Dataset Information

Fine Particle Constituents and Mortality: A Time-Series Study in Beijing, China.

ABSTRACT: There is a rising concern that fine particle (PM2.5) compositions may play an important role in explaining PM2.5-related mortality risks. However, PM2.5 constituents responsible for these risks have not yet been determined. To date, there are few PM2.5 constituent health studies in developing countries. We adopted a time-series approach, using generalized linear regression models to examine associations between short-term exposure to PM2.5 constituents and mortality. We analyzed data stratified by sex and by age groups (<65, 65-74, and >74) from 2013 to 2015 in Beijing, China. We also investigated seasonal patterns of such associations. For a 0 day lag, interquartile range increases in potassium, calcium, magnesium, and organic carbon were associated with 0.51% (95% CI: 0.17-0.85), 2.07% (95% CI: 0.71-3.44), 0.26% (95% CI: 0.08-0.44), and 2.65% (95% CI: 0.18-5.18) increases in respiratory mortality, and sulfate with a 1.57% (95% CI: 0.04-3.12) increase in cardiovascular mortality. In the season-stratified analysis, the association of some constituents (potassium, calcium, magnesium, nitrate, sulfate, and organic carbon) with respiratory mortality appeared to be stronger in cold seasons than in warm seasons. Older adults (65-74) may be susceptible to certain compositions. Our findings provide evidence that link PM2.5 constituents with mortality and suggest that adverse effects vary among constituents in different seasons.

SUBMITTER: Chen C

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6548719 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Fine Particle Constituents and Mortality: A Time-Series Study in Beijing, China.

Chen Chen C Xu Dandan D He Mike Z MZ Wang Yanwen Y Du Zonghao Z Du Yanjun Y Qian Yan Y Ji Dongsheng D Li Tiantian T

Environmental science & technology 20180912 19

There is a rising concern that fine particle (PM2.5) compositions may play an important role in explaining PM2.5-related mortality risks. However, PM2.5 constituents responsible for these risks have not yet been determined. To date, there are few PM2.5 constituent health studies in developing countries. We adopted a time-series approach, using generalized linear regression models to examine associations between short-term exposure to PM2.5 c ...[more]

PMID: 30169957

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Project description:ObjectiveThis study comprehensively estimated the excess cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality attributable to influenza in an older (age ≥65 years) population.DesignEcological study.SettingAggregated data from administrative systems on CVD mortality, influenza surveillance and meteorological data in Beijing, China.Main outcome measureExcess overall CVD, and separately for ischaemic heart disease (IHD), ischaemic stroke, haemorrhagic stroke mortality attributable to influenza, adjusting for influenza activity, time trend, seasonality and ambient temperature.ResultsCVD (risk ratio (RR) 1.02, 95% CI 1.01, 1.02), IHD (RR 1.01, 95% CI 1.01, 1.02), ischaemic stroke (RR=1.03, 95% CI 1.02, 1.04), but not haemorrhagic stroke (RR=1.00, 95% CI 0.99, 1.01) mortality, were significantly associated with every 10% increase in influenza activity. An increase in circulating A(H1N1)09pdm, A(H3N2) and B type virus were all significantly associated with CVD and ischaemic stroke mortality, but only A(H3N2) and B type virus with IHD mortality. The strongest increase in disease mortality was in the same week as the increase in influenza activity. Annual excess CVD mortality rate attributable to influenza ranged from 54 to 96 per 100 000 population. The 3%-6% CVD mortality attributable to influenza activity was related to an annual excess of 916-1640 CVD deaths in Beijing, China.ConclusionsInfluenza activity has moderate to strong associations with CVD, IHD and ischaemic stroke mortality in older adults in China. Promoting influenza vaccination could have major health benefit in this population.BackgroundInfluenza may trigger serious CVD events. An estimation of excess CVD mortality attributable to influenza has particular relevance in China where vaccination is low and CVD burden is high.MethodsThis study analysed data at the population level (age ≥65 years) using linked aggregated data from administrative systems on CVD mortality, influenza surveillance and meteorological data during 2011 to 2018. Quasi-Poisson regression models were used to estimate the excess overall CVD, and separately for IHD, ischaemic stroke, haemorrhagic stroke mortality attributable to influenza, adjusting for influenza activity, time trend, seasonality and ambient temperature. Analyses were also undertaken for influenza subtypes (A(H1N1)09pdm, A(H3N2) and B viruses), and mortality risk with time lags of 1-5 weeks following influenza activity in the current week.

Project description:BackgroundAssociations between air temperature and mortality have been consistently observed in Europe and the United States; however, there is a lack of studies for Asian countries. Our study investigated the association between air temperature and cardio-respiratory mortality in the urban area of Beijing, China.MethodsDeath counts for cardiovascular and respiratory diseases for adult residents (?15 years), meteorological parameters and concentrations of particulate air pollution were obtained from January 2003 to August 2005. The effects of two-day and 15-day average temperatures were estimated by Poisson regression models, controlling for time trend, relative humidity and other confounders if necessary. Effects were explored for warm (April to September) and cold periods (October to March) separately. The lagged effects of daily temperature were investigated by polynomial distributed lag (PDL) models.ResultsWe observed a J-shaped exposure-response function only for 15-day average temperature and respiratory mortality in the warm period, with 21.3°C as the threshold temperature. All other exposure-response functions could be considered as linear. In the warm period, a 5°C increase of two-day average temperature was associated with a RR of 1.098 (95% confidence interval (95%CI): 1.057-1.140) for cardiovascular and 1.134 (95%CI: 1.050-1.224) for respiratory mortality; a 5°C decrease of 15-day average temperature was associated with a RR of 1.040 (95%CI: 0.990-1.093) for cardiovascular mortality. In the cold period, a 5°C increase of two-day average temperature was associated with a RR of 1.149 (95%CI: 1.078-1.224) for respiratory mortality; a 5°C decrease of 15-day average temperature was associated with a RR of 1.057 (95%CI: 1.022-1.094) for cardiovascular mortality. The effects remained robust after considering particles as additional confounders.ConclusionsBoth increases and decreases in air temperature are associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular mortality. The effects of heat were immediate while the ones of cold became predominant with longer time lags. Increases in air temperature are also associated with an immediate increased risk of respiratory mortality.

Project description:Background: Exposures to both ambient fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and extreme weather conditions have been associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD) deaths in numerous epidemiologic studies. However, evidence on the associations with CVD deaths for interaction effects between PM2.5 and weather conditions is still limited. This study aimed to investigate associations of exposures to PM2.5 and weather conditions with cardiovascular mortality, and further to investigate the synergistic or antagonistic effects of ambient air pollutants and synoptic weather types (SWTs). Methods: Information on daily CVD deaths, air pollution, and meteorological conditions between 1 January 2012 and 31 December 2014 was obtained in Shanghai, China. Generalized additive models were used to assess the associations of daily PM2.5 concentrations and meteorological factors with CVD deaths. A 15-day lag analysis was conducted using a polynomial distributed lag model to access the lag patterns for associations with PM2.5. Results: During the study period, the total number of CVD deaths in Shanghai was 59,486, with a daily mean of 54.3 deaths. The average daily PM2.5 concentration was 55.0 µg/m3. Each 10 µg/m3 increase in PM2.5 concentration was associated with a 1.26% (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.40%, 2.12%) increase in CVD mortality. No SWT was statistically significantly associated with CVD deaths. For the interaction between PM2.5 and SWT, statistically significant interactions were found between PM2.5 and cold weather, with risk for PM2.5 in cold dry SWT decreasing by 1.47% (95% CI: 0.54%, 2.39%), and in cold humid SWT the risk decreased by 1.45% (95% CI: 0.52%, 2.36%). In the lag effect analysis, statistically significant positive associations were found for PM2.5 in the 1-3 lag days, while no statistically significant effects were found for other lag day periods. Conclusions: Exposure to PM2.5 was associated with short-term increased risk of cardiovascular deaths with some lag effects, while the cold weather may have an antagonistic effect with PM2.5. However, the ecological study design limited the possibility to identify a causal relationship, so prospective studies with individual level data are warranted.

Dataset Information

Fine Particle Constituents and Mortality: A Time-Series Study in Beijing, China.

Publications

Fine Particle Constituents and Mortality: A Time-Series Study in Beijing, China.

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