Trends in the Incidence of Young-Onset Colorectal Cancer With a Focus on Years Approaching Screening Age: A Population-Based Longitudinal Study.
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ABSTRACT: Background
With recent evidence for the increasing risk of young-onset colorectal cancer (yCRC), we had the objective to evaluate the incidence of yCRC in 1-year age increments, particularly focusing around the screening age of 50 years.Methods
We conducted a longitudinal study using linked administrative health databases in British Columbia, Canada, including a provincial cancer registry, inpatient and outpatient visits, and vital statistics from January 1, 1986, to December 31, 2016. We calculated incidence rates per 100 000 at every age from 20 to 60 years and estimated annual percent change in incidence (APCi) of yCRC using joinpoint regression analysis.Results
We identified 3614 individuals with yCRC (49.9% women). The incidence of CRC steadily increased from 20 to 60 years, with a marked increase from 49 to 50 years (incidence rate ratio = 1.19, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.04 to 1.34). Furthermore, there was a trend of increased incidence of yCRC among women (APCi = 0.79%, 95% CI = 0.22% to 1.36%) and men (APCi = 2.17%, 95% CI = 1.59% to 2.76%). Analyses stratified by age yielded APCis of 2.49% (95% CI = 1.36% to 3.63%) and 0.12% (95% CI = -0.54% to 0.79%) for women aged 30-39 years and 40-49 years, respectively, and 2.97% (95% CI = 1.65% to 4.31%) and 1.86% (95% CI = 1.19% to 2.53%) for men.Conclusions
Our findings indicate a steady increase over 1-year age increments in the risk of yCRC during the years approaching and beyond screening age. These findings highlight the need to raise awareness as well as continue discussions regarding considerations of lowering the screening age.
SUBMITTER: Howren A
PROVIDER: S-EPMC8246802 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:ImportanceEarly-onset colorectal cancer incidence rates are rising faster in White individuals than Black individuals. However, prior National Cancer Institute Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) racial stratification analyses used smaller SEER 13 databases, combined patients under age 50 years, did not stratify by sex, and did not focus on adenocarcinoma histologic subtypes (screening target).ObjectiveTo perform a race- and sex-stratified adenocarcinoma incidence rate analysis in individuals aged 40 to 49 years using larger SEER 18 databases with expanded race data to better understand the colorectal cancer burden in those at or approaching screening age.Design, setting, and participantsThis cross-sectional study used 2000 to 2017 SEER 18 annual age-adjusted colorectal cancer incidence rates stratified by anatomic subsite (colon or rectum), adenocarcinoma histology, race (non-Hispanic Black or non-Hispanic White), and sex for individuals aged 40 to 49 years, and yearly annual percent change (APC) incidence rates were calculated. Annual rate ratios (ARRs) between subgroups were determined. Statistical analysis was performed from January to March 2021.Main outcomes and measurementsEarly-onset colorectal cancer incidence rates, APCs, and ARRs.ResultsIn this study, a total of 46 728 colorectal cancer cases were identified in 45 429 patients aged 40 to 49 years from 2000 to 2017. Among the 45 429 patients included in this study, 6480 (14.2%) were Black and 27 426 (60.4%) were White; the mean (SD) age was 45.5 (2.8) years. Among White individuals aged 40 to 49 years, colorectal adenocarcinoma incidence rates increased from 19.6 per 100 000 person-years in 2000 to 25.2 per 100 000 person-years in 2017 (APC, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.3 to 1.9). Among Black individuals aged 40 to 49 years, colorectal adenocarcinoma incidence rates were not significantly changed (26.4 per 100 000 person-years in 2000 and 25.8 per 100 000 person-years in 2017 [APC, -0.03; 95% CI, -0.5 to 0.5]). There were no significant differences in ARRs of absolute colorectal incidence rates between White and Black individuals from 2014 to 2017. Rectal-only absolute adenocarcinoma incidence rates in Black and White individuals remained similar from 2000 to 2008 but significantly diverged in 2009. As of 2017, rectal absolute incidence rates were 39% higher among White individuals than among Black individuals with increasing APC (APC, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.6 to 2.8) whereas rectal adenocarcinoma incidence rates among Black individuals were decreasing, although the APC was not statistically significant (APC, -1.4; 95% CI, -2.6 to 0.1). Absolute colonic adenocarcinoma incidence rates remained higher in Black individuals. The study subgroups with the largest divergence in APCs were rectal adenocarcinoma in White vs Black women (APC of 2.2 [95% CI, 1.6 to 2.8] vs APC of -1.7 [95% CI, -3.6 to 0.3], respectively).Conclusions and relevanceThis study found that colorectal adenocarcinoma incidence rates in people aged 40 to 49 years were increasing among White individuals but stabilized among Black individuals with absolute incidence rates becoming equivalent. Absolute rectal adenocarcinoma incidence rates were 39% lower in Black individuals with a widening disparity in rectal cancer between White and Black women. Possible contributors include introduction of a screening threshold of age 45 years in Black individuals in 2008. Although the average-risk screening age has now shifted to age 45 years in all racial groups, these data can help motivate real-world implementation of guidelines to maximize screening rates that have historically been suboptimal in younger individuals.
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Project description:BackgroundColorectal cancer (CRC) incidence and mortality has been declining in the U.S. Despite success in reducing CRC incidence, incidence of early-onset CRC has increased markedly. In this study, we identified age-related disparities in CRC incidence and mortality, and investigated differences in anatomical distribution of colon cancers between populations.MethodsCRC trends were evaluated using Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program Data from 1980-2016 for individuals under age 50 and 50 years and older. Rates and ratios were calculated using SEER∗Stat. Regression analyses were calculated using Joinpoint.ResultsIncreased CRC incidence among individuals under age 50 was observed. Among individuals under age 50, incidence-based mortality (IBM) stabilized, while incidence and IBM decreased for individuals aged 50 years and older. Normalized trends indicated increased rectal cancer incidence for individuals under age 50, particularly among individuals aged 30-39. Similar incidence of proximal and distal colon cancers in individuals under age 50 was observed, while colon cancers in individuals aged 50 and older were primarily distal.ConclusionsWe found age-related disparities in CRC incidence and IBM between individuals under age 50 and age 50 years and older. Increasing incidence rates of rectal cancer substantially accounts for this disparity among individuals under age 50. The escalating trends of early-onset CRC warrant investigation into the factors leading to the population-level trends.
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