Nasopharyngeal SARS-CoV-2 Load at Hospital Admission as a Predictor of Mortality.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Alteri C
PROVIDER: S-EPMC7454479 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) viral load on admission was associated with a significantly increased 30-day mortality (odds ratio [OR], 4.20; 95% CI, 1.62-10.86), and anti-SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapisid IgG seropositivity on admission trended toward a reduced 30-day mortality (OR, 0.43; 95% CI, 0.15-1.26). Reporting of quantitative SARS-CoV-2 viral load and serologic assays may offer prognostic clinical information.
| S-EPMC7665729 | biostudies-literature
Project description:The aim was to assess the ability of nasopharyngeal SARS-CoV-2 viral load at first patient's hospital evaluation to predict unfavorable outcomes. We conducted a prospective cohort study including 321 adult patients with confirmed COVID-19 through RT-PCR in nasopharyngeal swabs. Quantitative Synthetic SARS-CoV-2 RNA cycle threshold values were used to calculate the viral load in log10 copies/mL. Disease severity at the end of follow up was categorized into mild, moderate, and severe. Primary endpoint was a composite of intensive care unit (ICU) admission and/or death (n = 85, 26.4%). Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed. Nasopharyngeal SARS-CoV-2 viral load over the second quartile (≥ 7.35 log10 copies/mL, p = 0.003) and second tertile (≥ 8.27 log10 copies/mL, p = 0.01) were associated to unfavorable outcome in the unadjusted logistic regression analysis. However, in the final multivariable analysis, viral load was not independently associated with an unfavorable outcome. Five predictors were independently associated with increased odds of ICU admission and/or death: age ≥ 70 years, SpO2, neutrophils > 7.5 × 103/µL, lactate dehydrogenase ≥ 300 U/L, and C-reactive protein ≥ 100 mg/L. In summary, nasopharyngeal SARS-CoV-2 viral load on admission is generally high in patients with COVID-19, regardless of illness severity, but it cannot be used as an independent predictor of unfavorable clinical outcome.
| S-EPMC8217169 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundSevere acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) cycle threshold (Ct) has been suggested as an approximate measure of initial viral burden. The utility of cycle threshold, at admission, as a predictor of disease severity has not been thoroughly investigated.Methods and findingsWe conducted a retrospective study of SARS-CoV-2 positive, hospitalized patients from 3/26/2020 to 8/5/2020 who had SARS-CoV-2 Ct data within 48 hours of admission (n = 1044). Only patients with complete survival data, discharged (n = 774) or died in hospital (n = 270), were included in our analysis. Laboratory, demographic, and clinical data were extracted from electronic medical records. Multivariable logistic regression was applied to examine the relationship of patient mortality with Ct values while adjusting for established risk factors. Ct was analyzed as continuous variable and subdivided into quartiles to better illustrate its relationship with outcome. Cumulative incidence curves were created to assess whether there was a survival difference in the setting of the competing risks of death versus patient discharge. Mean Ct at admission was higher for survivors (28.6, SD = 5.8) compared to non-survivors (24.8, SD = 6.0, P<0.001). In-hospital mortality significantly differed (p<0.05) by Ct quartile. After adjusting for age, gender, BMI, hypertension and diabetes, increased cycle threshold was associated with decreased odds of in-hospital mortality (0.91, CI 0.89-0.94, p<0.001). Compared to the 4th Quartile, patients with Ct values in the 1st Quartile (Ct <22.9) and 2nd Quartile (Ct 23.0-27.3) had an adjusted odds ratio of in-hospital mortality of 3.8 and 2.6 respectively (p<0.001). The discriminative ability of Ct to predict inpatient mortality was found to be limited, possessing an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.68 (CI 0.63-0.71).ConclusionSARS-CoV-2 Ct was found to be an independent predictor of patient mortality. However, further study is needed on how to best clinically utilize such information given the result variation due to specimen quality, phase of disease, and the limited discriminative ability of the test.
| S-EPMC7774957 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundSevere acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and the associated Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a public health emergency. Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common complication in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 although mechanisms underlying AKI are yet unclear. There may be a direct effect of SARS-CoV-2 virus on the kidney; however, there is currently no data linking SARS-CoV-2 viral load (VL) to AKI. We explored the association of SARS-CoV-2 VL at admission to AKI in a large diverse cohort of hospitalized patients with COVID-19.Methods and findingsWe included patients hospitalized between March 13th and May 19th, 2020 with SARS-CoV-2 in a large academic healthcare system in New York City (N = 1,049) with available VL at admission quantified by real-time RT-PCR. We extracted clinical and outcome data from our institutional electronic health records (EHRs). AKI was defined by KDIGO guidelines. We fit a Fine-Gray competing risks model (with death as a competing risk) using demographics, comorbidities, admission severity scores, and log10 transformed VL as covariates and generated adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) and 95% Confidence Intervals (CIs). VL was associated with an increased risk of AKI (aHR = 1.04, 95% CI: 1.01-1.08, p = 0.02) with a 4% increased hazard for each log10 VL change. Patients with a viral load in the top 50th percentile had an increased adjusted hazard of 1.27 (95% CI: 1.02-1.58, p = 0.03) for AKI as compared to those in the bottom 50th percentile.ConclusionsVL is weakly but significantly associated with in-hospital AKI after adjusting for confounders. This may indicate the role of VL in COVID-19 associated AKI. This data may inform future studies to discover the mechanistic basis of COVID-19 associated AKI.
| S-EPMC7904214 | biostudies-literature
Project description: Not available
| S-EPMC7836878 | biostudies-literature
Project description: Not available
| S-BSST1037 | biostudies-other
Project description:Background and aimPatients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) are susceptible to SARS-CoV-2 infection and more prone to develop severe disease. It is important to know predictors of poor outcomes to optimize the strategies of care.Methods93 patients with CKD and 93 age-sex matched patients without CKD were included in the study. Data on demographic, clinical features, hematological indices and outcomes were noted and compared between the groups. Neutrophile to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), systemic immune inflammation index (SII) (platelet counts × neutrophil counts/lymphocyte counts) and lymphocyte-to-CRP ratio (LCR) were calculated on admission and the association of these markers with disease mortality in CKD patients was identified.ResultsCKD patients had higher risk of severe disease, and mortality compared to non-CKD patients (72% vs 50.5%, p = 0.003, 36.6% vs 10.8%, p < 0.001, respectively) and were more likely to have higher values of immuno-inflammatory indices (leukocyte count, neutrophil, NLR, SII and C-reactive protein, etc.) and lower level of lymphocyte and LCR. Also, higher levels of NLR, SII, PLR and lower level of LCR were seen in CKD patients who died compared to those recovered. In a receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, NLR, SII, PLR and LCR area under the curve for in-hospital mortality of CKD patients were 0.830, 0.811, 0.664 and 0.712, respectively. Among all parameters, NLR and SII gave us the best ability to distinguish patients with higher risk of death. Based on the cut-off value of 1180.5, the sensitivity and specificity of the SII for predicting in-hospital mortality were found to be 67.5% and 79.6%, respectively. The corresponding sensitivity and specificity of the NLR were 85.2% and 66.1%, respectively, at the cut-off value of 5.1. Forward stepwise logistic regression analysis showed that NLR (≥5.1), SII (≥1180.5) and LCR (≤9) were predictors for in-hospital mortality.ConclusionWe report for the first time that SII is able to distinguish COVID-19 infected CKD patients of worse survival and it is as powerful as NLR in this regard. As SII is easily quantified from blood sample data, it may assist for early identification and timely management of CKD patients with worse survival.
| S-EPMC8440164 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Background and aimPatients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) are susceptible to SARS-CoV-2 infection and more prone to develop severe disease. It is important to know predictors of poor outcomes to optimize the strategies of care.Methods93 patients with CKD and 93 age-sex matched patients without CKD were included in the study. Data on demographic, clinical features, hematological indices and outcomes were noted and compared between the groups. Neutrophile to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), systemic immune inflammation index (SII) (platelet counts×neutrophil counts/lymphocyte counts) and lymphocyte-to-CRP ratio (LCR) were calculated on admission and the association of these markers with disease mortality in CKD patients was identified.ResultsCKD patients had higher risk of severe disease, and mortality compared to non-CKD patients (72% vs 50.5%, p=0.003, 36.6% vs 10.8%, p<0.001, respectively) and were more likely to have higher values of immuno-inflammatory indices (leukocyte count, neutrophil, NLR, SII and C-reactive protein, etc.) and lower level of lymphocyte and LCR. Also, higher levels of NLR, SII, PLR and lower level of LCR were seen in CKD patients who died compared to those recovered. In a receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, NLR, SII, PLR and LCR area under the curve for in-hospital mortality of CKD patients were 0.830, 0.811, 0.664 and 0.712, respectively. Among all parameters, NLR and SII gave us the best ability to distinguish patients with higher risk of death. Based on the cut-off value of 1180.5, the sensitivity and specificity of the SII for predicting in-hospital mortality were found to be 67.5% and 79.6%, respectively. The corresponding sensitivity and specificity of the NLR were 85.2% and 66.1%, respectively, at the cut-off value of 5.1. Forward stepwise logistic regression analysis showed that NLR (≥5.1), SII (≥1180.5) and LCR (≤9) were predictors for in-hospital mortality.ConclusionWe report for the first time that SII is able to distinguish COVID-19 infected CKD patients of worse survival and it is as powerful as NLR in this regard. As SII is easily quantified from blood sample data, it may assist for early identification and timely management of CKD patients with worse survival.
| S-EPMC9922800 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundThe occurrence of COVID-19 during the pregnancy can cause several negative maternal and neonatal outcomes. Nasopharyngeal viral load is associated with inflammatory markers and might influence the disease severity in non-pregnant patients, but there are no data about the relationship between viral load and perinatal outcomes in pregnant patients.ObjectiveTo investigate the hypothesis that nasopharyngeal SARS-CoV-2 load (estimated with real-time polymerase chain reaction delta cycle (ΔCt), measured in hospital clinical laboratories) is associated with perinatal outcomes, when COVID-19 is diagnosed in the third trimester of pregnancy.Study designInternational, retrospective, observational, multi-center, cohort study enrolling 390 women (393 neonates, three pairs of twins), analyzed with multivariate generalized linear models with skewed distributions (gamma) and identity link. The analyses were conducted for the whole population and then followed by a subgroup analysis according to the clinical severity of maternal COVID-19.ResultsThe estimated viral load in maternal nasopharynx is not significantly associated with gestational age at birth (adjusted B: -0.008 (95%CI: -0.04; 0.02); p = 0.889), birth weight (adjusted B: 4.29 (95%CI: -25; 35); p = 0.889), weight Z-score (adjusted B: -0.01 (95%CI: -0.03; 1); p = 0.336), 5' Apgar scores (adjusted B: -0. -9.8e-4 (95%CI: -0.01; 0.01); p = 0.889), prematurity (adjusted OR: -0.97 (95%CI: 0.93; 1.03); p = 0.766) and the small for gestational age status (adjusted OR: 1.03 (95%CI: 0.99; 1.07); p = 0.351). Similar results were obtained in subgroup analyses according to COVID-19 clinical severity.ConclusionsThe estimated maternal nasopharyngeal viral load in pregnant women affected by COVID-19 during the third trimester is not associated with main perinatal outcomes.
| S-EPMC9985537 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundThe transmissibility and associated morbidity and mortality of severe acute respiratory syndrome-related coronavirus (SARS-Cov-2), have overwhelmed worldwide healthcare systems, resulting in an urgent need to understand this virus and its associated effects. The aim of our study was to identify patient symptoms, clinical characteristics, laboratory, and radiology findings that are associated with serious morbidity and mortality in COVID-19 patients.MethodsA cross sectional study was conducted in Jaber Al Ahmad Hospital, the designated COVID-19 center in Kuwait between August 1st, 2020 and January 31st, 2021. The main outcomes measured in this study were to identify variables associated with intensive care unit (ICU) admission, as proxy for serious morbidity, and in hospital mortality.ResultsTwo hundred and seventy-six patients were included in the study. Thirty-six (13%) patients were admitted to intensive care unit (ICU) and 33 (12%) patients expired. On multivariate analysis we found having elevated fibrinogen [OR 1.39, 95% CI 1.08-1.64, P = 0.04], low estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) [OR 0.89, 95% CI 0.81-0.95, P = 0.02], and having bilateral patchy lung shadowing [OR 6.68, 95% CI 1.85-15.28, P < 0.01] to be significantly associated with increase odds of ICU admission. Elevated CRP [OR 1.25, 95% CI 1.10-1.98, P < 0.01], low eGFR [OR 0.95, 95% CI 0.90-0.99, P = 0.05] and having ischemic heart disease [OR 7.03, 95% CI 1.60-46.42, P = 0.04] were independently associated with increased odds of mortality.ConclusionCertain inflammatory and coagulopathy markers, and having certain lung radiological features, in addition to having medical comorbidities, specifically, ischemic heart disease and renal impairment are key predictors for serious morbidity and mortality in patients infected with COVID-19. These should be incorporated into medical institutes risk assessment tools used by physicians and policy makers to instigate, prioritize, and reprioritize care in patients with COVID-19 and instigate preventative strategy to reduce the impact of future outbreak.
| S-EPMC9259005 | biostudies-literature