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Parental occurrence of stroke and risk of stroke in their children: the Framingham study.

ABSTRACT: Data relating parental history of stroke to stroke risk in offspring remain surprisingly inconsistent, largely because of heterogeneity of study design and the absence of verified, as opposed to historical, data on parental stroke status.We determined whether prospectively verified parental occurrence of stroke increased incident stroke risk among offspring in a community-based sample by studying 3443 stroke-free Framingham offspring (53% female; mean age, 48+/-14 years) with verified parental stroke status (by 65 years of age) who attended the first, third, fifth, and/or seventh offspring examinations and were followed up for up to 8 years after each baseline examination. Over up to 11,029 such person-observation periods (77,534 person-years), we documented 106 parental strokes by 65 years of age and 128 offspring strokes (74 parental and 106 offspring strokes were ischemic). Using multivariable Cox models adjusted for age, sex, sibship, and baseline stroke risk factors, we observed that parental stroke, both all stroke generally and ischemic stroke specifically, was associated with an increased risk of incident stroke of the same type in the offspring (hazard ratio, 2.79; 95% confidence interval, 1.68 to 4.66; P<0.001 for all stroke; and hazard ratio, 3.15; 95% confidence interval, 1.69 to 5.88; P<0.001 for ischemic stroke). This was true for both maternal and paternal stroke.Documented parental stroke by 65 years of age was associated with a 3-fold increase in risk of offspring stroke. This increased risk persisted after adjustment for conventional stroke risk factors. Thus, verified parental stroke may serve as a clinically useful risk marker of an individual's propensity to stroke.

SUBMITTER: Seshadri S

PROVIDER: S-EPMC2860311 | biostudies-other | 2010 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-other

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Parental occurrence of stroke and risk of stroke in their children: the Framingham study.

Seshadri Sudha S Beiser Alexa A Pikula Aleksandra A Pikula Aleksandra A Himali Jayandra J JJ Kelly-Hayes Margaret M Debette Stephanie S DeStefano Anita L AL Romero Jose R JR Kase Carlos S CS Wolf Philip A PA

Circulation 20100308 11

<h4>Background</h4>Data relating parental history of stroke to stroke risk in offspring remain surprisingly inconsistent, largely because of heterogeneity of study design and the absence of verified, as opposed to historical, data on parental stroke status.<h4>Methods and results</h4>We determined whether prospectively verified parental occurrence of stroke increased incident stroke risk among offspring in a community-based sample by studying 3443 stroke-free Framingham offspring (53% female; me ...[more]

PMID: 20212282

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Project description:Background and purposeLimited data exist on the performance of the revised Framingham Stroke Risk Score (R-FSRS) and the R-FSRS in conjunction with nontraditional risk markers. We compared the R-FSRS, original FSRS, and the Pooled Cohort Equation for stroke prediction and assessed the improvement in discrimination by nontraditional risk markers.MethodsSix thousand seven hundred twelve of 6814 participants of the MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) were included. Cox proportional hazard, area under the curve, net reclassification improvement, and integrated discrimination increment analysis were used to assess and compare each stroke prediction risk score. Stroke was defined as fatal/nonfatal strokes (hemorrhagic or ischemic).ResultsAfter mean follow-up of 10.7 years, 231 of 6712 (3.4%) strokes were adjudicated (2.7% ischemic strokes). Mean stroke risks using the R-FSRS, original FSRS, and Pooled Cohort Equation were 4.7%, 5.9%, and 13.5%. The R-FSRS had the best calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit, χ2=6.55; P=0.59). All risk scores were predictive of incident stroke. C statistics of R-FSRS (0.716) was similar to Pooled Cohort Equation (0.716), but significantly higher than the original FSRS (0.653; P=0.01 for comparison with R-FSRS). Adding nontraditional risk markers individually to the R-FSRS did not improve discrimination of the R-FSRS in the area under the curve analysis, but did improve category-less net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination increment for incident stroke. The addition of coronary artery calcium to R-FSRS produced the highest category-less net reclassification improvement (0.36) and integrated discrimination increment (0.0027). Similar results were obtained when ischemic strokes were used as the outcome.ConclusionsThe R-FSRS downgraded stroke risk but had better calibration and discriminative ability for incident stroke compared with the original FSRS. Nontraditional risk markers modestly improved the discriminative ability of the R-FSRS, with coronary artery calcium performing the best.

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Parental occurrence of stroke and risk of stroke in their children: the Framingham study.

Publications

Parental occurrence of stroke and risk of stroke in their children: the Framingham study.

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