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Insights From the Geographic Spread of the Lyme Disease Epidemic.

ABSTRACT: Background:Lyme disease is the most common reportable zoonotic infection in the United States. Recent data suggest spread of the Ixodes tick vector and increasing incidence of Lyme disease in several states, including Pennsylvania. We sought to determine the clinical presentation and healthcare use patterns for pediatric Lyme disease in western Pennsylvania. Methods:The electronic medical records of all patients with an International Classification of Disease, Ninth Revision, diagnosis of Lyme disease between 2003 and 2013 at Children's Hospital of Pittsburgh were individually reviewed to identify confirmed cases of Lyme disease. The records of 773 patients meeting these criteria were retrospectively analyzed for patient demographics, disease manifestations, and healthcare use. Results:An Lyme disease increased exponentially in the pediatric population of western Pennsylvania. There was a southwestward migration of Lyme disease cases, with a shift from rural to nonrural zip codes. Healthcare provider involvement evolved from subspecialists to primary care pediatricians and emergency departments (EDs). Patients from nonrural zip codes more commonly presented to the ED, while patients from rural zip codes used primary care pediatricians and EDs equally. Conclusions:The current study details the conversion of western Pennsylvania from a Lyme-naive to a Lyme-epidemic area, highlighting changes in clinical presentation and healthcare use over time. Presenting symptoms and provider type differed between those from rural and nonrural zip codes. By elucidating the temporospatial epidemiology and healthcare use for pediatric Lyme disease, the current study may inform public health measures regionally while serving as an archetype for other areas at-risk for Lyme disease epidemics.

SUBMITTER: Eddens T

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6336907 | biostudies-other | 2019 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-other

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Insights From the Geographic Spread of the Lyme Disease Epidemic.

Eddens Taylor T Kaplan Daniel J DJ Anderson Alyce J M AJM Nowalk Andrew J AJ Campfield Brian T BT

Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America 20190101 3

<h4>Background</h4>Lyme disease is the most common reportable zoonotic infection in the United States. Recent data suggest spread of the Ixodes tick vector and increasing incidence of Lyme disease in several states, including Pennsylvania. We sought to determine the clinical presentation and healthcare use patterns for pediatric Lyme disease in western Pennsylvania.<h4>Methods</h4>The electronic medical records of all patients with an International Classification of Disease, Ninth Revision, diag ...[more]

PMID: 29920580

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Project description:Disease epidemics typically begin as an outbreak of a relatively small, spatially explicit population of infected individuals (focus), in which disease prevalence increases and rapidly spreads into the uninfected, at-risk population. Studies of epidemic spread typically address factors influencing disease spread through the at-risk population, but the initial outbreak may strongly influence spread of the subsequent epidemic.We initiated wheat stripe rust Puccinia striiformis f. sp. tritici epidemics to assess the influence of the focus on final disease prevalence when the degree of disease susceptibility differed between the at-risk and focus populations.When the focus/at-risk plantings consisted of partially genetic resistant and susceptible cultivars, final disease prevalence was statistically indistinguishable from epidemics produced by the focus cultivar in monoculture. In these experimental epidemics, disease prevalence was not influenced by the transition into an at-risk population that differed in disease susceptibility. Instead, the focus appeared to exert a dominant influence on the subsequent epidemic.Final disease prevalence was not consistently attributable to either the focus or the at-risk population when focus/at-risk populations were planted in a factorial set-up with a mixture (~28% susceptible and 72% resistant) and susceptible individuals. In these experimental epidemics, spatial heterogeneity in disease susceptibility within the at-risk population appeared to counter the dominant influence of the focus.Cessation of spore production from the focus (through fungicide/glyphosate application) after 1.3 generations of stripe rust spread did not reduce final disease prevalence, indicating that the focus influence on disease spread is established early in the epidemic.Synthesis and applications. Our experiments indicated that outbreak conditions can be highly influential on epidemic spread, even when disease resistance in the at-risk population is greater than that of the focus. Disease control treatments administered shortly after the initial outbreak within the focus may either prevent an epidemic from occurring or reduce its severity.

Dataset Information

Insights From the Geographic Spread of the Lyme Disease Epidemic.

Publications

Insights From the Geographic Spread of the Lyme Disease Epidemic.

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