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Toronto Workshop on Late Recurrence in Estrogen Receptor-Positive Breast Cancer: Part 1: Late Recurrence: Current Understanding, Clinical Considerations.

ABSTRACT: Disease recurrence (locoregional, distant) exerts a significant clinical impact on the survival of estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer patients. Many of these recurrences occur late, more than 5 years after original diagnosis, and represent a major obstacle to the effective treatment of this disease. Indeed, methods to identify patients at risk of late recurrence and therapeutic strategies designed to avert or treat these recurrences are lacking. Therefore, an international workshop was convened in Toronto, Canada, in February 2018 to review the current understanding of late recurrence and to identify critical issues that require future study. In this article, the major issues surrounding late recurrence are defined and current approaches that may be applicable to this challenge are discussed. Specifically, diagnostic tests with potential utility in late-recurrence prediction are described as well as a variety of patient-related factors that may influence recurrence risk. Clinical and therapeutic approaches are also reviewed, with a focus on patient surveillance and the implementation of extended endocrine therapy in the context of late-recurrence prevention. Understanding and treating late recurrence in estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer is a major unmet clinical need. A concerted effort of basic and clinical research is required to confront late recurrence and improve disease management and patient survival.

SUBMITTER: Dowling RJO

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7049988 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:ImportanceLate recurrence 5 or more years after diagnosis accounts for at least one-half of all cases of recurrent hormone receptor-positive breast cancer.ObjectiveTo determine whether the presence of circulating tumor cells (CTCs) in a peripheral blood sample obtained approximately 5 years after diagnosis was associated with late clinical recurrence of operable human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative breast cancer.Design, setting, and participantsThis per-protocol secondary analysis of the Double-Blind Phase III Trial of Doxorubicin and Cyclophosphamide Followed by Paclitaxel With Bevacizumab or Placebo in Patients With Lymph Node Positive and High Risk Lymph Node Negative Breast Cancer enrolled patients from 2007 to 2011 who were without clinical evidence of recurrence between 4.5 and 7.5 years after primary surgical treatment of human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative stage II-III breast cancer followed by adjuvant systemic therapy. Patients were enrolled in a subprotocol for secondary analysis from February 25, 2013, to July 29, 2016, after signing consent for the subprotocol. The analysis was performed in April 2018.InterventionsA blood sample was obtained for identification and enumeration of CTCs.Main outcome and measuresThe association between a positive CTC assay result (at least 1 CTC per 7.5 mL of blood) and clinical recurrence.ResultsAmong 547 women included in this analysis, the results of the CTC assay were positive for 18 of 353 with hormone receptor-positive disease (5.1% [95% CI, 3.0%-7.9%]); 23 of 353 patients (6.5% [95% CI, 4.2%-9.6%]) had a clinical recurrence. The recurrence rates per person-year of follow-up in the CTC-positive and CTC-negative groups were 21.4% (7 recurrences per 32.7 person-years) and 2.0% (16 recurrences per 796.3 person-years), respectively. In multivariate models including clinical covariates, a positive CTC assay result was associated with a 13.1-fold higher risk of recurrence (hazard ratio point estimate, 13.1; 95% CI, 4.7-36.3). Seven of 23 patients (30.4% [95% CI, 13.2%-52.9%]) with recurrence had a positive CTC assay result at a median of 2.8 years (range, 0.1-2.8 years) before clinical recurrence. The CTC assay result was also positive for 8 of 193 patients (4.1% [95% CI, 1.8%-8.0%]) with hormone receptor-negative disease, although only 1 patient (0.5% [95% CI, 0%-2.9%]) experienced disease recurrence (this patient was CTC negative).Conclusions and relevanceA single positive CTC assay result 5 years after diagnosis of hormone receptor-positive breast cancer provided independent prognostic information for late clinical recurrence, which provides proof of concept that liquid-based biomarkers may be used to risk stratify for late recurrence and guide therapy.Trial registrationClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT00433511.

Project description:IntroductionWe examined if a combination of proliferation markers and estrogen receptor (ER) activity could predict early versus late relapses in ER-positive breast cancer and inform the choice and length of adjuvant endocrine therapy.MethodsBaseline affymetrix gene-expression profiles from ER-positive patients who received no systemic therapy (n = 559), adjuvant tamoxifen for 5 years (cohort-1: n = 683, cohort-2: n = 282) and from 58 patients treated with neoadjuvant letrozole for 3 months (gene-expression available at baseline, 14 and 90 days) were analyzed. A proliferation score based on the expression of mitotic kinases (MKS) and an ER-related score (ERS) adopted from Oncotype DX® were calculated. The same analysis was performed using the Genomic Grade Index as proliferation marker and the luminal gene score from the PAM50 classifier as measure of estrogen-related genes. Median values were used to define low and high marker groups and four combinations were created. Relapses were grouped into time cohorts of 0-2.5, 0-5, 5-10 years.ResultsIn the overall 10 years period, the proportional hazards assumption was violated for several biomarker groups indicating time-dependent effects. In tamoxifen-treated patients Low-MKS/Low-ERS cancers had continuously increasing risk of relapse that was higher after 5 years than Low-MKS/High-ERS cancers [0 to 10 year, HR 3.36; p = 0.013]. High-MKS/High-ERS cancers had low risk of early relapse [0-2.5 years HR 0.13; p = 0.0006], but high risk of late relapse which was higher than in the High-MKS/Low-ERS group [after 5 years HR 3.86; p = 0.007]. The High-MKS/Low-ERS subset had most of the early relapses [0 to 2.5 years, HR 6.53; p < 0.0001] especially in node negative tumors and showed minimal response to neoadjuvant letrozole. These findings were qualitatively confirmed in a smaller independent cohort of tamoxifen-treated patients. Using different biomarkers provided similar results.ConclusionsEarly relapses are highest in highly proliferative/low-ERS cancers, in particular in node negative tumors. Relapses occurring after 5 years of adjuvant tamoxifen are highest among the highly-proliferative/high-ERS tumors although their risk of recurrence is modest in the first 5 years on tamoxifen. These tumors could be the best candidates for extended endocrine therapy.

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Toronto Workshop on Late Recurrence in Estrogen Receptor-Positive Breast Cancer: Part 1: Late Recurrence: Current Understanding, Clinical Considerations.

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