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Atrial fibrillation in patients with COVID-19. Usefulness of the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score: an analysis of the international HOPE COVID-19 registry.

ABSTRACT:

Introduction and objectives

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2. Atrial fibrillation (AF) is common in acute situations, where it is associated with more complications and higher mortality.

Methods

Analysis of the international HOPE registry (NCT04334291). The objective was to assess the prognostic information of AF in COVID-19 patients. A multivariate analysis and propensity score matching were performed to assess the relationship between AF and mortality. We also evaluated the impact on mortality and embolic events of the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score in these patients.

Results

Among 6217 patients enrolled in the HOPE registry, 250 had AF (4.5%). AF patients had a higher prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors and comorbidities. After propensity score matching, these differences were attenuated. Despite this, patients with AF had a higher incidence of in-hospital complications such as heart failure (19.3% vs 11.6%, P=.021) and respiratory insufficiency (75.9% vs 62.3%, P=.002), as well as a higher 60-day mortality rate (43.4% vs 30.9%, P=.005). On multivariate analysis, AF was independently associated with higher 60-day mortality (hazard ratio, 1.234; 95%CI, 1.003-1.519). CHA₂DS₂-VASc score acceptably predicts 60-day mortality in COVID-19 patients (area ROC, 0.748; 95%CI, 0.733-0.764), but not its embolic risk (area ROC, 0.411; 95%CI, 0.147-0.675).

Conclusions

AF in COVID-19 patients is associated with a higher number of complications and 60-day mortality. The CHA₂DS₂-VASc score may be a good risk marker in COVID patients but does not predict their embolic risk.

SUBMITTER: Uribarri A

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7836821 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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[Atrial fibrillation in patients with COVID-19. Usefulness of the CHA2DS2-VASc score: an analysis of the international HOPE COVID-19 registry].

Project description:Introduction and objectivesCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2. Atrial fibrillation (AF) is common in acute situations, where it is associated with more complications and higher mortality.MethodsAnalysis of the international HOPE registry (NCT04334291). The objective was to assess the prognostic information of AF in COVID-19 patients. A multivariate analysis and propensity score matching were performed to assess the relationship between AF and mortality. We also evaluated the impact on mortality and embolic events of the CHA2DS2-VASc score in these patients.ResultsAmong 6217 patients enrolled in the HOPE registry, 250 had AF (4.5%). AF patients had a higher prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors and comorbidities. After propensity score matching, these differences were attenuated. Despite this, patients with AF had a higher incidence of in-hospital complications such as heart failure (19.3% vs 11.6%, P = .021) and respiratory insufficiency (75.9% vs 62.3%, P = .002), as well as a higher 60-day mortality rate (43.4% vs 30.9%, P = .005). On multivariate analysis, AF was independently associated with higher 60-day mortality (hazard ratio, 1.234; 95%CI, 1.003-1.519). CHA2DS2-VASc score acceptably predicts 60-day mortality in COVID-19 patients (area ROC, 0.748; 95%CI, 0.733-0.764), but not its embolic risk (area ROC, 0.411; 95%CI, 0.147-0.675).ConclusionsAF in COVID-19 patients is associated with a higher number of complications and 60-day mortality. The CHA2DS2-VASc score may be a good risk marker in COVID patients but does not predict their embolic risk.

| S-EPMC7923850 | biostudies-literature

Heart failure: a weak link in CHA2 DS2 -VASc.

Project description:AimsIn atrial fibrillation, stroke risk is assessed by the CHA2 DS2 -VASc score. Heart failure is included in CHA2 DS2 -VASc, but the rationale is uncertain. Our objective was to test if heart failure is a risk factor for stroke, independent of other risk factors in CHA2 DS2 -VASc.Methods and resultsWe studied 300 839 patients with atrial fibrillation in the Swedish Patient Register 2005-11. Three definitions of heart failure were used in order to assess the robustness of the results. In the main analysis, heart failure was defined by a hospital discharge diagnosis of heart failure as first or second diagnosis and a filled prescription of a diuretic within 3 months before index + 30 days. The second definition counted first or second discharge diagnoses <1 year before index + 30 days and the third definition any heart failure diagnosis in open or hospital care before index + 30 days. Associations with outcomes were assessed with multivariable Cox analyses. Patients with heart failure were older (80.5 vs. 74.0 years, P < 0.001) and had higher CHA2 DS2 -VASc score (4.4 vs. 2.7, P < 0.001). The 1 year incidence of ischaemic stroke without warfarin was 4.4% with heart failure and 3.1% without. Adjustment for the cofactors in CHA2 DS2 -VASc eradicated the difference in stroke risk between patients with and without heart failure (hazard ratio 1.01 with 95% confidence interval 0.96-1.05). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for CHA2 DS2 -VASc was not improved by points for heart failure.ConclusionsA clinical diagnosis of heart failure was not an independent risk factor for stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation, which may have implications for anticoagulation management.

| S-EPMC5933948 | biostudies-literature

Value of the CHA2 DS2 -VASc score for predicting outcome in patients with heart failure.

Project description:AimsComorbidities are highly prevalent in patients with heart failure (HF) and affect clinical outcome. The CHA2 DS2 -VASc score is a validated score to estimate assessment of thromboembolic risk in patients with atrial fibrillation.Methods and resultsWe evaluated the predictive value of this score on clinical outcome in patients with HF. All patients with a diagnosis of chronic HF at a health maintenance organization were evaluated for the CHA2 DS2 -VASc score. Patients were followed for cardiac related hospitalizations and death. The cohort included 7106 HF patients. Mean follow-up was 744 days; the median CHA2 DS2 -VASc score was 5.0 (range 4.0-6.0). The CHA2 DS2 -VASc score was a significant predictor of survival and predictive of the combined end point of death and cardiovascular hospitalization. Survival rates were reduced with increasing quintiles of the CHA2 DS2 -VASc score: 93.6 ± 0.7% vs. 83.0 ± 1.1% vs. 75.7 ± 1.0% vs. 73.0 ± 1.2% vs. 63.3 ± 1.2%, respectively P < 0.001. After adjustment for other significant predictors, increasing CHA2 DS2 -VASc scores were independently predictive of survival and of the combined end point of death and cardiovascular hospitalization by Cox regression analysis. Analysing the CHA2 DS2 -VASc score as a continuous parameter by cox regression analysis demonstrated a significant increase with each point increase in the CHA2 DS2 -VASc score (hazard ratio 1.21, 95% confidence interval 1.17-1.26, P < 0.0001). Cox regression analysis using restricted cubic splines demonstrated an independent continuous increase in mortality with increasing CHA2 DS2 -VASc score (P < 0.0001 adjusted linear model). The predictive value was present in HF with reduced as well as preserved ejection fraction.ConclusionsThe CHA2 DS2 -VASc score has a significant impact on outcome in HF patients.

| S-EPMC7524134 | biostudies-literature

Can men with atrial fibrillation really rest easy with a CHA2DS2-VASc score of 0?

Project description:BackgroundAtrial fibrillation (AF) significantly increases the risk of ischemic stroke depending on various risk factors. The CHA2DS2-VASc score is used widely to improve stratification of AF-related stroke to identify for whom anticoagulation could be safely withheld. As upstream therapy, the management of lifestyle for AF and related stroke prevention has been ongoing for past decades.Case presentationA 56-year-old male was taken to our hospital because of acute ischemic stroke. Without intracranial vascular malformation and angiostenosis, two small emboli were successfully taken out from the left middle cerebral artery by mechanical thrombectomy. During the hospitalisation, no apparent abnormalities were found in various laboratory tests, echocardiogram or the coronary computed tomography angiography. However, asymptomatic paroxysmal AF was first diagnosed and was presumed to be responsible for his stroke. Noticeable, he was always in good fitness benefiting from the formed good habits of no smoking and drinking. With a CHA2DS2-VASc score of 0, he had no history of any known diseases or risk factors associated with AF and related stroke. Instead of lacking exercise, he persisted in playing table tennis faithfully 3-4 times a week and 2-3 h each time over the past 30?years, and, in fact, has won several amateur table tennis championships.ConclusionIn view of the possible pathophysiological mechanisms resulting from the long-term vigorous endurance exercise, it may be a potential risk factor for developing AF and even for subsequent stroke. Not merely should strengthen the screening for AF in specific individuals as sports enthusiasts, but the necessity of oral anticoagulant for those with a CHA2DS2-VASc score of 0 might deserve the further investigation.

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CHA2DS2-VASc score, cerebral small vessel disease, and frailty in older patients with atrial fibrillation.

Project description:The CHA2DS2-VASc score is a validated predictor of ischemic stroke in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients. However, data are limited on whether the CHA2DS2-VASc score is associated with subclinical brain structural changes or physical frailty among older AF patients. We assessed the relationship between CHA2DS2-VASc scores and brain structural changes or physical frailty in AF patients without history of stroke. Overall, 117 patients completed a comprehensive geriatric assessment for physical frailty. In brain magnetic resonance imaging sub-study (n = 49), brain volume and white matter hyperintensity lesion burden were automatically quantified using the LESIONQUANT software program. Patients with high risk of CHA2DS2-VASc scores (≥ 2 in men or ≥ 3 in women) tended to be older and had more comorbidities, higher frailty index, and slower gait speed. Total white matter hyperintensity lesion burden was higher in those with high risk of CHA2DS2-VASc score than in those with intermediate risk (score of 1 in men or 2 in women) of CHA2DS2-VASc score (1.67 [interquartile range: 0.70-3.45] vs. 0.64 [0.19-1.44], p = 0.036). Cognitive function was associated with brain volume, but gait speed was related with white matter hyperintensity lesion burden. In conclusion, we showed a positive relationship between CHA2DS2-VASc scores, white matter hyperintensity lesion burden, and physical frailty in older AF patients. Subclinical brain changes associated with high CHA2DS2-VASc scores may predict physical frailty risk.

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Predicting stroke and death in patients with heart failure using CHA2DS2-VASc score in Asia.

Project description:BackgroundThe CHA2DS2-VASc score is used to assess risk of mortality as well as to stratify risk of stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). This study evaluated whether CHA2DS2-VASc score was predictive of 1 and 2 year risks of stroke and death in Asian patients with heart failure (HF).MethodsPatients hospitalized for HF were enrolled in the Korean Acute Heart Failure (KorAHF) registry, a prospective observational multicenter cohort study, between March 2011 and February 2014. Patients with a history of cancer before hospitalization for HF were excluded. The discriminatory properties of the CHA2DS2-VASc score were quantified using C-statistics.ResultsThe study included 5158 patients with HF, 2091 with and 3067 without AF. Rates of stroke in these two groups were 4.5 and 2.8%, respectively, after 1 year, and 5.5 and 3.4%, respectively, after 2 years. Each 1-point increase in CHA2DS2-VASc score was associated with significantly increased risks of stroke and all-cause death in HF patients with and without AF (p-value < 0.05). The C-statistics of the CHA2DS2-VASc score for all-cause death in patients with and without AF were 0.600 and 0.630, respectively, at 1 year and 0.626 and 0.635, respectively, at 2 years. The C-statistics for stroke ranged from 0.593 to 0.639.ConclusionsAmong patients with incident HF with and without AF, CHA2DS2-VASc score was significantly associated with the risks of stroke and death. However, CHA2DS2-VASc score was only a modest predictor of stroke and death, indicating the need for studies evaluating modified CHA2DS2-VASc scores. The majority of strokes occurred relatively shortly after hospitalization for HF and that mortality rates in patients with HF remain high. Thus, early treatment after HF to prevent stroke is essential.

| S-EPMC6688312 | biostudies-literature

Inverse Correlation Between Left Atrial Appendage Function and CHA2DS2-VASc Score in Patients with Atrial Flutter.

Project description:Impaired left atrial appendage ejection fraction (LAA-EF) and peak LAA flow velocity (LAA-FV) are associated with high thromboembolic risks in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Herein, we examined LAA function among patients with atrial flutter (AFL) stratified by the CHA2DS2-VASc score using transesophageal echocardiography (TEE). Of 231 consecutive patients with typical AFL, 84 who fulfilled the inclusion criteria were enrolled. Among them, 57 had ongoing AFL and were divided into the isolated AFL (n?=?38) and AFL with paroxysmal AF (PAF) (n?=?19) groups, depending on whether they had sporadic AF before TEE. The remaining 27 patients with spontaneous sinus rhythm during TEE were designated as controls. Both the LAA-FV (31.9?cm/s vs. 51.5?cm/s, P?=?0.004) and LAA-EF (28.4% vs. 36.5%, P?=?0.024) measured during AFL were significantly lower in the AFL?+?PAF group than in the isolated AFL group. Significant inverse correlations between the CHA2DS2-VASc score and LAA-EF were identified in the AFL (P?=?0.008) and AFL?+?PAF (P?=?0.032) groups. We observed progressive LAA dysfunction in patients with AFL?+?PAF compared with that in patients with isolated AFL, and the LAA-EF was inversely correlated with the CHA2DS2-VASc score in these patients. Our findings may have implications on the application of thromboprophylactic therapy in patients with AFL.

| S-EPMC6883047 | biostudies-literature

Health Outcome Predictive Evaluation for COVID 19 international registry (HOPE COVID-19), rationale and design.

Project description:The disease produced by the new coronavirus known as SARS-CoV-2 (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2), named COVID-19 (Coronavirus Disease-2019) has recently been classified as a pandemic by the World Health Organization (WHO). However, scarce clinical data is available and generally limited to the Chinese population due to the first cases were identified in Wuhan (Hubei, China).This article describes the rationale and design of the HOPE COVID-19 (Health Outcome Predictive Evaluation for COVID 19) registry (ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04334291). With an ambispective cohort design, eligible patients are those discharged, deceased or alive, from any hospital center with a confirmed diagnosis or a COVID-19 high suspicion. With a current recruitment of more than 7000 cases, in 46 hospitals in 8 countries, since it is not possible to estimate the sample size based on literature reports, the investigators will try to get the maximum numbers of patients possible. The study primary objective is all cause mortality and aims to characterize the clinical profile of patients infected in order to develop a prognostic clinical score allowing, rapid logistic decision making. As secondary objectives, the analysis of other clinical events, the risk-adjusted influence of treatments and previous comorbidities of patients infected with the disease will be performed.The results of HOPE COVID-19 will contribute to a better understanding of this condition. We aim to describe the management of this condition as well as the outcomes in relation to the therapy chosen, in order to gain insight into improving patient care in the coming months.Clinical trial registrationClinicalTrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT04334291.

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Risk of ischemic stroke and utility of CHA2 DS2 -VASc score in women and men with atrial fibrillation.

Project description:BackgroundThe magnitude of increased risk of stroke in women with atrial fibrillation (AF) remains uncertain.HypothesisWe investigated the risk of ischemic stroke and death in women and men with AF, and the risk associated with individual non-sex CHA2 DS2 -VASc risk factors.MethodsRetrospective cohort study of 231?077 (48.1% women) nonselected patients with AF not receiving oral anticoagulation from 2006 to 2014. Data from cross-linked national Swedish registers. The outcome was the first occurrence of ischemic stroke or death. Median age was 82 and 75?years in women and men, respectively. Mean follow-up was 2.5?years.ResultsHazard ratios, adjusted for non-sex CHA2 DS2 -VASc risk factors, for women vs men were 1.53, 95% CI: 1.49-1.58 for ischemic stroke and 1.24, 95% CI: 1.22-1.26 for death, respectively. When divided into age groups the differences in ischemic stroke rates between women and men were attenuated. In patients with only one non-sex CHA2 DS2 -VASc risk factor allotted 1 point, ischemic stroke rates per 100 person-years were 1.22 in women (n = 9838) and 1.02 in men (n = 15?609), respectively, P?<?.006. In both women and men, age of 65 to 74?years was associated with higher ischemic stroke risk compared to other non-sex CHA2 DS2 -VASc risk factors allotted 1 point.ConclusionsThe risk of ischemic stroke was 1.5-fold higher in women compared to men but this association appears to be the result of confounding by age. In the low risk end, the CHA2 DS2 -VASc risk score underestimates the ischemic stroke risk conferred by age 65 to 74?years, while it overestimates the risk conferred by female sex.

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