Ontology highlight
ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Kramer SC
PROVIDER: S-EPMC6411231 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Feb
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Kramer Sarah C SC Shaman Jeffrey J
PLoS computational biology 20190227 2
Accurate forecasts of influenza incidence can be used to inform medical and public health decision-making and response efforts. However, forecasting systems are uncommon in most countries, with a few notable exceptions. Here we use publicly available data from the World Health Organization to generate retrospective forecasts of influenza peak timing and peak intensity for 64 countries, including 18 tropical and subtropical countries. We find that accurate and well-calibrated forecasts can be gen ...[more]