Dataset Information

Use of the Living Kidney Donor Profile Index in the Canadian Kidney Transplant Recipient Population: A Validation Study.

ABSTRACT: Background:The Living Kidney Donor Profile Index (LKDPI) was derived in a cohort of kidney transplant recipients (KTR) from the United States to predict the risk of total graft failure. There are important differences in patient demographics, listing practices, access to transplantation, delivery of care, and posttransplant mortality in Canada as compared with the United States, and the generalizability of the LKDPI in the Canadian context is unknown. Objective:The purpose of this study was to externally validate the LKDPI in a large contemporary cohort of Canadian KTR. Design:Retrospective cohort validation study. Setting:Toronto General Hospital, University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario, Canada. Patients:A total of 645 adult (?18 years old) living donor KTR between January 1, 2006 and December 31, 2016 with follow-up until December 31, 2017 were included in the study. Measurements:The predictive performance of the LKDPI was evaluated. The outcome of interest was total graft failure, defined as the need for chronic dialysis, retransplantation, or death with graft function. Methods:The Cox proportional hazards model was used to examine the relation between the LKDPI and total graft failure. The Cox proportional hazards model was also used for external validation and performance assessment of the model. Discrimination and calibration were used to assess model performance. Discrimination was assessed using Harrell's C statistic and calibration was assessed graphically, comparing observed versus predicted probabilities of total graft failure. Results:A total of 645 living donor KTR were included in the study. The median LKDPI score was 13 (interquartile range [IQR] = 1.1, 29.9). Higher LKDPI scores were associated with an increased risk of total graft failure (hazard ratio = 1.01; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.0-1.02; P = .02). Discrimination was poor (C statistic = 0.55; 95% CI?=?0.48-0.61). Calibration was as good at 1-year posttransplant but suboptimal at 3- and 5-years posttransplant. Limitations:Limitations include a relatively small sample size, predicted probabilities for assessment of calibration only available for scores of 0 to 100, and some missing data handled by imputation. Conclusions:In this external validation study, the predictive ability of the LKDPI was modest in a cohort of Canadian KTR. Validation of prediction models is an important step to assess performance in external populations. Potential recalibration of the LKDPI may be useful prior to clinical use in external cohorts.

SUBMITTER: Shantier M

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7036490 | biostudies-literature | 2020

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Use of the Living Kidney Donor Profile Index in the Canadian Kidney Transplant Recipient Population: A Validation Study.

Shantier Mohamed M Li Yanhong Y Ashwin Monika M Famure Olsegun O Singh Sunita K SK

Canadian journal of kidney health and disease 20200220

<h4>Background</h4>The Living Kidney Donor Profile Index (LKDPI) was derived in a cohort of kidney transplant recipients (KTR) from the United States to predict the risk of total graft failure. There are important differences in patient demographics, listing practices, access to transplantation, delivery of care, and posttransplant mortality in Canada as compared with the United States, and the generalizability of the LKDPI in the Canadian context is unknown.<h4>Objective</h4>The purpose of this ...[more]

PMID: 32128225

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Project description:ImportanceThe proportion of living donor kidney transplants from donors unrelated to their recipients is increasing in the US.ObjectiveTo examine the association between donor-recipient biological relationship and allograft survival after living donor kidney transplant.Design, setting, and participantsThis retrospective cohort study used Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network data on US adult living donor kidney transplants (n = 86 154) performed from January 1, 2000, to December 31, 2014, excluding cases in which recipients previously received a kidney transplant (n = 10 342) or key data were missing (n = 2832). Last follow-up was March 20, 2020.ExposuresDonor-recipient biological relationship.Main outcomes and measuresThe primary outcome was death-censored allograft failure. Univariate and multivariable time-to-event analyses were performed for death-censored allograft failure for the overall cohort, then separately for recipients with and without primary diagnoses of cystic kidney disease and for transplants from African American and non-African American donors.ResultsAmong the 72 980 transplant donor and recipients included in the study (median donor age, 41 years; interquartile range [IQR], 32-50 years; 43 990 [60%] female; 50 014 [69%] White), 43 174 (59%) donors and recipients were biologically related and 29 806 (41%) were unrelated. Donors related to their recipients were younger (median [IQR] age, 39 [31-48] vs 44 [35-52] years) and less likely to be female (24 848 [58%] vs 19 142 [64%]) or White (26 933 [62%] vs 23 081 [77%]). Recipients related to their donors were younger (median [IQR] age, 48 [34-58] vs 50 [40-58] years), more likely to be female (18 035 [42%] vs 10 530 [35%]), and less likely to have cystic kidney disease (2530 [6%] vs 4600 [15%]). Related pairs had fewer HLA mismatches overall (median [IQR], 3 [2-3] vs 5 [4-5]). After adjustment for HLA mismatches, donor and recipient characteristics, and transplant era, donor-recipient biological relationship was associated with higher death-censored allograft failure (hazard ratio, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.01-1.10; P = .03). When stratified by primary disease, this association persisted only for recipients without cystic kidney disease. When stratified by donor race, this association persisted only for transplants from African American donors.Conclusions and relevanceIn this cohort study, living donor kidney transplants from donors biologically related to their recipients had higher rates of allograft failure than transplants from donors unrelated to their recipients after HLA matching was accounted for. Further study is needed to determine which genetic or socioenvironmental factors are associated with this finding.

Project description:Background:Nephron endowment in renal transplantation is infrequently considered, but may have important implications for post kidney transplantation outcomes. In this population-cohort study, we analyzed the deceased-donor kidney transplant outcomes stratified by donor-to-recipient size ratios. Methods:Data for all deceased-donor adult kidney transplantation recipients between 2003 and 2015 were extracted from the UK Transplant Registry. We used weight as a surrogate marker for kidney size and defined the following mismatch categories (donor weight/recipient weight × 100): less than 75% (small donor kidney), 75% to 125% (weight matched kidney), and greater than 125% (large donor kidney). Univariable and multivariable analyses were undertaken to assess the relationship between this marker and patient outcomes. Results:Outcomes for 11 720 transplants were analyzed with weight mismatch stratified as follows; small donor kidney (n = 1608, 13.7%), weight matched kidney (n = 7247, 61.8%) and large donor kidney (n = 2865, 24.4%). On multivariable analysis, no significant differences were detected in overall (P = 0.876) or death-censored (P = 0.173) graft survival, or in rates of delayed graft function (P = 0.396) between these 3 groups. However, 12-month creatinine levels were found to decline progressively across the groups (P < 0.001), with adjusted averages of 144.2 ?mol/L for recipients of small donor kidneys, 134.7 ?mol/L in weight matched kidneys, and 124.9 ?mol/L in recipients of large donor kidneys. In addition, patient survival was found to be significantly shorter in recipients of larger kidneys than those with weight matched kidneys (hazard ratio, 1.21; 95% confidence interval, 1.05-1.40; P = 0.009), which is inconsistent with the existing literature. Conclusions:Our data demonstrate that 12-month creatinine is influenced by donor-to-recipient difference in body weight, but that no such difference is observed for either delayed graft function or death-censored graft survival. However, we observed increased mortality in recipients receiving larger kidneys; an observation which conflicts with the existing literature and warrants further investigation.

Dataset Information

Use of the Living Kidney Donor Profile Index in the Canadian Kidney Transplant Recipient Population: A Validation Study.

Publications

Use of the Living Kidney Donor Profile Index in the Canadian Kidney Transplant Recipient Population: A Validation Study.

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