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ABSTRACT: Objectives
To examine the trends in inhospital mortality for England and Scotland over a 17-year period to determine whether and if so to what extent the time trends differ after controlling for differences in the patients treated.Design
Analysis of retrospective administrative hospital data using descriptive aggregate statistics of trends in inhospital mortality and estimates of a logistic regression model of individual patient-level inhospital mortality accounting for patient characteristics, case-mix, and country-specific and year-specific intercepts.Setting
Secondary care across all hospitals in England and Scotland from 1997 to 2013.Population
Over 190?million inpatient admissions, either electively or emergency, in England or Scotland from 1997 to 2013.Data
Hospital Episode Statistics for England and the Scottish Morbidity Record 01 for Scotland.Main outcome measures
Separately for two admission pathways (elective and emergency), we examine aggregate time trends of the proportion of patients who die in hospital and a binary variable indicating whether an individual patient died in hospital or survived, and how that indicator is influenced by the patient's characteristics, the year and the country (England or Scotland) in which they were admitted.Results
Inhospital mortality has declined in both countries over the period studied, for both elective and emergency admissions, but has declined more in England than Scotland. The difference in trend reduction is greater for elective admissions. These differences persist after controlling for patient characteristics and case-mix.Conclusions
Comparing data at country level suggests questions about the roles performed by or functioning of their healthcare systems. We found substantial differences between Scotland and England in regard to the trend reductions in inhospital mortality. Hospital resources are therefore being deployed increasingly differently over time in these two countries for reasons that have yet to be explained.
SUBMITTER: Aragon MJ
PROVIDER: S-EPMC5855481 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Feb
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Aragón María José MJ Chalkley Martin M
BMJ open 20180221 2
<h4>Objectives</h4>To examine the trends in inhospital mortality for England and Scotland over a 17-year period to determine whether and if so to what extent the time trends differ after controlling for differences in the patients treated.<h4>Design</h4>Analysis of retrospective administrative hospital data using descriptive aggregate statistics of trends in inhospital mortality and estimates of a logistic regression model of individual patient-level inhospital mortality accounting for patient c ...[more]