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Quantifying and addressing the prevalence and bias of study designs in the environmental and social sciences.


ABSTRACT: Building trust in science and evidence-based decision-making depends heavily on the credibility of studies and their findings. Researchers employ many different study designs that vary in their risk of bias to evaluate the true effect of interventions or impacts. Here, we empirically quantify, on a large scale, the prevalence of different study designs and the magnitude of bias in their estimates. Randomised designs and controlled observational designs with pre-intervention sampling were used by just 23% of intervention studies in biodiversity conservation, and 36% of intervention studies in social science. We demonstrate, through pairwise within-study comparisons across 49 environmental datasets, that these types of designs usually give less biased estimates than simpler observational designs. We propose a model-based approach to combine study estimates that may suffer from different levels of study design bias, discuss the implications for evidence synthesis, and how to facilitate the use of more credible study designs.

SUBMITTER: Christie AP 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7733498 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Quantifying and addressing the prevalence and bias of study designs in the environmental and social sciences.

Christie Alec P AP   Abecasis David D   Adjeroud Mehdi M   Alonso Juan C JC   Amano Tatsuya T   Anton Alvaro A   Baldigo Barry P BP   Barrientos Rafael R   Bicknell Jake E JE   Buhl Deborah A DA   Cebrian Just J   Ceia Ricardo S RS   Cibils-Martina Luciana L   Clarke Sarah S   Claudet Joachim J   Craig Michael D MD   Davoult Dominique D   De Backer Annelies A   Donovan Mary K MK   Eddy Tyler D TD   França Filipe M FM   Gardner Jonathan P A JPA   Harris Bradley P BP   Huusko Ari A   Jones Ian L IL   Kelaher Brendan P BP   Kotiaho Janne S JS   López-Baucells Adrià A   Major Heather L HL   Mäki-Petäys Aki A   Martín Beatriz B   Martín Carlos A CA   Martin Philip A PA   Mateos-Molina Daniel D   McConnaughey Robert A RA   Meroni Michele M   Meyer Christoph F J CFJ   Mills Kade K   Montefalcone Monica M   Noreika Norbertas N   Palacín Carlos C   Pande Anjali A   Pitcher C Roland CR   Ponce Carlos C   Rinella Matt M   Rocha Ricardo R   Ruiz-Delgado María C MC   Schmitter-Soto Juan J JJ   Shaffer Jill A JA   Sharma Shailesh S   Sher Anna A AA   Stagnol Doriane D   Stanley Thomas R TR   Stokesbury Kevin D E KDE   Torres Aurora A   Tully Oliver O   Vehanen Teppo T   Watts Corinne C   Zhao Qingyuan Q   Sutherland William J WJ  

Nature communications 20201211 1


Building trust in science and evidence-based decision-making depends heavily on the credibility of studies and their findings. Researchers employ many different study designs that vary in their risk of bias to evaluate the true effect of interventions or impacts. Here, we empirically quantify, on a large scale, the prevalence of different study designs and the magnitude of bias in their estimates. Randomised designs and controlled observational designs with pre-intervention sampling were used by  ...[more]

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