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Late-onset moderate to severe acute respiratory distress syndrome is associated with shorter survival and higher mortality: a two-stage association study.

ABSTRACT: To evaluate the association between acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) onset time and prognosis.Patients with moderate to severe ARDS (N = 876) were randomly assigned into derivation (N = 520) and validation (N = 356) datasets. Both 28-day and 60-day survival times after ARDS onset were analyzed. A data-driven cutoff point between early- and late-onset ARDS was determined on the basis of mortality risk effects of onset times. We estimated the hazard ratio (HR) and odds ratio (OR) of late-onset ARDS using a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model of survival time and a multivariate logistic regression model of mortality rate, respectively.Late-onset ARDS, defined as onset over 48 h after intensive care unit (ICU) admission (N = 273, 31%), was associated with shorter 28-day survival time: HR = 2.24, 95% CI 1.48-3.39, P = 1.24 × 10-4 (derivation); HR = 2.16, 95% CI 1.33-3.51, P = 1.95 × 10-3 (validation); and HR = 2.00, 95% CI 1.47-2.72, P = 1.10 × 10-5 (combined dataset). Late-onset ARDS was also associated with shorter 60-day survival time: HR = 1.70, 95% CI 1.16-2.48, P = 6.62 × 10-3 (derivation); HR = 1.78, 95% CI 1.15-2.75, P = 9.80 × 10-3 (validation); and HR = 1.59, 95% CI 1.20-2.10, P = 1.22 × 10-3 (combined dataset). Meanwhile, late-onset ARDS was associated with higher 28-day mortality rate (OR = 1.46, 95% CI 1.04-2.06, P = 0.0305) and 60-day mortality rate (OR = 1.44, 95% CI 1.03-2.02, P = 0.0313).Late-onset moderate to severe ARDS patients had both shorter survival time and higher mortality rate in 28-day and 60-day observations.

SUBMITTER: Zhang R

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5554539 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Late-onset moderate to severe acute respiratory distress syndrome is associated with shorter survival and higher mortality: a two-stage association study.

Zhang Ruyang R Wang Zhaoxi Z Tejera Paula P Frank Angela J AJ Wei Yongyue Y Su Li L Zhu Zhaozhong Z Guo Yichen Y Chen Feng F Bajwa Ednan K EK Thompson B Taylor BT Christiani David C DC

Intensive care medicine 20161228 3

<h4>Purpose</h4>To evaluate the association between acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) onset time and prognosis.<h4>Methods</h4>Patients with moderate to severe ARDS (N = 876) were randomly assigned into derivation (N = 520) and validation (N = 356) datasets. Both 28-day and 60-day survival times after ARDS onset were analyzed. A data-driven cutoff point between early- and late-onset ARDS was determined on the basis of mortality risk effects of onset times. We estimated the hazard ratio ...[more]

PMID: 28032130

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Project description:Mortality is a frequently reported outcome in clinical studies of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). However, timing of mortality assessment has not been well characterized. We aimed to identify a crossing-point between cumulative survival and death in the intensive care unit (ICU) of patients with moderate-to-severe ARDS, beyond which the number of survivors would exceed the number of deaths. We hypothesized that this intersection would occur earlier in a successful clinical trial vs. observational studies of moderate/severe ARDS and predict treatment response. We conducted an ancillary study of 1580 patients with moderate-to-severe ARDS managed with lung-protective ventilation to assess the relevance and timing of measuring ICU mortality rates at different time-points during ICU stay. First, we analyzed 1303 patients from four multicenter, observational cohorts enrolling consecutive patients with moderate/severe ARDS. We assessed cumulative ICU survival from the time of moderate/severe ARDS diagnosis to ventilatory support discontinuation within 7-days, 28-days, 60-days, and at ICU discharge. Then, we compared these findings to those of a successful randomized trial of 277 moderate/severe ARDS patients. In the observational cohorts, ICU mortality (487/1303, 37.4%) and 28-day mortality (425/1102, 38.6%) were similar (p = 0.549). Cumulative proportion of ICU survivors and non-survivors crossed at day-7; after day-7, the number of ICU survivors was progressively higher compared to non-survivors. Measures of oxygenation, lung mechanics, and severity scores were different between survivors and non-survivors at each point-in-time (p < 0.001). In the trial cohort, the cumulative proportion of survivors and non-survivors in the treatment group crossed before day-3 after diagnosis of moderate/severe ARDS. In clinical ARDS studies, 28-day mortality closely approximates and may be used as a surrogate for ICU mortality. For patients with moderate-to-severe ARDS, ICU mortality assessment within the first week of a trial might be an early predictor of treatment response.

Project description:IntroductionIn patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), the PaO2/FiO2 ratio at the time of ARDS diagnosis is weakly associated with mortality. We hypothesized that setting a PaO2/FiO2 threshold in 150 mm Hg at 24 h from moderate/severe ARDS diagnosis would improve predictions of death in the intensive care unit (ICU).MethodsWe conducted an ancillary study in 1303 patients with moderate to severe ARDS managed with lung-protective ventilation enrolled consecutively in four prospective multicenter cohorts in a network of ICUs. The first three cohorts were pooled (n = 1000) as a testing cohort; the fourth cohort (n = 303) served as a confirmatory cohort. Based on the thresholds for PaO2/FiO2 (150 mm Hg) and positive end-expiratory pressure (PEEP) (10 cm H2O), the patients were classified into four possible subsets at baseline and at 24 h using a standardized PEEP-FiO2 approach: (I) PaO2/FiO2 ≥ 150 at PEEP < 10, (II) PaO2/FiO2 ≥ 150 at PEEP ≥ 10, (III) PaO2/FiO2 < 150 at PEEP < 10, and (IV) PaO2/FiO2 < 150 at PEEP ≥ 10. Primary outcome was death in the ICU.ResultsICU mortalities were similar in the testing and confirmatory cohorts (375/1000, 37.5% vs. 112/303, 37.0%, respectively). At baseline, most patients from the testing cohort (n = 792/1000, 79.2%) had a PaO2/FiO2 < 150, with similar mortality among the four subsets (p = 0.23). When assessed at 24 h, ICU mortality increased with an advance in the subset: 17.9%, 22.8%, 40.0%, and 49.3% (p < 0.0001). The findings were replicated in the confirmatory cohort (p < 0.0001). However, independent of the PEEP levels, patients with PaO2/FiO2 < 150 at 24 h followed a distinct 30-day ICU survival compared with patients with PaO2/FiO2 ≥ 150 (hazard ratio 2.8, 95% CI 2.2-3.5, p < 0.0001).ConclusionsSubsets based on PaO2/FiO2 thresholds of 150 mm Hg assessed after 24 h of moderate/severe ARDS diagnosis are clinically relevant for establishing prognosis, and are helpful for selecting adjunctive therapies for hypoxemia and for enrolling patients into therapeutic trials.

Project description:OBJECTIVES:Prior studies suggest hypothermia may be beneficial in acute respiratory distress syndrome, but cooling causes shivering and increases metabolism. The objective of this study was to assess the feasibility of performing a randomized clinical trial of hypothermia in patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome receiving treatment with neuromuscular blockade because they cannot shiver. DESIGN:Retrospective study and pilot, prospective, open-label, feasibility study. SETTING:Medical ICU. PATIENTS:Retrospective review of 58 patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome based on Berlin criteria and PaO2/FIO2 less than 150 who received neuromuscular blockade. Prospective hypothermia treatment in eight acute respiratory distress syndrome patients with PaO2/FIO2 less than 150 receiving neuromuscular blockade. INTERVENTION:Cooling to 34-36°C for 48 hours. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS:Core temperature, hemodynamics, serum glucose and electrolytes, and P/F were sequentially measured, and medians (interquartile ranges) presented, 28-day ventilator-free days, and hospital mortality were calculated in historical controls and eight cooled patients. Average patient core temperature was 36.7°C (36-37.3°C), and fever occurred during neuromuscular blockade in 30 of 58 retrospective patients. In the prospectively cooled patients, core temperature reached target range less than or equal to 4 hours of initiating cooling, remained less than 36°C for 92% of the 48 hours cooling period without adverse events, and was lower than the controls (34.35°C [34-34.8°C]; p < 0.0001). Compared with historical controls, the cooled patients tended to have lower hospital mortality (75% vs 53.4%; p = 0.26), more ventilator-free days (9 [0-21.5] vs 0 [0-12]; p = 0.16), and higher day 3 P/F (255 [160-270] vs 171 [120-214]; p = 0.024). CONCLUSIONS:Neuromuscular blockade alone does not cause hypothermia but allowed acute respiratory distress syndrome patients to be effectively cooled. Results support conducting a randomized clinical trial of hypothermia in acute respiratory distress syndrome and the feasibility of studying acute respiratory distress syndrome patients receiving neuromuscular blockade.

Project description:The aim was to evaluate the effect of dihydropyridine calcium channel blocker on the prognosis for moderate-severe pulmonary acute respiratory distress syndrome in hypertension patients.DesignA retrospective, observational, multicenter cohort study.SettingA total of 307 patients without propensity score matching and 186 adult inpatients with propensity score matching diagnosed with hypertension and moderate-severe pulmonary acute respiratory distress syndrome in five teaching hospitals in Jiangsu province, China, from December 2015 to December 2020 were enrolled.PatientsA total of 307 patients without propensity score matching and 186 patients with propensity score matching diagnosed with hypertension and moderate-severe pulmonary acute respiratory distress syndrome were included in the final analysis.InterventionsNone.Measurements and main resultsDemographic characteristics and clinical characteristics were recorded. The propensity score matching method was used to eliminate the difference between group with dihydropyridine calcium channel blocker and group without dihydropyridine calcium channel blocker. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. We used univariate and multivariate regression analyses for both patients with or without propensity score matching to assess the effect of these variables on mortality. In the subset of 186 patients with propensity score matching, in-hospital mortality was 53.2%. Inpatient mortality was significantly higher in patients treated with dihydropyridine calcium channel blocker than in those not treated with dihydropyridine calcium channel blocker of patients without propensity score matching (65.4% vs 40.4%; p < 0.01). Multivariate analysis for patients without propensity score matching showed that dihydropyridine calcium channel blocker (hazard ratio, 1.954; 95% CI, 1.415-2.699), lactate dehydrogenase greater than or equal to 600 U/L (hazard ratio, 3.809; 95% CI, 2.106-4.531), and lactate greater than or equal to 2 mmol/L (hazard ratio, 1.454; 95% CI, 1.041-2.029) were independently associated with in-hospital mortality. Based on univariate analysis for patients with propensity score matching, dihydropyridine calcium channel blocker (hazard ratio, 2.021; 95% CI, 1.333-3.064), lactate dehydrogenase greater than or equal to 600 U/L (hazard ratio, 4.379; 95% CI, 2.642-7.257), and lactate greater than or equal to 2 mmol/L (hazard ratio, 2.461; 95% CI, 1.534-3.951) were independently associated with in-hospital mortality. In contrast, patients not treated with dihydropyridine calcium channel blocker had a significant survival advantage over those treated with dihydropyridine calcium channel blocker in both patients without or with propensity score matching (p < 0.001; p = 0.001 by Kaplan-Meier analysis).ConclusionsDihydropyridine calcium channel blocker, lactate dehydrogenase greater than or equal to 600 U/L, and lactate greater than or equal to 2 mmol/L at admission were independent risk factors for patients with hypertension and moderate-severe pulmonary acute respiratory distress syndrome.

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Late-onset moderate to severe acute respiratory distress syndrome is associated with shorter survival and higher mortality: a two-stage association study.

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Late-onset moderate to severe acute respiratory distress syndrome is associated with shorter survival and higher mortality: a two-stage association study.

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