In Search of the Ideal Risk Score in Sepsis.
Ontology highlight
ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Topeli A
PROVIDER: S-EPMC7328329 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Jul
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Publications
In Search of the Ideal Risk Score in Sepsis.
Topeli Arzu A Baspinar Batuhan B Ortac Ersoy Ebru E
American journal of respiratory and critical care medicine 20200701 1
Similar Datasets
Project description:SEARCH for Diabetes in Youth Study - Genetic Risk Score
| PRJNA782026 | ENA
Project description:SEARCH for Diabetes in Youth Study - Genetic Risk Score
| PRJNA782027 | ENA
Project description:Processing of the dataset of synthetic phosphopeptides by Savitzki et al. (MCP, 2011) using multiple search engines. Establishment of the D-score: a search engine independent MD-score.
2013-01-23 | PXD000021 | Pride
Project description:Evolutionary pressures have made foraging behaviours highly efficient in many species. Eye movements during search present a useful instance of foraging behaviour in humans. We tested the efficiency of eye movements during search using homogeneous and heterogeneous arrays of line segments. The search target is visible in the periphery on the homogeneous array, but requires central vision to be detected on the heterogeneous array. For a compound search array that is heterogeneous on one side and homogeneous on the other, eye movements should be directed only to the heterogeneous side. Instead, participants made many fixations on the homogeneous side. By comparing search of compound arrays to an estimate of search performance based on uniform arrays, we isolate two contributions to search inefficiency. First, participants make superfluous fixations, sacrificing speed for a perceived (but not actual) gain in response certainty. Second, participants fixate the homogeneous side even more frequently than predicted by inefficient search of uniform arrays, suggesting they also fail to direct fixations to locations that yield the most new information.
| S-EPMC5326538 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundIncreasing genetic variants associated with sepsis have been identified by candidate-gene and genome-wide association studies, but single variants conferred minimal alterations in risk prediction. Our aim is to evaluate whether a weighted genetic risk score (wGRS) that aggregates information from multiple variants could improve risk discrimination of traumatic sepsis.MethodsSixty-four genetic variants potential relating to sepsis were genotyped in Chinese trauma cohort. Genetic variants with mean decrease accuracy (MDA) > 1.0 by random forest algorithms were selected to construct the multilocus wGRS. The area under the curve (AUC) and net reclassification improvement (NRI) were adopted to evaluate the discriminatory and reclassification ability of weighted genetic risk score (wGRS).ResultsSeventeen variants were extracted to construct the wGRS in 883 trauma patients. The wGRS was significantly associated with sepsis after trauma (OR = 2.19, 95% CI = 1.53-3.15, P = 2.01 × 10-5) after being adjusted by age, sex, and ISS. Patients with higher wGRS have an increasing incidence of traumatic sepsis (P trend = 6.81 × 10-8), higher SOFA (P trend = 5.00 × 10-3), and APACHE II score (P trend = 1.00 × 10-3). The AUC of the risk prediction model incorporating wGRS into the clinical variables was 0.768 (95% CI = 0.739-0.796), with an increase of 3.40% (P = 8.00 × 10-4) vs. clinical factor-only model. Furthermore, the NRI increased 25.18% (95% CI = 17.84-32.51%) (P = 6.00 × 10-5).ConclusionOur finding indicated that genetic variants could enhance the predictive power of the risk model for sepsis and highlighted the application among trauma patients, suggesting that the sepsis risk assessment model will be a promising screening and prediction tool for the high-risk population.
| S-EPMC7689156 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Platelets are key mediators of atherothrombosis; yet, limited tools exist to identify individuals with a hyperreactive platelet phenotype. Here we derive and validate a Platelet Reactivity ExpreSsion Score (PRESS) integrating platelet aggregation responses and RNA sequencing in multiple cohorts. PRESS performs well in identifying a hyperreactive phenotype in patients with cardiovascular disease (AUC [cross-validation] 0.81, 95% CI 0.68 to 0.94), with similar discrimination in an independent cohort of healthy participants (AUC [validation] 0.77, 95% CI 0.75 to 0.79); accuracy 80%, sensitivity 71%, and specificity 86%. Next, we validate PRESS in multiple cohorts of patients with platelet RNASeq available. Following multivariable adjustment, PRESS was significantly higher in MI (β=1.8, p=0.02), and individuals with a score above the median more frequently develop a future cardiovascular event (adjusted HR 1.90, CI 1.07 to 3.36), p=0.027). Altogether, we provide strong evidence that PRESS is a robust prognostic marker, which could have an essential role in facilitating a personalized approach to cardiovascular risk management.
2024-06-30 | GSE232027 | GEO
Project description:Background: Many severity scores are widely used for clinical outcome prediction for critically ill patients in the intensive care unit (ICU). However, for patients identified by sepsis-3 criteria, none of these have been developed. This study aimed to develop and validate a risk stratification score for mortality prediction in sepsis-3 patients. Methods: In this retrospective cohort study, we employed the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III (MIMIC III) database for model development and the eICU database for external validation. We identified septic patients by sepsis-3 criteria on day 1 of ICU entry. The Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) technique was performed to select predictive variables. We also developed a sepsis mortality prediction model and associated risk stratification score. We then compared model discrimination and calibration with other traditional severity scores. Results: For model development, we enrolled a total of 5,443 patients fulfilling the sepsis-3 criteria. The 30-day mortality was 16.7%. With 5,658 septic patients in the validation set, there were 1,135 deaths (mortality 20.1%). The score had good discrimination in development and validation sets (area under curve: 0.789 and 0.765). In the validation set, the calibration slope was 0.862, and the Brier value was 0.140. In the development dataset, the score divided patients according to mortality risk of low (3.2%), moderate (12.4%), high (30.7%), and very high (68.1%). The corresponding mortality in the validation dataset was 2.8, 10.5, 21.1, and 51.2%. As shown by the decision curve analysis, the score always had a positive net benefit. Conclusion: We observed moderate discrimination and calibration for the score termed Sepsis Mortality Risk Score (SMRS), allowing stratification of patients according to mortality risk. However, we still require further modification and external validation.
| S-EPMC7859108 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundPatients with sepsis are at increased risk for cardiovascular complications, including myocardial infarction (MI), ischemic stroke (IS), and venous thromboembolism (VTE). Our objective is to assess whether genetic risk score (GRS) can differentiate risk for these complications.MethodsA population-based prospective cohort of 483,177 subjects, derived from the UK Biobank, was followed for diagnosis of sepsis and its complications (MI, IS, and VTE) after the study recruitment. GRS for each complication was calculated based on established risk-associated single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). Time to incident MI, IS, and VTE was compared between subjects with or without sepsis and GRS risk groups using Kaplan-Meier log-rank test and Cox-regression analysis.ResultsDuring an average of 12.6 years of follow-up, 10,757 (2.23%) developed sepsis. Patients with sepsis had an overall higher risk than non-sepsis subjects for each complication, but the risk differed by time after a sepsis diagnosis; exceedingly high in short-term (0-30 days), considerably high in mid-term (31 days to 2 years), and reduced in long-term (>2 years). Furthermore, in White subjects, GRS was a significant predictor of complications, independent of sepsis and other risk factors. For example, GRSMI further differentiated their risk in patients with sepsis; 3.49, 4.73, and 9.03% in those with low- (<0.5), intermediate- (0.5-1.99), high- GRSMI (≥2.0), Ptrend < 0.001.ConclusionRisk for post-sepsis cardiovascular complications differed considerably by time after a sepsis diagnosis and GRS. These findings, if confirmed in other ancestry-specific populations, may guide personalized management for preventing post-sepsis cardiovascular complications.
| S-EPMC10011112 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Antibiotic therapy following surgical perianal abscess drainage is debated, but may be necessary for high-risk patients. Frailty has been shown to increase the risk of unfavorable outcomes in elderly surgical patients. This study aims to identify high-risk patients by retrospectively analyzing a single-center cohort and using a pretherapeutic score to predict the need for postoperative antibiotics and extended nursing care following perianal abscess drainage surgery. The perianal sepsis risk score was developed through univariable and multivariable analysis. Internal validation was assessed using the area under receiver-operating characteristic curve. Elderly, especially frail patients exhibited more severe perianal disease, higher frequency of antibiotic therapy, longer hospitalization, poorer clinical outcomes. Multivariable analysis revealed that scores in the 5-item modified frailty index, severity of local infection, and preoperative laboratory markers of infection independently predicted the need for prolonged hospitalization and anti-infective therapy after abscess drainage surgery. These factors were combined into the perianal sepsis risk score, which demonstrated better predictive accuracy for prolonged hospitalization and antibiotic therapy compared with chronological age or frailty status alone. Geriatric assessments are becoming increasingly important in clinical practice. The perianal sepsis risk score identifies high-risk patients before surgery, enabling early initiation of antibiotic therapy and allocation of additional nursing resources.
| S-EPMC10455731 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BACKGROUND:Bioprosthetic heart valves undergo structural degeneration and calcification. Similarities exist in the histopathologic features of explanted bioprosthetic valves and rejected pig tissues and organs after xenotransplantation into nonhuman primates. The development of more durable bioprosthetic valves, namely from genetically modified pigs, could negate the need for the insertion of mechanical prostheses in children and young adults with the requirement for life-long anticoagulation and might avoid the need for reoperation in elderly patients. METHODS:We reviewed the literature (MedlinePlus, PubMed, Google Scholar) through September 1, 2018, under four key terms: (1) bioprosthetic heart valves, (2) xenograft antigens, (3) immunologic responses to bioprosthetic valves, and (4) genetic modification of xenografts. RESULTS:Advances in tissue and organ xenotransplantation have elucidated important immunologic barriers that provide innovative approaches to prevent structural degeneration of bioprosthetic heart valves. The current evidence suggests that bioprosthetic valves derived from genetically modified pigs lacking xenogeneic antigens (namely Gal, Neu5Gc, and Sda), termed triple-knockout pigs, would function considerably longer than current wild-type (genetically unmodified) porcine valves in human recipients. CONCLUSIONS:Preclinical and clinical studies to determine the safety and efficacy of triple-knockout porcine bioprosthetic valves will likely establish that they are more resistant to human immune responses and thus less susceptible to structural degeneration.
| S-EPMC6656597 | biostudies-literature