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Individualized Nomogram for Predicting Survival in Patients with Brain Metastases After Stereotactic Radiosurgery Utilizing Driver Gene Mutations and Volumetric Surrogates.

ABSTRACT: It is well-known that genomic mutational analysis plays a significant role in patients with NSCLC for personalized treatment. Given the increasing use of stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) for brain metastases (BM), there is an emerging need for more precise assessment of survival outcomes after SRS. Patients with BM and treated by SRS were eligible in this study. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS). Cox regression models were used to identify independent prognostic factors. A survival predictive nomogram was developed and evaluated by Concordance-index (C-index), area under the curve (AUC), and calibration curve. From January 2016 to December 2019, a total of 356 BM patients were eligible. The median OS was 17.7 months [95% confidence interval (CI) 15.5-19.9] and the actual OS at 1- and 2-years measured 63.2 and 37.6%, respectively. A nomogram for OS was developed by incorporating four independent prognostic factors: Karnofsky Performance Score, cumulative tumor volume, gene mutation status, and serum lactate dehydrogenase. The nomogram was validated in a separate cohort and demonstrated good calibration and good discriminative ability (C-index = 0.780, AUC = 0.784). The prognostic accuracy of the nomogram (0.792) was considerably enhanced when compared with classical prognostic indices, including the Graded Prognostic Assessment (0.708), recursive partitioning analysis (0.587), and the SRS (0.536). Kaplan-Meier curves showed significant differences in OS among the stratified low-, median- and high-risk groups (P < 0.001). In conclusion, we developed and validated an individualized prognostic nomogram by integrating physiological, volumetric, clinical chemistry, and molecular biological surrogates. Although this nomogram should be validated by independent external study, it has a potential to facilitate more precise risk-stratifications to guide personalized treatment for BM.

SUBMITTER: Zhou C

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8158152 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:BackgroundStereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) is a frequently chosen treatment for patients with brain metastases and the number of long-term survivors is increasing. Brain necrosis (e.g. radionecrosis) is the most important long-term side effect of the treatment. Retrospective studies show a lower risk of radionecrosis and local tumor recurrence after fractionated stereotactic radiosurgery (fSRS, e.g. five fractions) compared with stereotactic radiosurgery in one or three fractions. This is especially true for patients with large brain metastases. As such, the 2022 ASTRO guideline of radiotherapy for brain metastases recommends more research to fSRS to reduce the risk of radionecrosis. This multicenter prospective randomized study aims to determine whether the incidence of adverse local events (either local failure or radionecrosis) can be reduced using fSRS versus SRS in one or three fractions in patients with brain metastases.MethodsPatients are eligible with one or more brain metastases from a solid primary tumor, age of 18 years or older, and a Karnofsky Performance Status ≥ 70. Exclusion criteria include patients with small cell lung cancer, germinoma or lymphoma, leptomeningeal metastases, a contraindication for MRI, prior inclusion in this study, prior surgery for brain metastases, prior radiotherapy for the same brain metastases (in-field re-irradiation). Participants will be randomized between SRS with a dose of 15-24 Gy in 1 or 3 fractions (standard arm) or fSRS 35 Gy in five fractions (experimental arm). The primary endpoint is the incidence of a local adverse event (local tumor failure or radionecrosis identified on MRI scans) at two years after treatment. Secondary endpoints are salvage treatment and the use of corticosteroids, bevacizumab, or antiepileptic drugs, survival, distant brain recurrences, toxicity, and quality of life.DiscussionCurrently, limiting the risk of adverse events such as radionecrosis is a major challenge in the treatment of brain metastases. fSRS potentially reduces this risk of radionecrosis and local tumor failure.Trial registrationClincalTrials.gov, trial registration number: NCT05346367 , trial registration date: 26 April 2022.

Project description:Introduction:Due to the neurocognitive side effects of whole brain radiation therapy (WBRT), stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) is being used with increasing frequency. The use of SRS is expanding for patients with multiple (>4) brain metastases (BM). This study summarizes our institutional experience with single-fraction, linear-accelerator-based SRS for multiple BM. Methods and materials:All patients who were treated between January 1, 2013, and September 30, 2015, with single-fraction SRS for ?4 BM were included in this institutional review board-approved, retrospective, single-institution study. Patients were treated with linear accelerator-based image guided SRS. Results:A total of 59 patients with ?4 BM were treated with single-fraction SRS. The median follow-up was 15.2 months, and the median overall survival for the entire cohort was 5.8 months. The median number of treated lesions per patient was 5 (range, 4-23). Per patient, the median planning target volume (PTV) was 4.8?cc (range, 0.7-28.8?cc). The prescribed dose across all 380 BM for the 59 patients ranged from 7 to 20?Gy. The median of the mean dose to the total PTV was 19.5?Gy. Although the number of treated lesions (4-5 vs ?6) did not influence survival, better survival was noted for a total PTV <10?cc versus ?10?cc (7.1 vs 4.2 months, respectively; P?=?.0001). A mean dose of ?19?Gy to the entire PTV was also associated with increased survival (6.6 vs 5.0 months, respectively; P?=?.0172). Patients receiving a dose of >12?Gy to ?10?cc of normal brain had worse survival (5.1 vs 8.6 months, respectively; P?=?.0028). Conclusion:In single-fraction SRS for patients with multiple BM, smaller total tumor volume, higher total dose, and lower volume of normal brain receiving >12?Gy were associated with increased survival. These data suggest that using SRS for the treatment of multiple BM is efficacious and that outcomes may be affected more by total tumor volume than by the number of lesions.

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Individualized Nomogram for Predicting Survival in Patients with Brain Metastases After Stereotactic Radiosurgery Utilizing Driver Gene Mutations and Volumetric Surrogates.

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