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Deep Learning Radiomics Based on Contrast-Enhanced Ultrasound Might Optimize Curative Treatments for Very-Early or Early-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients

ABSTRACT: Background We aimed to evaluate the performance of a deep learning (DL)-based Radiomics strategy designed for analyzing contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) to not only predict the progression-free survival (PFS) of radiofrequency ablation (RFA) and surgical resection (SR) but also optimize the treatment selection between them for patients with very-early or early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Methods We retrospectively enrolled 419 patients examined by CEUS within 1 week before receiving RFA or SR (RFA: 214, SR: 205) from January 2008 to 2016. Two Radiomics signatures were constructed by the Radiomics model R-RFA and R-SR to stratify PFS of different treatment groups. Then, RFA and SR nomograms were built by incorporating Radiomics signatures and significant clinical variables to achieve individualized 2-year PFS prediction. Finally, we applied both Radiomics models and both nomograms to each enrolled patient to investigate whether there were space for treatment optimization and how much prognostic improvement could be expected. Results R-RFA and R-SR showed remarkable discrimination (C-index: 0.726 for RFA, 0.741 for SR). RFA and SR nomograms provided good 2-year PFS prediction accuracy and good calibrations. We identified 17.3% RFA patients and 27.3% SR patients should swap their treatment, so their average probability of 2-year PFS would increase 12 and 15%, respectively. Conclusions The proposed Radiomics models and nomograms achieved accurate preoperative prediction of PFS for RFA and SR, and they could facilitate the optimized treatment selection between them for patients with very-early or early-stage HCC.

SUBMITTER: Liu F

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7506213 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:OBJECTIVE:To construct a prediction model based on peritumoral radiomics signatures from CT images and investigate its efficiency in predicting early recurrence (ER) of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after curative treatment. MATERIALS AND METHODS:In total, 156 patients with primary HCC were randomly divided into the training cohort (109 patients) and the validation cohort (47 patients). From the pretreatment CT images, we extracted 3-phase two-dimensional images from the largest cross-sectional area of the tumor. A region of interest (ROI) was manually delineated around the lesion for tumoral radiomics (T-RO) feature extraction, and another ROI was outlined with an additional 2 cm peritumoral area for peritumoral radiomics (PT-RO) feature extraction. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression model was applied for feature selection and model construction. The T-RO and PT-RO models were constructed. In the validation cohort, the prediction efficiencies of the two models and peritumoral enhancement (PT-E) were evaluated qualitatively by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves and decision curves and quantitatively by area under the curve (AUC), the category-free net reclassification index (cfNRI) and integrated discrimination improvement values (IDI). RESULTS:By comparing AUC values, the prediction accuracy in the validation cohort was good for the PT-RO model (0.80 vs. 0.79, P = 0.47) but poor for the T-RO model (0.82 vs. 0.62, P < 0.01), which was significantly overfitted. In the validation cohort, the ROC curves, calibration curves and decision curves indicated that the PT-RO model had better calibration efficiency and provided greater clinical benefits. CfNRI indicated that the PT-RO model correctly reclassified 47% of ER patients and 32% of non-ER patients compared to the T-RO model (P < 0.01); additionally, the PT-RO model correctly reclassified 24% of ER patients and 41% of non-ER patients compared to PT-E (P = 0.02). IDI indicated that the PT-RO model could improve prediction accuracy by 0.22 (P < 0.01) compared to the T-RO model and by 0.20 (P = 0.01) compared to PT-E. CONCLUSION:The CT-based PT-RO model can effectively predict the ER of HCC and is more efficient than the T-RO model and the conventional imaging feature PT-E.

Project description:PurposeThis study aimed to develop a radiomics nomogram based on contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) for preoperatively assessing microvascular invasion (MVI) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients.MethodsA retrospective dataset of 313 HCC patients who underwent CEUS between September 20, 2016 and March 20, 2020 was enrolled in our study. The study population was randomly grouped as a primary dataset of 192 patients and a validation dataset of 121 patients. Radiomics features were extracted from the B-mode (BM), artery phase (AP), portal venous phase (PVP), and delay phase (DP) images of preoperatively acquired CEUS of each patient. After feature selection, the BM, AP, PVP, and DP radiomics scores (Rad-score) were constructed from the primary dataset. The four radiomics scores and clinical factors were used for multivariate logistic regression analysis, and a radiomics nomogram was then developed. We also built a preoperative clinical prediction model for comparison. The performance of the radiomics nomogram was evaluated via calibration, discrimination, and clinical usefulness.ResultsMultivariate analysis indicated that the PVP and DP Rad-score, tumor size, and AFP (alpha-fetoprotein) level were independent risk predictors associated with MVI. The radiomics nomogram incorporating these four predictors revealed a superior discrimination to the clinical model (based on tumor size and AFP level) in the primary dataset (AUC: 0.849 vs. 0.690; p < 0.001) and validation dataset (AUC: 0.788 vs. 0.661; p = 0.008), with a good calibration. Decision curve analysis also confirmed that the radiomics nomogram was clinically useful. Furthermore, the significant improvement of net reclassification index (NRI) and integrated discriminatory improvement (IDI) implied that the PVP and DP radiomics signatures may be very useful biomarkers for MVI prediction in HCC.ConclusionThe CEUS-based radiomics nomogram showed a favorable predictive value for the preoperative identification of MVI in HCC patients and could guide a more appropriate surgical planning.

Project description:ObjectivesThe postoperative early recurrence (ER) rate of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is 50%, and no highly reliable predictive tool has been developed yet. The aim of this study was to develop and validate a predictive model with radiomics analysis based on multiparametric magnetic resonance (MR) images to predict early recurrence of HCC.MethodsIn total, 302 patients (training dataset: n = 211; validation dataset: n = 91) with pathologically confirmed HCC who underwent preoperative MR imaging were enrolled in this study. Three-dimensional regions of interest of the entire lesion were accessed by manually drawing along the tumor margins on the multiple sequences of MR images. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox regression were then applied to select ER-related radiomics features and construct radiomics signatures. Univariate analysis and multivariate Cox regression analysis were used to identify the significant clinico-radiological factors and establish a clinico-radiological model. A predictive model of ER incorporating the fusion radiomics signature and clinico-radiological risk factors was constructed. The diagnostic performance and clinical utility of this model were measured by receiver-operating characteristic (ROC), calibration curve, and decision curve analyses.ResultsThe fusion radiomics signature consisting of 6 radiomics features achieved good prediction performance (training dataset: AUC = 0.85, validation dataset: AUC = 0.79). The predictive model of ER integrating clinico-radiological risk factors and the fusion radiomics signature improved the prediction efficacy with AUCs of 0.91 and 0.87 in the training and validation datasets, respectively. Furthermore, the nomogram and ER risk stratification system based on the predictive model demonstrated encouraging predictions of the individualized risk of ER and gave three risk groups with low, intermediate, or high risk of ER.ConclusionsThe proposed predictive model incorporating clinico-radiological factors and the fusion radiomics signature derived from multiparametric MR images may be an effective tool for the individualized prediction of postoperative ER in patients with HCC.

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Deep Learning Radiomics Based on Contrast-Enhanced Ultrasound Might Optimize Curative Treatments for Very-Early or Early-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients

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