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CHA2DS2-VASc score, cerebral small vessel disease, and frailty in older patients with atrial fibrillation.

ABSTRACT: The CHA2DS2-VASc score is a validated predictor of ischemic stroke in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients. However, data are limited on whether the CHA2DS2-VASc score is associated with subclinical brain structural changes or physical frailty among older AF patients. We assessed the relationship between CHA2DS2-VASc scores and brain structural changes or physical frailty in AF patients without history of stroke. Overall, 117 patients completed a comprehensive geriatric assessment for physical frailty. In brain magnetic resonance imaging sub-study (n?=?49), brain volume and white matter hyperintensity lesion burden were automatically quantified using the LESIONQUANT software program. Patients with high risk of CHA2DS2-VASc scores (? 2 in men or ? 3 in women) tended to be older and had more comorbidities, higher frailty index, and slower gait speed. Total white matter hyperintensity lesion burden was higher in those with high risk of CHA2DS2-VASc score than in those with intermediate risk (score of 1 in men or 2 in women) of CHA2DS2-VASc score (1.67 [interquartile range: 0.70-3.45] vs. 0.64 [0.19-1.44], p?=?0.036). Cognitive function was associated with brain volume, but gait speed was related with white matter hyperintensity lesion burden. In conclusion, we showed a positive relationship between CHA2DS2-VASc scores, white matter hyperintensity lesion burden, and physical frailty in older AF patients. Subclinical brain changes associated with high CHA2DS2-VASc scores may predict physical frailty risk.

SUBMITTER: Choi JY

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7603394 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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CHA2DS2-VASc score, cerebral small vessel disease, and frailty in older patients with atrial fibrillation.

Choi Jung-Yeon JY Sunwoo Leonard L Kim Sun-Wook SW Kim Kwang-Il KI Kim Cheol-Ho CH

Scientific reports 20201030 1

The CHA2DS2-VASc score is a validated predictor of ischemic stroke in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients. However, data are limited on whether the CHA2DS2-VASc score is associated with subclinical brain structural changes or physical frailty among older AF patients. We assessed the relationship between CHA2DS2-VASc scores and brain structural changes or physical frailty in AF patients without history of stroke. Overall, 117 patient ...[more]

PMID: 33127978

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Project description:Background and Purpose- Despite modest predictive ability for ischemic stroke (IS), the CHA2DS2-VASc score is widely used for stroke prediction in atrial fibrillation. Among patients with atrial fibrillation, we aimed to (1) compare the IS or transient ischemic attack (TIA) incidence by CHA2DS2-VASc in blacks and Hispanics versus whites; (2) compare predictive ability of CHA2DS2-VASc score for IS or TIA in blacks and Hispanics versus whites; and (3) determine improvement in predictive ability of CHA2DS2-VASc score from addition of race/ethnicity. Methods- Using data from Optum Clinformatics, a large administrative claims database, we analyzed patients with atrial fibrillation enrolled in commercial and Medicare Advantage health plans from 2009 to 2015. We computed IS or TIA incidence rates, improvement in C statistic, continuous and categorical net reclassification improvement, and relative integrated discrimination improvement from addition of race/ethnicity to CHA2DS2-VASc. Results- A total of 267 419 patients (mean age, 73.1 [SD, 12.3] years; 46.6% women; 84.2% white, 8.5% black, 7.3% Hispanic) were studied. After a mean follow-up of 22 months, there were 6202 IS or TIA events. IS or TIA incidence rates were higher in blacks than Hispanics or whites (1.65, 1.40, and 1.22 cases per 100 person-years, respectively) and increased with higher CHA2DS2-VASc, with no race/ethnicity-based differences (P for interaction=0.17). The CHA2DS2-VASc and CHA2DS2-VASc+race/ethnicity C statistic (95% CI) were 0.679 (0.670-0.686) and 0.679 (0.671-0.688). The CHA2DS2-VASc C statistic in the 3 groups were comparable. With addition of race/ethnicity, the categorical net reclassification improvement, continuous net reclassification improvement, and relative integrated discrimination improvement were -0.045 (95% CI, -0.067 to -0.025), 0.045 (95% CI, 0.025-0.068), and 0.016 (95% CI, 0.014-0.018). Conclusions- The predictive ability of CHA2DS2-VASc for IS or TIA in atrial fibrillation is comparable among whites, blacks, and Hispanics; hence, it can be used in the latter 2 groups. Addition of race/ethnicity to the CHA2DS2-VASc does not improve its predictive ability.

Project description:BackgroundContemporary data have shown a decrease in the ischaemic stroke risk associated with female sex in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). We evaluated temporal trends in the predictive value of a non-sex CHA2DS2-VASc risk score (ie. CHA2DS2-VA).MethodsThe FinACAF study covers all patients with incident AF between 2007 and 2018 in Finland from all levels of care. The CHA2DS2-VA score was compared with the CHA2DS2-VASc using continuous and category-based net reclassification indices (NRIs), integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), c-statistics and decision curve analyses.FindingsWe identified 144,879 anticoagulant naïve patients with new-onset AF between 2007 and 2018 (49.9% women; mean age 72.1 years), of whom 3936 (2.7%) experienced ischaemic stroke during one-year follow-up. Based on both continuous and category-based NRIs, the CHA2DS2-VA score was inferior to the CHA2DS2-VASc in the early years (-0.333 (95% CI -0.411 to -0.261) and -0.118 (95% CI -0.137 to -0.099), respectively). However, the differences attenuated over time, and by the end of the study period, the continuous NRI became non-significant (-0.093 (95% CI -0.165 to 0.032)), whereas the category-based NRI reversed in favor of the CHA2DS2-VA (0.070 (95% CI 0.048-0.087)). The IDI was non-significant in early years (0.0009 (95% CI -0.0024 to 0.0037)), but over time became statistically significant in favor of the CHA2DS2-VA score (0.0022 (95% CI 0.0001-0.0044)). The Cox models fitted with the CHA2DS2-VA and the CHA2DS2-VASc scores exhibited comparable discriminative capability in the beginning of the study (p-value 0.63), but over time marginal differences in favor of the CHA2DS2-VA score emerged (p-value 0.0002).InterpretationIn 2007-2008 (when females had higher AF-related stroke risks than males), the CHA2DS2-VASc score outperformed the CHA2DS2-VA score, but the initial differences between the scores attenuated over time. By the end of the study period in 2017-2018 (with limited/no sex differences in AF-related stroke), there was marginal superiority for the CHA2DS2-VA score.FundingThis work was supported by the Aarne Koskelo Foundation, The Finnish Foundation for Cardiovascular Research, The Finnish State Research funding, and Helsinki and Uusimaa Hospital District research fund.

Dataset Information

CHA2DS2-VASc score, cerebral small vessel disease, and frailty in older patients with atrial fibrillation.

Publications

CHA<sub>2</sub>DS<sub>2</sub>-VASc score, cerebral small vessel disease, and frailty in older patients with atrial fibrillation.

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