systemic therapy (NST). Multivariate logistic regression models were applied to assess the effect of variables on pCR. A nomogram was built to estimate the probability of pCR. The discriminative ability was estimated by the concordance index (C-index). The accuracy was assessed graphically with a calibration curve.

Results

A total of 793 patients were included in the analysis. Low ER expression (P<0.001), high HER2/CEP12 ratio (P=0.03), and non-inflammatory breast cancer subtype (P=0.003) were associated with increased pCR rates. Regimens containing trastuzumab or trastuzumab and pertuzumab were associated with higher pCR rates than cytotoxic agents alone (P<0.001 and P<0.001, respectively). The C-index was 0.69. The calibration curve showed good agreement.

Conclusions

Our nomogram predicted the pCR rate after NST among patients with HER2-positive primary breast cancer using clinicopathologic factors.

SUBMITTER: Fujii T

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5318977 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:BackgroundThe introduction of pertuzumab has greatly improved pathological complete response (pCR) rates in HER2-positive breast cancer, yet effects on long-term survival have been limited and it is uncertain which patients derive most benefit. In this study, we determine the prognostic value of BluePrint subtyping in HER2-positive breast cancer. Additionally, we evaluate its use as a biomarker for predicting response to trastuzumab-containing neoadjuvant chemotherapy with or without pertuzumab.MethodsFrom a cohort of patients with stage II-III HER2-positive breast cancer who were treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy and trastuzumab with or without pertuzumab, 836 patients were selected for microarray gene expression analysis, followed by readout of BluePrint standard (HER2, Basal and Luminal) and dual subtypes (HER2-single, Basal-single, Luminal-single, HER2-Basal, Luminal-HER2, Luminal-HER2-Basal). The associations between subtypes and pathological complete response (pCR), overall survival (OS) and breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) were assessed, and pertuzumab benefit was evaluated within the BluePrint subgroups.ResultsBluePrint results were available for 719 patients. In patients with HER2-type tumors, the pCR rate was 71.9% in patients who received pertuzumab versus 43.5% in patients who did not (adjusted Odds Ratio 3.43, 95% CI 2.36-4.96). Additionally, a significantly decreased hazard was observed for both OS (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.45, 95% CI 0.25-0.80) and BCSS (aHR 0.46, 95% CI 0.24-0.86) with pertuzumab treatment. Findings were similar in the HER2-single subgroup. No significant benefit of pertuzumab was seen in other subtypes.ConclusionsIn patients with HER2-type or HER2-single-type tumors, pertuzumab significantly improved the pCR rate and decreased the risk of breast cancer mortality, which was not observed in other subtypes. BluePrint subtyping may be valuable in future studies to identify patients that are likely to be highly sensitive to HER2-targeting agents.