Dataset Information

20-Year Risks of Breast-Cancer Recurrence after Stopping Endocrine Therapy at 5 Years.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:The administration of endocrine therapy for 5 years substantially reduces recurrence rates during and after treatment in women with early-stage, estrogen-receptor (ER)-positive breast cancer. Extending such therapy beyond 5 years offers further protection but has additional side effects. Obtaining data on the absolute risk of subsequent distant recurrence if therapy stops at 5 years could help determine whether to extend treatment. METHODS:In this meta-analysis of the results of 88 trials involving 62,923 women with ER-positive breast cancer who were disease-free after 5 years of scheduled endocrine therapy, we used Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analyses, stratified according to trial and treatment, to assess the associations of tumor diameter and nodal status (TN), tumor grade, and other factors with patients' outcomes during the period from 5 to 20 years. RESULTS:Breast-cancer recurrences occurred at a steady rate throughout the study period from 5 to 20 years. The risk of distant recurrence was strongly correlated with the original TN status. Among the patients with stage T1 disease, the risk of distant recurrence was 13% with no nodal involvement (T1N0), 20% with one to three nodes involved (T1N1-3), and 34% with four to nine nodes involved (T1N4-9); among those with stage T2 disease, the risks were 19% with T2N0, 26% with T2N1-3, and 41% with T2N4-9. The risk of death from breast cancer was similarly dependent on TN status, but the risk of contralateral breast cancer was not. Given the TN status, the factors of tumor grade (available in 43,590 patients) and Ki-67 status (available in 7692 patients), which are strongly correlated with each other, were of only moderate independent predictive value for distant recurrence, but the status regarding the progesterone receptor (in 54,115 patients) and human epidermal growth factor receptor type 2 (HER2) (in 15,418 patients in trials with no use of trastuzumab) was not predictive. During the study period from 5 to 20 years, the absolute risk of distant recurrence among patients with T1N0 breast cancer was 10% for low-grade disease, 13% for moderate-grade disease, and 17% for high-grade disease; the corresponding risks of any recurrence or a contralateral breast cancer were 17%, 22%, and 26%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS:After 5 years of adjuvant endocrine therapy, breast-cancer recurrences continued to occur steadily throughout the study period from 5 to 20 years. The risk of distant recurrence was strongly correlated with the original TN status, with risks ranging from 10 to 41%, depending on TN status and tumor grade. (Funded by Cancer Research UK and others.).

SUBMITTER: Pan H

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5734609 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

ACCESS DATA

Publications

20-Year Risks of Breast-Cancer Recurrence after Stopping Endocrine Therapy at 5 Years.

Pan Hongchao H Gray Richard R Braybrooke Jeremy J Davies Christina C Taylor Carolyn C McGale Paul P Peto Richard R Pritchard Kathleen I KI Bergh Jonas J Dowsett Mitch M Hayes Daniel F DF

The New England journal of medicine 20171101 19

<h4>Background</h4>The administration of endocrine therapy for 5 years substantially reduces recurrence rates during and after treatment in women with early-stage, estrogen-receptor (ER)-positive breast cancer. Extending such therapy beyond 5 years offers further protection but has additional side effects. Obtaining data on the absolute risk of subsequent distant recurrence if therapy stops at 5 years could help determine whether to extend treatment.<h4>Methods</h4>In this meta-analysis of the r ...[more]

PMID: 29117498

Similar Datasets

Project description:The 21-gene recurrence score (RS) predicts risk of locoregional recurrence (LRR) in node-negative, estrogen receptor (ER)-positive breast cancer. We evaluated the association between RS and LRR in node-positive, ER-positive patients treated with adjuvant chemotherapy plus tamoxifen in National Surgical Adjuvant Breast and Bowel Project B-28. B-28 compared doxorubicin/cyclophosphamide (AC X 4) with AC X 4 followed by paclitaxel X 4. Tamoxifen was given to patients age 50 years or older and those younger than age 50 years with ER-positive and/or progesterone receptor-positive tumors. Lumpectomy patients received breast radiotherapy. Mastectomy patients received no radiotherapy. The present study includes 1065 ER-positive, tamoxifen-treated patients with RS assessment. Cumulative incidence functions and subdistribution hazard regression models were used for LRR to account for competing risks including distant recurrence, second primary cancers, and death from other causes. Median follow-up was 11.2 years. All statistical tests were one-sided. There were 80 LRRs (7.5%) as first events (68% local/32% regional). RS was low: 36.2%; intermediate: 34.2%; and high: 29.6%. RS was a statistically significant predictor of LRR in univariate analyses (10-year cumulative incidence of LRR = 3.3%, 7.2%, and 12.2% for low, intermediate, and high RS, respectively, P < .001). In multivariable regression analysis, RS remained an independent predictor of LRR (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.59, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.28 to 5.26, for a 50-point difference, P = .008) along with pathologic nodal status (HR = 1.91, 95% CI = 1.20 to 3.03, for four or more vs one to three positive nodes, P = .006) and tumor size (HR = 1.28, 95% CI = 1.05 to 1.55, for a 1 cm difference, P = .02). RS statistically significantly predicts risk of LRR in node-positive, ER-positive breast cancer patients after adjuvant chemotherapy plus tamoxifen. These findings can help in the selection of appropriate candidates for comprehensive radiotherapy.

Project description:IntroductionPatients with early-stage breast cancer, treated with endocrine therapy, have approximately 90% 5-year disease-free survival. However, for patients at higher risk of relapse despite endocrine therapy, additional adjuvant therapy, such as chemotherapy, may be indicated. The challenge is to prospectively identify such patients. The Mammostrat® test uses five immunohistochemical markers to stratify patients on tamoxifen therapy into risk groups to inform treatment decisions. We tested the efficacy of this panel in a mixed population of cases treated in a single center with breast-conserving surgery and long-term follow-up.MethodsTissue microarrays from a consecutive series (1981 to 1998) of 1,812 women managed by wide local excision and postoperative radiotherapy were collected following appropriate ethical review. Of 1,390 cases stained, 197 received no adjuvant hormonal or chemotherapy, 1,044 received tamoxifen only, and 149 received a combination of hormonal therapy and chemotherapy. Median age at diagnosis was 57, 71% were postmenopausal, 23.9% were node-positive and median tumor size was 1.5 cm. Samples were stained using triplicate 0.6 mm2 tissue microarray cores, and positivity for p53, HTF9C, CEACAM5, NDRG1 and SLC7A5 was assessed. Each case was assigned a Mammostrat risk score, and distant recurrence-free survival (DRFS), relapse-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were analyzed by marker positivity and risk score.ResultsIncreased Mammostrat scores were significantly associated with reduced DRFS, RFS and OS in estrogen receptor (ER)-positive breast cancer (P < 0.00001). In multivariate analyses the risk score was independent of conventional risk factors for DRFS, RFS and OS (P < 0.05). In node-negative, tamoxifen-treated patients, 10-year recurrence rates were 7.6 ± 1.5% in the low-risk group versus 20.0 ± 4.4% in the high-risk group. Further, exploratory analyses revealed associations with outcome in both ER-negative and untreated patients.ConclusionsThis is the fifth independent study providing evidence that Mammostrat can act as an independent prognostic tool for ER-positive, tamoxifen-treated breast cancer. In addition, this study revealed for the first time a possible association with outcome regardless of node status and ER-negative tumors. When viewed in the context of previous results, these data provide further support for this antibody panel as an aid to patient management in early-stage breast cancer.

Project description:BackgroundAdjuvant endocrine therapy undoubtedly prolongs the time to recurrence for patients with hormone-positive early breast cancer. Extended endocrine therapy to 10 years or longer has been expected to bring a greater clinical advantage. However, the related research conclusions are controversial.MethodsTamoxifen (TAM), Aromatase Inhibitor (AI), Exemestane, letrozole (LET) and anastrozole were used as key words in the literature search. After the patients completed 5 years of adjuvant endocrine treatment, they were allocated to continue endocrine treatment for 5 years or receive placebo/observation for 5 years. Disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were the end points. Systematic assessment was performed using Stata 12.0.ResultsTwelve trials including 30,848 cases were involved. The overall analysis demonstrated that extended endocrine therapy to 10 years significantly prolonged DFS compared with 5 years of endocrine therapy [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.84, 95% CI: 0.73-0.97]. Subgroup analysis showed that DFS was significant prolonged with TAM 5y - AI 5y treatment versus TAM 5y treatment and with (AI and/or TAM) 5y - LET 5y treatment versus (AI and/or TAM) 5y treatment [(HR = 0.61, 95% CI: 0.50-0.76) and (HR = 0.81, 95% CI: 0.71-0.93), respectively]. However, no significant difference was found in the DFS with TAM 5y - TAM 5y treatment versus TAM 5y treatment (HR = 0.97, 95% CI: 0.81-1.17). Overall and subgroup analysis did not demonstrate an OS benefit of therapy extended to 10 years. A DFS benefit of extended endocrine therapy to 10 years was verified in the lymph node-positive subgroup, postmenopausal subgroup and ER+ and/or PR+ subgroup (HR = 058, 95% CI: 0.45-0.75; HR = 0.70, 95% CI: 0.58-0.80; HR = 0.80, 95% CI: 0.67-0.96).ConclusionsAn extended 10 years of endocrine treatment yields a DFS benefit for patients with early breast cancer; (AI and/or TAM) 5y - AI 5y treatment is the optimal choice. ER+ and/or PR+, postmenopausal and lymph node-positive patients are the most suitable groups.

Project description:The 21-gene Recurrence Score (RS) assay is a validated prognosticator/predictor of chemotherapy (CT) benefit in early-stage estrogen receptor (ER)-positive breast cancer (BC). Long-term data from real-life clinical practice where treatment was guided by the RS result are lacking. We performed exploratory analysis of the Clalit Health Services (CHS) registry, which included all CHS patients with node-negative ER+ HER2-negative BC who underwent RS testing between 1/2006 and 12/2009 to determine 10-year Kaplan-Meier estimates for distant recurrence/BC-specific mortality (BCSM) in this cohort. The analysis included 1365 patients. Distribution of RS results: RS 0-10, 17.8%; RS 11-25, 62.5%; RS 26-100, 19.7%. Corresponding CT use: 0, 9.4, and 69.9%. Ten-year distant recurrence rates in patients with RS 0-10, 11-25, and 26-100: 2.6% (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.1-6.2%), 6.1% (95% CI, 4.4-8.6%), and 13.1% (95% CI, 9.4-18.3%), respectively (P?<?0.001); corresponding BCSM rates: 0.7% (95% CI 0.1-5.1%), 2.2% (95% CI, 1.3-3.7%), and 9.5% (95% CI, 6.0-14.9%) (P?<?0.001). When the analysis included patients treated with endocrine therapy alone (95.5/87.5% of patients with RS 0-10/11-25), 10-year distant recurrence and BCSM rates for RS 0-10 patients were 2.7% (95% CI, 1.1-6.5%) and 0.8% (95% CI, 0.1-5.3%), respectively, and for RS 11-25 patients, 5.7% (95% CI, 3.9-8.3%) and 2.0% (95% CI, 1.1-3.7%), respectively. For RS 11-25 patients, no statistically significant differences were observed in 10-year distant recurrence/BCSM rates between CT-treated and untreated patients; however, this should be interpreted cautiously since the number of events was low and patients were not randomized. In conclusion, in node-negative ER+ HER2-negative BC patients, where treatment decisions in real-life clinical practice incorporated the RS, patients with RS 0-25 (~80% of patients, <10% CT use) had excellent outcomes at 10 years. Patients with RS 26-100 had high distant recurrence risk despite CT use and are candidates for new treatment approaches.

Project description:PurposeThe study aims to perform joint estimation of the risk of recurrence caused by inadequate radiation dose coverage of lymph node targets and the risk of cardiac toxicity caused by radiation exposure to the heart. Delivered photon plans are compared with realistic proton plans, thereby providing evidence-based estimates of the heterogeneity of treatment effects in consecutive cases for the 2 radiation treatment modalities.Methods and materialsForty-one patients referred for postlumpectomy comprehensive nodal photon irradiation for left-sided breast cancer were included. Comparative proton plans were optimized by a spot scanning technique with single-field optimization from 2 en face beams. Cardiotoxicity risk was estimated with the model of Darby et al, and risk of recurrence following a compromise of lymph node coverage was estimated by a linear dose-response model fitted to the recurrence data from the recently published EORTC (European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer) 22922/10925 and NCIC-CTG (National Cancer Institute of Canada Clinical Trials Group) MA.20 randomized controlled trials.ResultsExcess absolute risk of cardiac morbidity was small with photon therapy at an attained age of 80 years, with median values of 1.0% (range, 0.2%-2.9%) and 0.5% (range, 0.03%-1.0%) with and without cardiac risk factors, respectively, but even lower with proton therapy (0.13% [range, 0.02%-0.5%] and 0.06% [range, 0.004%-0.3%], respectively). The median estimated excess absolute risk of breast cancer recurrence after 10 years was 0.10% (range, 0.0%-0.9%) with photons and 0.02% (range, 0.0%-0.07%) with protons. The association between age of the patient and benefit from proton therapy was weak, almost non-existing (Spearman rank correlations of -0.15 and -0.30 with and without cardiac risk factors, respectively).ConclusionsModern photon therapy yields limited risk of cardiac toxicity in most patients, but proton therapy can reduce the predicted risk of cardiac toxicity by up to 2.9% and the risk of breast cancer recurrence by 0.9% in individual patients. Predicted benefit correlates weakly with age. Combined assessment of the risk from cardiac exposure and inadequate target coverage is desirable for rational consideration of competing photon and proton therapy plans.

Dataset Information

20-Year Risks of Breast-Cancer Recurrence after Stopping Endocrine Therapy at 5 Years.

Publications

20-Year Risks of Breast-Cancer Recurrence after Stopping Endocrine Therapy at 5 Years.

Similar Datasets

OmicsDI is part of the ELIXIR infrastructure

Tweets