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Incorporation of frailty estimated by gait speed within MELD-Na and the predictive potential for mortality in cirrhosis.

ABSTRACT: Background:The 5?m gait speed (5MGS), a simple and reliable performance metric and surrogate indicator of frailty, consistently predicts adverse events in elders. Additionally, MELD-Na (model for end-stage liver disease-sodium) scores fail to capture nutritional and functional decline of cirrhotic patients that may confer excess mortality. We hypothesized that 5MGS might be associated with all-cause mortality, and that inclusion of frailty assessment within MELD-Na could improve the prediction of mortality in cirrhosis. Methods:5MGS was measured at baseline in 113 hospitalized cirrhotic patients. Survival status over 2?years and cirrhosis-related complications were recorded. We evaluated the prognostic value of 5MGS (as a continuous variable and as a dichotomous variable). The definition of slow versus preserved 5MGS was 0.8?ms-1 based on previous publication. Using Cox proportional hazards regression, a novel MELDNa-5MGS score was derived. Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves estimated discrimination between the new score model and established prognostic indices. Results:The continuous 5MGS and slow 5MGS were independent predictors of all-cause mortality [5MGS: hazard ratio (HR) 0.133 (0.047-0.347), p?

SUBMITTER: Deng Y

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7238306 | biostudies-literature | 2020

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Incorporation of frailty estimated by gait speed within MELD-Na and the predictive potential for mortality in cirrhosis.

Deng You Y Lin Lin L Fan Xiaofei X Cui Binxin B Hou Lijun L Zhao Tianming T Hou Junjie J Mao Lihong L Wang Xiaoyu X Zhao Wei W Wang Bangmao B Yu Qingxiang Q Sun Chao C

Therapeutic advances in chronic disease 20200518

<h4>Background</h4>The 5 m gait speed (5MGS), a simple and reliable performance metric and surrogate indicator of frailty, consistently predicts adverse events in elders. Additionally, MELD-Na (model for end-stage liver disease-sodium) scores fail to capture nutritional and functional decline of cirrhotic patients that may confer excess mortality. We hypothesized that 5MGS might be associated with all-cause mortality, and that inclusion of frailty assessment within MELD-Na could improve the pred ...[more]

PMID: 32489574

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Project description:BackgroundControversy exists regarding the best predictive model of liver transplant waiting list (WL) mortality. Models for end-stage liver disease-glomerular filtration rate assessment in liver disease (MELD-GRAIL) and MELD-GRAIL-Na were recently described to provide better prognostication, particularly in females. We evaluated the performance of these scores compared to MELD and MELD-Na.MethodsConsecutive patients with cirrhosis waitlisted for liver transplant from 1998 to 2017 were examined in this single-center study. The primary outcome was 90-d WL mortality. MELD, MELD-Na, MELD-GRAIL, and MELD-GRAIL-Na at the time of WL registration were compared. Model discrimination was assessed with area under the receiver operating characteristic curves and Harrell's C-index after fitting Cox models. Model calibration was examined with Grønnesby and Borgan's modification of the Hosmer-Lemeshow formula and by comparing predicted/observed outcomes across model strata.ResultsThe study population comprised 1108 patients with a median age of 53.5 (interquartile range 48-59) y and male predominance (74.9%). All models had excellent areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves for the primary outcome (MELD 0.89, MELD-Na 0.91, MELD-GRAIL 0.89, MELD-GRAIL-Na 0.89; all comparisons P > 0.05). Youden index cutoffs for 90-d mortality were as follows: MELD, 19; MELD-Na, 22; MELD-GRAIL, 18; and MELD-GRAIL-Na, 17. Variables associated with 90-d mortality on multivariable Cox regression were sodium, bilirubin, creatinine, and international normalized ratio. There were no differences in model discrimination using Harrell's C-index. All models were well calibrated; however, divergence between observed and predicted mortality was noted with scores ≥25.ConclusionThere were no demonstrable differences in discrimination or calibration of GRAIL-based models compared with MELD or MELD-Na in our cohort. This suggests that GRAIL-based models may not have meaningful improvements in discriminatory ability when applied to other settings.

Project description:BACKGROUND:Frail older adults are at increased risk of post-operative morbidity compared with robust counterparts. Simple methods testing frailty such as grip strength or gait speed have shown promising results for predicting post-operative outcome, but there is a debate regarding the most appropriate and precise frailty assessment method. We compared the predictive value of multidimensional frailty score (MFS) with grip strength, gait speed, or conventional risk stratification tool for predicting post-operative complications in older surgical patients. METHODS:From January 2016 to June 2017, 648 older surgical patients (age ? 65 years) were included for analysis. MFS was calculated based on the preoperative comprehensive geriatric assessment. Grip strength and gait speed were measured before surgery. The primary outcome was a composite of post-operative complications (e.g. pneumonia, urinary tract infection, delirium, acute pulmonary thromboembolism, and unplanned intensive care unit admission). The secondary outcome was the 6 month all-cause mortality. RESULTS:Among 648 patients (mean age 76.6 ± 5.4 years, 52.8% female), 66 (10.2%) patients experienced post-operative complications, and the 6 month mortality was 3.9% (n = 25). Grip strength, gait speed, MFS, and American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification could predict post-operative complication but only MFS (hazard ratio = 1.581, 95% confidence interval 1.276-1.959, P < 0.001) could predict 6 month mortality after adjustment. MFS (C-index = 0.750) had a superior prognostic utility compared with age (0.638, P = 0.008), grip strength (0.566, P < 0.001), and ASA classification (0.649, P = 0.004). MFS improved the predictive value on age [C-index of 0.638 (age) vs. 0.758 (age + MFS), P < 0.001] and ASA classification [C-index of 0.649 (ASA) vs. 0.765 (ASA + MFS), P < 0.001] for post-operative complication; however, gait speed or grip strength did not provide additional prognostic value in both age and ASA. CONCLUSIONS:Multidimensional frailty score based on preoperative comprehensive geriatric assessment showed better utility than age, grip strength, gait speed, or ASA classification for predicting post-operative complication and 6 month mortality. MFS also showed incremental predictive ability for post-operative complications with the addition of age and ASA classification. Accordingly, MFS is superior to grip strength or gait speed for predicting complications among older surgical patients.

Project description:ObjectiveTo examine whether the association between dopamine-related genotype and gait speed differs according to frailty status or race.DesignCross-sectional population-based study (Cardiovascular Health Study).SettingMulticenter study, four U.S. sites.ParticipantsVolunteer community-dwelling adults aged 65 years and older, without evidence of Parkinson's disease (N = 3,744; 71 years; 82% White; 39% male).MeasurementsGait speed (usual pace; m/s), physical frailty (Fried definition), and genetic polymorphism of catechol-O-methyltransferase (COMT; rs4680), an enzyme regulating tonic brain dopamine levels, were assessed. Interaction of COMT by frailty and by race predicting gait speed were tested, and, if significant, analyses were stratified. Multivariable regression models of COMT predicting gait speed were adjusted for demographics and locomotor risk factors. Sensitivity analyses were repeated, stratified by clinical cutoffs of gait speed (0.6 and 1.0 m/s) instead of frailty status.ResultsThe interaction of COMT by frailty and COMT by race were P = .02 and P = .01, respectively. Compared with Met/Met (higher dopaminergic signaling), the Val/Val group (lower dopaminergic signaling) walked marginally more slowly in the full cohort (0.87 vs 0.89 m/s; P = .2). Gait speed differences were significant for frail (n = 220; 0.55 vs 0.63 m/s; P = .03), but not for prefrail (n = 1,691; 0.81 vs 0.81 m/s; P = .9) or nonfrail (n = 1,833; 0.98 vs 0.97 m/s; P = .7); results were similar in fully adjusted models. Among frail, associations were similar for Whites and Blacks, with statistical significance for Whites only. Associations stratified by clinical cutoffs of gait speed were not significant.ConclusionThe association of dopamine-related genotype with gait speed is stronger among adults with frailty compared with those without frailty. The potential effects of dopaminergic signaling on preserving physical function in biracial cohorts of frail adults should be further examined.

Project description:Background and Objectives: The world's population is rapidly aging, and it is estimated that, by 2050, every sixth person on earth will be older than 65 years. Around 30% of older adults entering cardiac rehabilitation (CR) meet the criteria of frailty. Frailty identification has not been included in the routine evaluation of CR patients yet, and there is a lack of evidence on what training regimen for improving physical performance in frail people is optimal. Therefore, the aim of our study was to determine the prevalence of frailty and to evaluate the effect of two different complementary training programs on the gait speed of older vulnerable and frail patients with acute coronary syndrome and mid-range-to-preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (≥40%) during short-term CR. Materials and Methods: This randomized controlled trial was conducted from January 2020 to September 2021. CR participants (n = 97) with a mean age of 73.1 ± 5.3 years were randomly allocated into three groups: control (CG, n = 32), intervention-1 (IG-1, n = 32) and intervention-2 (IG-2, n = 33). The patients of all three groups attended a usual inpatient CR program, and two intervention groups additionally received different resistance and balance training programs 3 days a week: the IG-1 underwent complementary training with traditional means of physical therapy, while the IG-2 underwent complementary training with mechanical devices. The mean CR duration was 18.9 ± 1.7 days. Frailty was assessed with the Edmonton Frail Scale, and the 5 m walk test was used to evaluate gait speed. Results: Frailty was determined in 37.1% of participants, and 42.3% met the criteria of being vulnerable. After CR, the gait speed of frail and vulnerable patients significantly improved in all three groups (p < 0.05). In the IG-2, slow gait speed was reversed to normal in the overwhelming majority of patients (p < 0.05), while the CG had the greatest proportion of patients who remained to be slow after CR (p < 0.05). Conclusions: A considerable part of patients entering CR are frail or vulnerable; therefore, it is of crucial importance to assess frailty status in all older people. All three CR programs improved gait speed in frail and vulnerable older patients with ischemic heart disease. Complementary resistance and balance training with mechanical devices more effectively reversed slow gait speed to normal during short-term CR.

Dataset Information

Incorporation of frailty estimated by gait speed within MELD-Na and the predictive potential for mortality in cirrhosis.

Publications

Incorporation of frailty estimated by gait speed within MELD-Na and the predictive potential for mortality in cirrhosis.

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