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Late-life mortality is underestimated because of data errors.

ABSTRACT: Knowledge of true mortality trajectory at extreme old ages is important for biologists who test their theories of aging with demographic data. Studies using both simulation and direct age validation found that longevity records for ages 105 years and older are often incorrect and may lead to spurious mortality deceleration and mortality plateau. After age 105 years, longevity claims should be considered as extraordinary claims that require extraordinary evidence. Traditional methods of data cleaning and data quality control are just not sufficient. New, more strict methodologies of data quality control need to be developed and tested. Before this happens, all mortality estimates for ages above 105 years should be treated with caution.

SUBMITTER: Gavrilov LA

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6386419 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Late-life mortality is underestimated because of data errors.

Gavrilov Leonid A LA Gavrilova Natalia S NS

PLoS biology 20190207 2

Knowledge of true mortality trajectory at extreme old ages is important for biologists who test their theories of aging with demographic data. Studies using both simulation and direct age validation found that longevity records for ages 105 years and older are often incorrect and may lead to spurious mortality deceleration and mortality plateau. After age 105 years, longevity claims should be considered as extraordinary claims that require extraordinary evidence. Traditional methods of data clea ...[more]

PMID: 30730879

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