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Cocooning is essential to relaxing social distancing.


ABSTRACT: As the first wave of COVID-19 recedes, policymakers are contemplating the relaxation of shelter-in-place orders. Using a model capturing high-risk populations and transmission rates estimated from hospitalization data, we find that postponing relaxation will only delay a second wave and cocooning vulnerable populations is needed to prevent overwhelming medical surges.

SUBMITTER: Wang X 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7273277 | biostudies-literature | 2020 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Cocooning is essential to relaxing social distancing.

Wang Xutong X   Du Zhanwei Z   Huang George G   Pasco Remy F RF   Fox Spencer J SJ   Galvani Alison P AP   Pignone Michael M   Johnston S Claiborne SC   Meyers Lauren Ancel LA  

medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences 20200508


As the first wave of COVID-19 recedes, policymakers are contemplating the relaxation of shelter-in-place orders. Using a model capturing high-risk populations and transmission rates estimated from hospitalization data, we find that postponing relaxation will only delay a second wave and cocooning vulnerable populations is needed to prevent overwhelming medical surges. ...[more]

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