Physical and functional measures predicting long-term mortality in community-dwelling older adults: a comparative evaluation in the Singapore Longitudinal Ageing Study.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Cheong CY
PROVIDER: S-EPMC8714162 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:BackgroundHousework may provide a sustainable form of physical activity for older adults and improve health and survival outcomes. Longitudinal studies on associations between housework status over time and health outcomes are lacking. We aim to assess the longitudinal association of intensity and duration of housework with frailty and mortality outcomes.MethodsAmong 3270 community-dwelling prospective cohort study participants, aged ≥55 years, data on light housework (N=2996) and heavy housework (N=3022) were available at baseline (March 6, 2009, to June 11, 2013) and follow-up at 3 to 5 years later, (January 16, 2013 to August 24, 2018). Median time spent per week on light (≥420min/week) and heavy (>0min/week) household activities at baseline and follow-up were used to categorise individuals into three groups (i) consistent low levels of housework at both baseline and follow-up, (ii) inconsistent high levels of housework at either baseline or follow-up and (iii) consistent high levels of housework at both baseline and follow-up. Baseline and follow-up frailty index >0.10, and all-cause, cancer and cardiovascular mortality from mean 9.5 years follow-up to March 31, 2021. Effect estimates were adjusted for socio-demographics, nutritional risk, lifestyle and other physical activities.ResultsOverall, participants had mean [SD] age, 66.9 [7.8] years; 1916 [62.7%] were female. Participation in high levels of light and heavy housework consistently over time was associated with decreased odds of prefrailty/frailty at follow-up, [OR,0.61;95%CI,0.40-0.94] and [OR,0.56;95%CI,0.34-0.90] respectively, in the older group aged ≥65, compared to participants with consistent low levels of housework at baseline and follow-up. Sex-stratified analysis revealed an association between regular heavy housework participation and lower prevalence of prefrailty/frailty at follow-up in older men but not women [OR,0.31;95%CI,0.13-0.72]. Regular participation in high levels of light housework was associated with 41% lower risk of all-cause mortality [95%CI,0.36-0.96] in women but not in men, and 54% lower risk of cardiovascular mortality [95%CI,0.22-0.96].ConclusionsRegular participation in above average levels of light housework is associated with decreased odds of prefrailty/frailty in older adults aged ≥65 years, and all-cause mortality in older women. Heavy housework participation is associated with decreased odds of prefrailty/frailty, especially in older men aged ≥65. Housework may be a meaningful occupation for older adults and should be encouraged for health and wellbeing.
| S-EPMC9749321 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Human evidence for the role of continuous antigenic stimulation from persistent latent infections in frailty is limited. We conducted a nested case-control study (99 deceased and 43 survivors) of participants aged 55 and above in a longitudinal ageing cohort followed up from 2003 to 2017. Using blood samples and baseline data collected in 2003-2004, we examined the association of pathogenic load (PL) count of seropositivity to 10 microbes (viruses, bacteria and mycoplasma) with cumulated deficit-frailty index (CD-FI) and the physical frailty (PF) phenotype, and mortality. Controlling for age, sex, education, smoking and alcohol histories, high PL (7-9) versus low PL (3-6) was associated with an estimated increase of 0.035 points in the CD-FI (Cohen's D=0.035 / 0.086, or 0.41). High PL was associated with 8.5 times odds of being physically frail (p=0.001), 2.8 times odds of being weak (p=0.010), 3.4 times odds of being slow (p=0.024), and mortality hazard ratio of 1.53 (p=0.046). There were no significant associations for specific pathogens, except marginal associations for Epstein-Barr virus and Chikungunya. Conclusion: A high pathogenic load of latent infections was associated with increased risks of frailty and mortality.
| S-EPMC7695406 | biostudies-literature
Project description:The relationship between body mass index (BMI) with mortality risk, in particular the BMI category associated with the lowest all-cause and CVD-and-stroke mortality and the BMI threshold for defining overweight or obesity in older persons is controversial. This study investigated the age-dependent associations of BMI categories with all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) and stroke mortality.Prospective cohort study (Singapore Longitudinal Ageing Studies) of older adults aged 55 and above, followed up from 2003 to 2011. Participants were 2605 Chinese with baseline BMI and other variables. Outcome Measurement: Mortality hazard ratios (HR) for all-cause and CVD and stroke mortality.Overall, BMI showed a U-shaped relationship with all-cause and CVD and stroke mortality, being lowest at Normal Weight-II category (BMI 23.0-24.9 kg/m2). Most evidently among the middle-aged (55-64 years), all-cause mortality risks relative to Normal Weight-II were elevated for underweight (<BMI 18.5; HR = 4.92, p<0.0138), Normal Weight-I (BMI 18.5-22.9; HR = 3.41, p = 0.0149), and Overweight-Obese (BMI>30.0; HR = 4.05,p = 0.0423). Among the old (≥65 years), however, Overweight and Obese categories were not significantly associated with increased all-cause mortality (HR from 0.98 to 1.29), but Overweight-Obese was associated with increased CVD and stroke mortality (HR = 10.0, p = 0.0086).BMI showed a U-shaped relationship with mortality. Among older persons aged 65 and above, the overweight-or-obese category of BMI was not associated with excess all-cause mortality.
| S-EPMC5524359 | biostudies-other
Project description:BackgroundElderly individuals have an eroded immune system but whether immune senescence is implicated with the development of frailty is unknown. The underlying immune mechanisms and the link between markers of senescence and physical frailty is not well established.MethodsWe explored the association of specific T-cell subset markers of immune differentiation and senescence on CD4+ and CD8+ cells (CD28-, CD27- and CD57+) and the immune risk profile (inverted CD4/CD8 ratio <1) with physical frailty among 421 participants who were frail (N=32), prefrail (N=187) and robust (N=202) in the Singapore Longitudinal Ageing Study cohort.ResultsIn ordinal logistic regression models relating tertile category rank scores of immune biomarker with frailty status (robust, prefrail and frail), CD8+CD28-CD27+ (odds ratio (OR)=1.35, P=0.013), CD4+CD28-CD27+ (OR=1.29, P=0.025), CD8+CD28- (OR=1.31, P=0.022), and CD4/CD8 ratio (OR=1.27, P=0.026) were positively associated with frailty, controlling for age, sex and multimorbidity. CD4/CD8 ratio less than one was not associated with frailty (OR=0.84, P=0.64). In stepwise multinomial logistic regression controlling for age, sex and comorbidity, only CD8+CD28-CD27+ was the independent predictor of prefrailty: highest tertile of the immune marker significantly predicted prefrailty (versus low tertile, OR=1.72, P=0.037) and frailty (OR=2.56, P=0.06).ConclusionThe study supports the hypothetical role of immune senescence in physical frailty, particularly in regard to the observed loss of CD28 expression from both CD8+ cells and CD4+ cells, but not for CD27 or CD4/CD8 ratio as a marker of senescence. The potential of CD8+CD28-CD27+ as a biological marker of frailty should be further investigated in prospective studies.
| S-EPMC5514983 | biostudies-literature
Project description:ObjectivesWe aimed to replicate existing international (US and UK) mortality indices using Irish data. We developed and validated a four-year mortality index for adults aged 50 + in Ireland and compared performance with these international indices. We then extended this model by including additional predictors (self-report and healthcare utilization) and compared its performance to our replication model.MethodsEight thousand one hundred seventy-four participants in The Irish Longitudinal Study on Ageing were split for development (n = 4,121) and validation (n = 4,053). Six baseline predictor categories were examined (67 variables total): demographics; cardiovascular-related illness; non-cardiovascular illness; health and lifestyle variables; functional variables; self-report (wellbeing and social connectedness) and healthcare utilization. We identified variables independently associated with four-year mortality in the development cohort and attached these variables a weight according to strength of association. We summed the weights to calculate a single index score for each participant and evaluated predicted accuracy in the validation cohort.ResultsOur final 14-predictor (extended) model assigned risk points for: male (1pt); age (65-69: 2pts; 70-74: 4 pts; 75-79: 4pts; 80-84: 6pts; 85 + : 7pts); heart attack (1pt); cancer (3pts); smoked past age 30 (2pts); difficulty walking 100 m (2pts); difficulty using the toilet (3pts); difficulty lifting 10lbs (1pts); poor self-reported health (1pt); and hospital admission in previous year (1pt). Index discrimination was strong (ROC area = 0.78).DiscussionOur index is predictive of four-year mortality in community-dwelling older Irish adults. Comparisons with the international indices show that our 12-predictor (replication) model performed well and suggests that generalisability is high. Our 14-predictor (extended) model showed modest improvements compared to the 12-predictor model.
| S-EPMC9211047 | biostudies-literature
Project description:To assess the directionality of the association between physical and cognitive decline in later life, we compared patterns of decline in performance across groups defined by baseline presence of cognitive and/or physical impairment [none (n = 217); physical only (n = 169); cognitive only (n = 158), or both (n = 220)] in a large sample of participants in a cognitive aging study at the Knight Alzheimer's Disease Research Center at Washington University in St. Louis who were followed for up to 8 years (3,079 observations). Rates of decline reached 20% for physical performance and varied across cognitive tests (global, memory, speed, executive function, and visuospatial skills). We found that physical decline was better predicted by baseline cognitive impairment (slope = -1.22, p<0.001), with baseline physical impairment not contributing to further decline in physical performance (slope = -0.25, p = 0.294). In turn, baseline physical impairment was only marginally associated with rate of cognitive decline across various cognitive domains. The cognitive-functional association is likely to operate in the direction of cognitive impairment to physical decline although physical impairment may also play a role in cognitive decline/dementia. Interventions to prevent further functional decline and development of disability and complete dependence may benefit if targeted to individuals with cognitive impairment who are at increased risk.
| S-EPMC4395358 | biostudies-literature
Project description:ImportancePhysical frailty and malnutrition are prevalent among older adults and may be associated with functional and mortality outcomes.ObjectiveTo assess the health outcomes associated with physical frailty and malnutrition singly and in combination among older adults.Design, setting, and participantsPopulation-based cohort study (Singapore Longitudinal Aging Study 1). Included were 2804 community-dwelling adults in Singapore aged 55 years or older at baseline (September 1, 2003, to December 23, 2005), with 2 follow-ups at 2- to 3-year intervals (from March 7, 2005, to September 10, 2007, and from November 13, 2007, to December 12, 2009) and a 12-year mortality follow-up to March 31, 2017. Data analysis was from July 1 to September 28, 2017.Main outcomes and measuresBaseline physical frailty (Fried criteria) with participants categorized according to the total score as frail (3-5 points), prefrail (1-2 points), or robust (0 point), and nutritional status (Nutrition Screening Initiative DETERMINE Your Nutritional Health Checklist and Mini Nutritional Assessment Short-Form [MNA-SF]). Baseline (prevalent) and follow-up (incident) instrumental/basic activities of daily living (IADL/ADL) disability, poor quality of life (QOL), and mortality were measured. Estimates of association were by odds ratios (ORs) and hazard ratios (HRs) and their 95% CIs.ResultsThe participants (mean [SD] age, 66.0 [7.7] years; 1033 [36.8%] male; 2611 [93.1%] Chinese) included 1021 (37.6%) categorized as robust with MNA-SF normal nutrition (R-NN), 330 (12.2%) robust with MNA-SF at risk/malnourished (R-ARM), 734 (27.0%) prefrail/frail with MNA-SF normal nutrition (PFF-NN), and 631 (23.2%) prefrail/frail with MNA-SF at risk/malnourished (PFF-ARM). Among these 2804 participants, 44 had missing frailty status, and 78 had missing MNA-SF nutritional status; therefore, 88 participants in total had missing frailty-nutritional status. In cross-sectional analyses, the prevalence of IADL/ADL disability was lowest among the R-NN group (169 [16.9%]) and increased substantially only among the PFF-ARM group (249 [40.2%]) (OR, 1.88; 95% CI, 1.40-2.53). Poor QOL prevalence was lowest among the R-NN group (142 [14.1%]), and the increase in other frailty and nutritional status groups was highest in the PFF-ARM group (255 [41.3%]) (OR, 2.61; 95% CI, 1.96-3.49). In longitudinal analyses, significant association with only incident poor QOL across frailty and nutritional status groups was highest in the PFF-ARM group (89 [34.8%]) compared with the R-NN group (132 [19.2%]) (OR, 1.70; 95% CI, 1.17-2.48). The mortality rate was lowest in the R-NN group (0.54 per 100 person-years) and highest in the PFF-ARM group (3.04 per 100 person-years) (HR, 1.72; 95% CI, 1.01-2.92). The results based on the Nutrition Screening Initiative measure of nutritional status were similar.Conclusions and relevanceReported adverse health outcomes attributed to poor nutrition often appear more likely to be associated with physical frailty. Prefrail/frail older persons with poor nutrition might be targeted for interventions to prevent or delay adverse functional and mortality outcomes.
| S-EPMC6324309 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Although turning has been reported as one of the leading activities performed during a fall, and falls during turning result in 8-times more hip fractures than falls during linear gait, the quantity and quality of turns resulting in falls remain unknown since turns are rarely assessed during activities of daily living. 160 community-dwelling older adults were monitored for one week using smartphone technology. Turn measures and activity rates were quantified. Fall incidence within 12 months from continuous monitoring defined fall status, with 7/153 prospective fallers/non-fallers. Based on the analysis of 718,582 turns, prospective fallers turned less frequently, took longer to turn, and were less consistent in turn angle (p?=?0.007, 0.025, and 0.038, respectively). Prospective fallers also walked slower and spent less time walking and turning and more time engaged in sedentary behavior (p?=?0.043, 0.012, and 0.015, respectively). Individuals experiencing decline in the control of gait and/or turning may attempt to reduce their risk of falling by limiting their exposure and implementing cautionary movement strategies while turning. Since there was no difference in the overall active rate between prospective fallers and non-fallers, impaired gait and turning ability, specifically, may attribute to elevated fall risk within this cohort.
| S-EPMC5847590 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundThe Short Physical Performance Battery (SPPB) is an instrument for assessing physical performance widely used in research among the elderly in multiple settings. We did not find Brazilian longitudinal studies that aimed to analyze the predictive capacity and accuracy of the SPPB among community-dwelling older adults and no systematic reviews were found on the accuracy of the SPPB in predicting mortality in community- dwelling older adults. This study aimed to analyze the capacity and accuracy of the SPPB for predicting mortality in community-dwelling older adults, as well as to determine cut-off points for men and women.MethodLongitudinal observational study conducted with 411 (70.1 ± 7.25 years) community-dwelling older adults, between 2017 and 2020 (37.7 ± 6.24 months). Physical performance was evaluated using the SPPB and information on the all-cause mortality rate was also recorded. Multivariate Cox regression analyses and curves were performed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves were constructed, with the parameters of area under the ROC curve (AUC) to determine cutoff points for discriminating mortality, considering a significance level of 5% (p < 0.05) and 95% confidence interval (CI) 95%.ResultsOlder adults with very low and low physical performance in the SPPB, showed higher risks of mortality (HR = 9.67; 95% CI [1.20-77.65]; HR = 4.06; 95% CI [1.09-15.01]), respectively. In the subtest's analysis, older adults with low performance in the balance (HR = 0.54; 95% CI [0.36-0.81]) and gait speed tests (HR = 0.50; 95% CI [0.33-0.76]) showed greater risks of dying. The same was reproduced for categories in each test (participants that scored 2 points in the balance test had an HR = 5.86; 95% CI [1.84-18.61] and 2 points in the gait speed test, HR = 5.07; 95% CI [1.76-14.58]. The cutoff point ≤ 9 in the SPPB set the discriminator criterion for mortality in older people of both sexes.ConclusionsThe SPPB, as well as the balance and gait speed subtests were predictors of mortality, and the SPPB is accurate in predicting mortality among community-dwelling older adults.
| S-EPMC9285644 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Extended validation of an index predicting mortality among community-dwelling US older adults.Examination of the performance of a previously developed index in predicting 10- and 14-year mortality among respondents to the 1997-2000 National Health Interview Surveys (NHIS) using the original development and validation cohorts. Follow-up mortality data are now available through 2011.16,063 respondents from the original development cohort and 8,027 respondents from the original validation cohort. All participants were community dwelling and ?65 years old.We calculated risk scores for each respondent based on the presence or absence of 11 factors (function, illnesses, behaviors, demographics) that make up the index. Using the Kaplan Meier method, we computed 10- and 14-year mortality estimates for the development and validation cohorts to examine model calibration. We examined model discrimination using the c-index.Participants in the development and validation cohorts were similar. Participants with risk scores 0-4 had 23% risk of 14-year mortality whereas respondents with risk scores (13+) had 89% risk of 14-year mortality. The c-index of the model in both cohorts was 0.73 for predicting 10-year mortality and 0.72 for predicting 14-year mortality. Overall, 18.4% of adults 65-74 years and 60.2% of adults ?75 years have >50% risk of mortality in 10 years.Our index demonstrated excellent calibration and discrimination in predicting 10- and 14-year mortality among community-dwelling US adults ?65 years. Information on long-term prognosis is needed to help clinicians and older adults make more informed person-centered medical decisions and to help older adults plan for the future.
| S-EPMC5478427 | biostudies-literature