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Pathway analysis of genome-wide data improves warfarin dose prediction.

ABSTRACT: Many genome-wide association studies focus on associating single loci with target phenotypes. However, in the setting of rare variation, accumulating sufficient samples to assess these associations can be difficult. Moreover, multiple variations in a gene or a set of genes within a pathway may all contribute to the phenotype, suggesting that the aggregation of variations found over the gene or pathway may be useful for improving the power to detect associations.Here, we present a method for aggregating single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) along biologically relevant pathways in order to seek genetic associations with phenotypes. Our method uses all available genetic variants and does not remove those in linkage disequilibrium (LD). Instead, it uses a novel SNP weighting scheme to down-weight the contributions of correlated SNPs. We apply our method to three cohorts of patients taking warfarin: two European descent cohorts and an African American cohort. Although the clinical covariates and key pharmacogenetic loci for warfarin have been characterized, our association metric identifies a significant association with mutations distributed throughout the pathway of warfarin metabolism. We improve dose prediction after using all known clinical covariates and pharmacogenetic variants in VKORC1 and CYP2C9. In particular, we find that at least 1% of the missing heritability in warfarin dose may be due to the aggregated effects of variations in the warfarin metabolic pathway, even though the SNPs do not individually show a significant association.Our method allows researchers to study aggregative SNP effects in an unbiased manner by not preselecting SNPs. It retains all the available information by accounting for LD-structure through weighting, which eliminates the need for LD pruning.

SUBMITTER: Daneshjou R

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3829086 | biostudies-other | 2013

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-other

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Pathway analysis of genome-wide data improves warfarin dose prediction.

Daneshjou Roxana R Tatonetti Nicholas P NP Karczewski Konrad J KJ Sagreiya Hersh H Bourgeois Stephane S Drozda Katarzyna K Burmester James K JK Tsunoda Tatsuhiko T Nakamura Yusuke Y Kubo Michiaki M Tector Matthew M Limdi Nita A NA Cavallari Larisa H LH Perera Minoli M Johnson Julie A JA Klein Teri E TE Altman Russ B RB

BMC genomics 20130528

<h4>Background</h4>Many genome-wide association studies focus on associating single loci with target phenotypes. However, in the setting of rare variation, accumulating sufficient samples to assess these associations can be difficult. Moreover, multiple variations in a gene or a set of genes within a pathway may all contribute to the phenotype, suggesting that the aggregation of variations found over the gene or pathway may be useful for improving the power to detect associations.<h4>Results</h4 ...[more]

PMID: 23819817

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Project description:BackgroundVitamin K antagonist (warfarin) is the most classical and widely used oral anticoagulant with assuring anticoagulant effect, wide clinical indications and low price. Warfarin dosage requirements of different patients vary largely. For warfarin daily dosage prediction, the data imbalance in dataset leads to inaccurate prediction on the patients of rare genotype, who usually have large stable dosage requirement. To balance the dataset of patients treated with warfarin and improve the predictive accuracy, an appropriate partition of majority and minority groups, together with an oversampling method, is required.MethodTo solve the data-imbalance problem mentioned above, we developed a clustering-based oversampling technique denoted as DBCSMOTE, which combines density-based spatial clustering of application with noise (DBCSCAN) and synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE). DBCSMOTE automatically finds the minority groups by acquiring the association between samples in terms of the clinical features/genotypes and the warfarin dosage, and creates an extended dataset by adding the new synthetic samples of majority and minority groups. Meanwhile, two ensemble models, boosted regression tree (BRT) and random forest (RF), which are built on the extended dataset generateed by DBCSMOTE, accomplish the task of warfarin daily dosage prediction.ResultsDBCSMOTE and the comparison methods were tested on the datasets derived from our Hospital and International Warfarin Pharmacogenetics Consortium (IWPC). As the results, DBCSMOTE-BRT obtained the highest R-squared (R2) of 0.424 and the smallest mean squared error (mse) of 1.08. In terms of the percentage of patients whose predicted dose of warfarin is within 20% of the actual stable therapeutic dose (20%-p), DBCSMOTE-BRT can achieve the largest value of 47.8% among predictive models. The more important thing is that DBCSMOTE saved about 68% computational time to achieve the same or better performance than the Evolutionary SMOTE, which was the best oversampling method in warfarin dose prediction by far. Meanwhile, in warfarin dose prediction, it is discovered that DBCSMOTE is more effective in integrating BRT than RF for warfarin dose prediction.ConclusionOur finding is that the genotypes, CYP2C9 and VKORC1, no doubt contribute to the predictive accuracy. It was also discovered left atrium diameter, glutamic pyruvic transaminase and serum creatinine included in the model actually improved the predictive accuracy; When congestive heart failure, diabetes mellitus and valve replacement were absent in DBCSMOTE-BRT/RF, the predictive accuracy of DBCSMOTE-BRT/RF decreased. The oversampling ratio and number of minority clusters have a large impact on the effect of oversampling. According to our test, the predictive accuracy was high when the number of minority clusters was 6 ~ 8. The oversampling ratio for small minority clusters should be large (> 1.2) and for large minority clusters should be small (< 0.2). If the dataset becomes larger, the DBCSMOTE would be re-optimized and its BRT/RF model should be re-trained. DBCSMOTE-BRT/RF outperformed the current commonly-used tool called Warfarindosing. As compared to Evolutionary SMOTE-BRT and RF models, DBCSMOTE-BRT and RF models take only a small computational time to achieve the same or higher performance in many cases. In terms of predictive accuracy, RF is not as good as BRT. However, RF still has a powerful ability in generating a highly accurate model as the dataset increases; the software "WarfarinSeer v2.0" is a test version, which packed DBCSMOTE-BRT/RF. It could be a convenient tool for clinical application in warfarin treatment.

Project description:BackgroundVKORC1 and CYP2C9 are important contributors to warfarin dose variability, but explain less variability for individuals of African descent than for those of European or Asian descent. We aimed to identify additional variants contributing to warfarin dose requirements in African Americans.MethodsWe did a genome-wide association study of discovery and replication cohorts. Samples from African-American adults (aged ≥18 years) who were taking a stable maintenance dose of warfarin were obtained at International Warfarin Pharmacogenetics Consortium (IWPC) sites and the University of Alabama at Birmingham (Birmingham, AL, USA). Patients enrolled at IWPC sites but who were not used for discovery made up the independent replication cohort. All participants were genotyped. We did a stepwise conditional analysis, conditioning first for VKORC1 -1639G→A, followed by the composite genotype of CYP2C9*2 and CYP2C9*3. We prespecified a genome-wide significance threshold of p<5×10(-8) in the discovery cohort and p<0·0038 in the replication cohort.FindingsThe discovery cohort contained 533 participants and the replication cohort 432 participants. After the prespecified conditioning in the discovery cohort, we identified an association between a novel single nucleotide polymorphism in the CYP2C cluster on chromosome 10 (rs12777823) and warfarin dose requirement that reached genome-wide significance (p=1·51×10(-8)). This association was confirmed in the replication cohort (p=5·04×10(-5)); analysis of the two cohorts together produced a p value of 4·5×10(-12). Individuals heterozygous for the rs12777823 A allele need a dose reduction of 6·92 mg/week and those homozygous 9·34 mg/week. Regression analysis showed that the inclusion of rs12777823 significantly improves warfarin dose variability explained by the IWPC dosing algorithm (21% relative improvement).InterpretationA novel CYP2C single nucleotide polymorphism exerts a clinically relevant effect on warfarin dose in African Americans, independent of CYP2C9*2 and CYP2C9*3. Incorporation of this variant into pharmacogenetic dosing algorithms could improve warfarin dose prediction in this population.FundingNational Institutes of Health, American Heart Association, Howard Hughes Medical Institute, Wisconsin Network for Health Research, and the Wellcome Trust.

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Pathway analysis of genome-wide data improves warfarin dose prediction.

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Pathway analysis of genome-wide data improves warfarin dose prediction.

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