Ontology highlight
ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Heaney AK
PROVIDER: S-EPMC7669214 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Mar
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Heaney Alexandra K AK Alexander Kathleen A KA Shaman Jeffrey J
Epidemics 20190916
Diarrheal disease is the second largest cause of mortality in children younger than 5, yet our ability to anticipate and prepare for outbreaks remains limited. Here, we develop and test an epidemiological forecast model for childhood diarrheal disease in Chobe District, Botswana. Our prediction system uses a compartmental susceptible-infected-recovered-susceptible (SIRS) model coupled with Bayesian data assimilation to infer relevant epidemiological parameter values and generate retrospective fo ...[more]